Passenger flow forecast of tourist attraction based on MACBL in LBS big data environment

The existing scenic spot passenger flow prediction models have poor prediction accuracy and inadequate feature extraction ability. To address these issues, a multi-attentional convolutional bidirectional long short-term memory (MACBL)-based method for predicting tourist flow in tourist scenic locati...

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Main Authors: Tang Qili, Yang Li, Pan Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: De Gruyter 2023-12-01
Series:Open Geosciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1515/geo-2022-0577
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author Tang Qili
Yang Li
Pan Li
author_facet Tang Qili
Yang Li
Pan Li
author_sort Tang Qili
collection DOAJ
description The existing scenic spot passenger flow prediction models have poor prediction accuracy and inadequate feature extraction ability. To address these issues, a multi-attentional convolutional bidirectional long short-term memory (MACBL)-based method for predicting tourist flow in tourist scenic locations in a location-based services big data environment is proposed in this study. First, a convolutional neural network is employed to identify local features and reduce the dimension of the input data. Then, a bidirectional long short-term memory network is utilized to extract time-series information. Second, the multi-head attention mechanism is employed to parallelize the input data and assign weights to the feature data, which deepens the extraction of important feature information. Next, the dropout layer is used to avoid the overfitting of the model. Finally, three layers of the above network are stacked to form a deep conformity network and output the passenger flow prediction sequence. In contrast to the state-of-the-art models, the MACBL model has enhanced the root mean square error index by at least 2.049, 2.926, and 1.338 for prediction steps of 24, 32, and 60 h, respectively. Moreover, it has also enhanced the mean absolute error index by at least 1.352, 1.489, and 0.938, and the mean absolute percentage error index by at least 0.0447, 0.0345, and 0.0379% for the same prediction steps. The experimental results indicate that the MACBL is better than the existing models in evaluating indexes of different granularities, and it is effective in enhancing the forecasting precision of tourist attractions.
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spelling doaj.art-2ff48dc8d2a448a6930e05a5bba86ef52023-12-26T07:40:09ZengDe GruyterOpen Geosciences2391-54472023-12-0115122707110.1515/geo-2022-0577Passenger flow forecast of tourist attraction based on MACBL in LBS big data environmentTang Qili0Yang Li1Pan Li2School of Economics and Management, Aba Teachers University, Aba, Sichuan, 623002, ChinaSchool of Automation, Chengdu University of Information Technology, Chengdu, Sichuan, 610225, ChinaPersonnel Department, Zhengzhou Institute of Engineering and Technology, Zhenzhou450044, ChinaThe existing scenic spot passenger flow prediction models have poor prediction accuracy and inadequate feature extraction ability. To address these issues, a multi-attentional convolutional bidirectional long short-term memory (MACBL)-based method for predicting tourist flow in tourist scenic locations in a location-based services big data environment is proposed in this study. First, a convolutional neural network is employed to identify local features and reduce the dimension of the input data. Then, a bidirectional long short-term memory network is utilized to extract time-series information. Second, the multi-head attention mechanism is employed to parallelize the input data and assign weights to the feature data, which deepens the extraction of important feature information. Next, the dropout layer is used to avoid the overfitting of the model. Finally, three layers of the above network are stacked to form a deep conformity network and output the passenger flow prediction sequence. In contrast to the state-of-the-art models, the MACBL model has enhanced the root mean square error index by at least 2.049, 2.926, and 1.338 for prediction steps of 24, 32, and 60 h, respectively. Moreover, it has also enhanced the mean absolute error index by at least 1.352, 1.489, and 0.938, and the mean absolute percentage error index by at least 0.0447, 0.0345, and 0.0379% for the same prediction steps. The experimental results indicate that the MACBL is better than the existing models in evaluating indexes of different granularities, and it is effective in enhancing the forecasting precision of tourist attractions.https://doi.org/10.1515/geo-2022-0577scenic area passenger flow forecastdeep learningmulti-head attention mechanismconvolutional neural networkbidirectional long short-term memory networklbs big data
spellingShingle Tang Qili
Yang Li
Pan Li
Passenger flow forecast of tourist attraction based on MACBL in LBS big data environment
Open Geosciences
scenic area passenger flow forecast
deep learning
multi-head attention mechanism
convolutional neural network
bidirectional long short-term memory network
lbs big data
title Passenger flow forecast of tourist attraction based on MACBL in LBS big data environment
title_full Passenger flow forecast of tourist attraction based on MACBL in LBS big data environment
title_fullStr Passenger flow forecast of tourist attraction based on MACBL in LBS big data environment
title_full_unstemmed Passenger flow forecast of tourist attraction based on MACBL in LBS big data environment
title_short Passenger flow forecast of tourist attraction based on MACBL in LBS big data environment
title_sort passenger flow forecast of tourist attraction based on macbl in lbs big data environment
topic scenic area passenger flow forecast
deep learning
multi-head attention mechanism
convolutional neural network
bidirectional long short-term memory network
lbs big data
url https://doi.org/10.1515/geo-2022-0577
work_keys_str_mv AT tangqili passengerflowforecastoftouristattractionbasedonmacblinlbsbigdataenvironment
AT yangli passengerflowforecastoftouristattractionbasedonmacblinlbsbigdataenvironment
AT panli passengerflowforecastoftouristattractionbasedonmacblinlbsbigdataenvironment