Prediction of VRC01 neutralization sensitivity by HIV-1 gp160 sequence features.

The broadly neutralizing antibody (bnAb) VRC01 is being evaluated for its efficacy to prevent HIV-1 infection in the Antibody Mediated Prevention (AMP) trials. A secondary objective of AMP utilizes sieve analysis to investigate how VRC01 prevention efficacy (PE) varies with HIV-1 envelope (Env) amin...

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Main Authors: Craig A Magaret, David C Benkeser, Brian D Williamson, Bhavesh R Borate, Lindsay N Carpp, Ivelin S Georgiev, Ian Setliff, Adam S Dingens, Noah Simon, Marco Carone, Christopher Simpkins, David Montefiori, Galit Alter, Wen-Han Yu, Michal Juraska, Paul T Edlefsen, Shelly Karuna, Nyaradzo M Mgodi, Srilatha Edugupanti, Peter B Gilbert
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2019-04-01
Series:PLoS Computational Biology
Online Access:http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC6459550?pdf=render
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author Craig A Magaret
David C Benkeser
Brian D Williamson
Bhavesh R Borate
Lindsay N Carpp
Ivelin S Georgiev
Ian Setliff
Adam S Dingens
Noah Simon
Marco Carone
Christopher Simpkins
David Montefiori
Galit Alter
Wen-Han Yu
Michal Juraska
Paul T Edlefsen
Shelly Karuna
Nyaradzo M Mgodi
Srilatha Edugupanti
Peter B Gilbert
author_facet Craig A Magaret
David C Benkeser
Brian D Williamson
Bhavesh R Borate
Lindsay N Carpp
Ivelin S Georgiev
Ian Setliff
Adam S Dingens
Noah Simon
Marco Carone
Christopher Simpkins
David Montefiori
Galit Alter
Wen-Han Yu
Michal Juraska
Paul T Edlefsen
Shelly Karuna
Nyaradzo M Mgodi
Srilatha Edugupanti
Peter B Gilbert
author_sort Craig A Magaret
collection DOAJ
description The broadly neutralizing antibody (bnAb) VRC01 is being evaluated for its efficacy to prevent HIV-1 infection in the Antibody Mediated Prevention (AMP) trials. A secondary objective of AMP utilizes sieve analysis to investigate how VRC01 prevention efficacy (PE) varies with HIV-1 envelope (Env) amino acid (AA) sequence features. An exhaustive analysis that tests how PE depends on every AA feature with sufficient variation would have low statistical power. To design an adequately powered primary sieve analysis for AMP, we modeled VRC01 neutralization as a function of Env AA sequence features of 611 HIV-1 gp160 pseudoviruses from the CATNAP database, with objectives: (1) to develop models that best predict the neutralization readouts; and (2) to rank AA features by their predictive importance with classification and regression methods. The dataset was split in half, and machine learning algorithms were applied to each half, each analyzed separately using cross-validation and hold-out validation. We selected Super Learner, a nonparametric ensemble-based cross-validated learning method, for advancement to the primary sieve analysis. This method predicted the dichotomous resistance outcome of whether the IC50 neutralization titer of VRC01 for a given Env pseudovirus is right-censored (indicating resistance) with an average validated AUC of 0.868 across the two hold-out datasets. Quantitative log IC50 was predicted with an average validated R2 of 0.355. Features predicting neutralization sensitivity or resistance included 26 surface-accessible residues in the VRC01 and CD4 binding footprints, the length of gp120, the length of Env, the number of cysteines in gp120, the number of cysteines in Env, and 4 potential N-linked glycosylation sites; the top features will be advanced to the primary sieve analysis. This modeling framework may also inform the study of VRC01 in the treatment of HIV-infected persons.
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spelling doaj.art-3019dcf47cb24cdaa070a934c89ffc442022-12-22T01:29:44ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS Computational Biology1553-734X1553-73582019-04-01154e100695210.1371/journal.pcbi.1006952Prediction of VRC01 neutralization sensitivity by HIV-1 gp160 sequence features.Craig A MagaretDavid C BenkeserBrian D WilliamsonBhavesh R BorateLindsay N CarppIvelin S GeorgievIan SetliffAdam S DingensNoah SimonMarco CaroneChristopher SimpkinsDavid MontefioriGalit AlterWen-Han YuMichal JuraskaPaul T EdlefsenShelly KarunaNyaradzo M MgodiSrilatha EdugupantiPeter B GilbertThe broadly neutralizing antibody (bnAb) VRC01 is being evaluated for its efficacy to prevent HIV-1 infection in the Antibody Mediated Prevention (AMP) trials. A secondary objective of AMP utilizes sieve analysis to investigate how VRC01 prevention efficacy (PE) varies with HIV-1 envelope (Env) amino acid (AA) sequence features. An exhaustive analysis that tests how PE depends on every AA feature with sufficient variation would have low statistical power. To design an adequately powered primary sieve analysis for AMP, we modeled VRC01 neutralization as a function of Env AA sequence features of 611 HIV-1 gp160 pseudoviruses from the CATNAP database, with objectives: (1) to develop models that best predict the neutralization readouts; and (2) to rank AA features by their predictive importance with classification and regression methods. The dataset was split in half, and machine learning algorithms were applied to each half, each analyzed separately using cross-validation and hold-out validation. We selected Super Learner, a nonparametric ensemble-based cross-validated learning method, for advancement to the primary sieve analysis. This method predicted the dichotomous resistance outcome of whether the IC50 neutralization titer of VRC01 for a given Env pseudovirus is right-censored (indicating resistance) with an average validated AUC of 0.868 across the two hold-out datasets. Quantitative log IC50 was predicted with an average validated R2 of 0.355. Features predicting neutralization sensitivity or resistance included 26 surface-accessible residues in the VRC01 and CD4 binding footprints, the length of gp120, the length of Env, the number of cysteines in gp120, the number of cysteines in Env, and 4 potential N-linked glycosylation sites; the top features will be advanced to the primary sieve analysis. This modeling framework may also inform the study of VRC01 in the treatment of HIV-infected persons.http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC6459550?pdf=render
spellingShingle Craig A Magaret
David C Benkeser
Brian D Williamson
Bhavesh R Borate
Lindsay N Carpp
Ivelin S Georgiev
Ian Setliff
Adam S Dingens
Noah Simon
Marco Carone
Christopher Simpkins
David Montefiori
Galit Alter
Wen-Han Yu
Michal Juraska
Paul T Edlefsen
Shelly Karuna
Nyaradzo M Mgodi
Srilatha Edugupanti
Peter B Gilbert
Prediction of VRC01 neutralization sensitivity by HIV-1 gp160 sequence features.
PLoS Computational Biology
title Prediction of VRC01 neutralization sensitivity by HIV-1 gp160 sequence features.
title_full Prediction of VRC01 neutralization sensitivity by HIV-1 gp160 sequence features.
title_fullStr Prediction of VRC01 neutralization sensitivity by HIV-1 gp160 sequence features.
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of VRC01 neutralization sensitivity by HIV-1 gp160 sequence features.
title_short Prediction of VRC01 neutralization sensitivity by HIV-1 gp160 sequence features.
title_sort prediction of vrc01 neutralization sensitivity by hiv 1 gp160 sequence features
url http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC6459550?pdf=render
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