Leveraging Explainable AI to Support Cryptocurrency Investors

In the last decade, cryptocurrency trading has attracted the attention of private and professional traders and investors. To forecast the financial markets, algorithmic trading systems based on Artificial Intelligence (AI) models are becoming more and more established. However, they suffer from the...

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Main Authors: Jacopo Fior, Luca Cagliero, Paolo Garza
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-08-01
Series:Future Internet
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1999-5903/14/9/251
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author Jacopo Fior
Luca Cagliero
Paolo Garza
author_facet Jacopo Fior
Luca Cagliero
Paolo Garza
author_sort Jacopo Fior
collection DOAJ
description In the last decade, cryptocurrency trading has attracted the attention of private and professional traders and investors. To forecast the financial markets, algorithmic trading systems based on Artificial Intelligence (AI) models are becoming more and more established. However, they suffer from the lack of transparency, thus hindering domain experts from directly monitoring the fundamentals behind market movements. This is particularly critical for cryptocurrency investors, because the study of the main factors influencing cryptocurrency prices, including the characteristics of the blockchain infrastructure, is crucial for driving experts’ decisions. This paper proposes a new visual analytics tool to support domain experts in the explanation of AI-based cryptocurrency trading systems. To describe the rationale behind AI models, it exploits an established method, namely SHapley Additive exPlanations, which allows experts to identify the most discriminating features and provides them with an interactive and easy-to-use graphical interface. The simulations carried out on 21 cryptocurrencies over a 8-year period demonstrate the usability of the proposed tool.
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spelling doaj.art-2ff774277d1b47d1817f1f1296a80bc52023-11-23T16:20:35ZengMDPI AGFuture Internet1999-59032022-08-0114925110.3390/fi14090251Leveraging Explainable AI to Support Cryptocurrency InvestorsJacopo Fior0Luca Cagliero1Paolo Garza2Dipartimento di Automatica e Informatica, Politecnico di Torino, Corso Duca Degli Abruzzi, 24, 10129 Torino, ItalyDipartimento di Automatica e Informatica, Politecnico di Torino, Corso Duca Degli Abruzzi, 24, 10129 Torino, ItalyDipartimento di Automatica e Informatica, Politecnico di Torino, Corso Duca Degli Abruzzi, 24, 10129 Torino, ItalyIn the last decade, cryptocurrency trading has attracted the attention of private and professional traders and investors. To forecast the financial markets, algorithmic trading systems based on Artificial Intelligence (AI) models are becoming more and more established. However, they suffer from the lack of transparency, thus hindering domain experts from directly monitoring the fundamentals behind market movements. This is particularly critical for cryptocurrency investors, because the study of the main factors influencing cryptocurrency prices, including the characteristics of the blockchain infrastructure, is crucial for driving experts’ decisions. This paper proposes a new visual analytics tool to support domain experts in the explanation of AI-based cryptocurrency trading systems. To describe the rationale behind AI models, it exploits an established method, namely SHapley Additive exPlanations, which allows experts to identify the most discriminating features and provides them with an interactive and easy-to-use graphical interface. The simulations carried out on 21 cryptocurrencies over a 8-year period demonstrate the usability of the proposed tool.https://www.mdpi.com/1999-5903/14/9/251quantitative tradingcryptocurrenciesblockchain
spellingShingle Jacopo Fior
Luca Cagliero
Paolo Garza
Leveraging Explainable AI to Support Cryptocurrency Investors
Future Internet
quantitative trading
cryptocurrencies
blockchain
title Leveraging Explainable AI to Support Cryptocurrency Investors
title_full Leveraging Explainable AI to Support Cryptocurrency Investors
title_fullStr Leveraging Explainable AI to Support Cryptocurrency Investors
title_full_unstemmed Leveraging Explainable AI to Support Cryptocurrency Investors
title_short Leveraging Explainable AI to Support Cryptocurrency Investors
title_sort leveraging explainable ai to support cryptocurrency investors
topic quantitative trading
cryptocurrencies
blockchain
url https://www.mdpi.com/1999-5903/14/9/251
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