Predicting BOD under Various Hydrological Conditions in the Dongjin River Basin Using Physics-Based and Data-Driven Models

The water quality of the Dongjin River deteriorates during the irrigation period because the supply of river maintenance water to the main river is cut off by the mass intake of agricultural weirs located in the midstream regions. A physics-based model and a data-driven model were used to predict th...

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Main Authors: Eunjeong Lee, Taegeun Kim
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-05-01
Series:Water
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/13/10/1383
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author Eunjeong Lee
Taegeun Kim
author_facet Eunjeong Lee
Taegeun Kim
author_sort Eunjeong Lee
collection DOAJ
description The water quality of the Dongjin River deteriorates during the irrigation period because the supply of river maintenance water to the main river is cut off by the mass intake of agricultural weirs located in the midstream regions. A physics-based model and a data-driven model were used to predict the water quality in the Dongjin River under various hydrological conditions. The Hydrological Simulation Program–Fortran (HSPF), which is a physics-based model, was constructed to simulate the biological oxygen demand (BOD) in the Dongjin River Basin. A Gamma Test was used to derive the optimal combinations of the observed variables, including external water inflow, water intake, rainfall, and flow rate, for irrigation and non-irrigation periods. A data-driven adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model was then built using these results. The ANFIS model built in this study was capable of predicting the BOD from the observed hydrological data in the irrigation and non-irrigation periods, without running the physics-based model. The predicted results have high confidence levels when compared with the observed data. Thus, the proposed method can be used for the reliable and rapid prediction of water quality using only monitoring data as input.
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spelling doaj.art-3052d75dc89640378f0e07f3247b988c2023-11-21T19:57:22ZengMDPI AGWater2073-44412021-05-011310138310.3390/w13101383Predicting BOD under Various Hydrological Conditions in the Dongjin River Basin Using Physics-Based and Data-Driven ModelsEunjeong Lee0Taegeun Kim1Department of Urban Planning and Real Estate, Cheongju University, 298 Daeseongro, Cheongwon-gu, Cheongju 28503, Chungbuk, KoreaDepartment of Environment Engineering, Cheongju University, 298 Daeseongro, Cheongwon-gu, Cheongju 28503, Chungbuk, KoreaThe water quality of the Dongjin River deteriorates during the irrigation period because the supply of river maintenance water to the main river is cut off by the mass intake of agricultural weirs located in the midstream regions. A physics-based model and a data-driven model were used to predict the water quality in the Dongjin River under various hydrological conditions. The Hydrological Simulation Program–Fortran (HSPF), which is a physics-based model, was constructed to simulate the biological oxygen demand (BOD) in the Dongjin River Basin. A Gamma Test was used to derive the optimal combinations of the observed variables, including external water inflow, water intake, rainfall, and flow rate, for irrigation and non-irrigation periods. A data-driven adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model was then built using these results. The ANFIS model built in this study was capable of predicting the BOD from the observed hydrological data in the irrigation and non-irrigation periods, without running the physics-based model. The predicted results have high confidence levels when compared with the observed data. Thus, the proposed method can be used for the reliable and rapid prediction of water quality using only monitoring data as input.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/13/10/1383data-driven modelHSPF modelANFISBODWater quality prediction
spellingShingle Eunjeong Lee
Taegeun Kim
Predicting BOD under Various Hydrological Conditions in the Dongjin River Basin Using Physics-Based and Data-Driven Models
Water
data-driven model
HSPF model
ANFIS
BOD
Water quality prediction
title Predicting BOD under Various Hydrological Conditions in the Dongjin River Basin Using Physics-Based and Data-Driven Models
title_full Predicting BOD under Various Hydrological Conditions in the Dongjin River Basin Using Physics-Based and Data-Driven Models
title_fullStr Predicting BOD under Various Hydrological Conditions in the Dongjin River Basin Using Physics-Based and Data-Driven Models
title_full_unstemmed Predicting BOD under Various Hydrological Conditions in the Dongjin River Basin Using Physics-Based and Data-Driven Models
title_short Predicting BOD under Various Hydrological Conditions in the Dongjin River Basin Using Physics-Based and Data-Driven Models
title_sort predicting bod under various hydrological conditions in the dongjin river basin using physics based and data driven models
topic data-driven model
HSPF model
ANFIS
BOD
Water quality prediction
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/13/10/1383
work_keys_str_mv AT eunjeonglee predictingbodundervarioushydrologicalconditionsinthedongjinriverbasinusingphysicsbasedanddatadrivenmodels
AT taegeunkim predictingbodundervarioushydrologicalconditionsinthedongjinriverbasinusingphysicsbasedanddatadrivenmodels