Meteorological characteristics of line-shaped rainbands in northern Japan and its surrounding seas under climate change

In recent years, line-shaped rainbands (LRBs) have increased in Hokkaido, Japan. LRBs caused several flood disasters historically, thus the weather patterns that cause them need to be investigated. This study aimed to understand statistically the relationship between LRBs and weather patterns during...

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Main Authors: Yuta Ohya, Tomohito J. Yamada
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IWA Publishing 2024-02-01
Series:Journal of Hydroinformatics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://jhydro.iwaponline.com/content/26/2/397
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author Yuta Ohya
Tomohito J. Yamada
author_facet Yuta Ohya
Tomohito J. Yamada
author_sort Yuta Ohya
collection DOAJ
description In recent years, line-shaped rainbands (LRBs) have increased in Hokkaido, Japan. LRBs caused several flood disasters historically, thus the weather patterns that cause them need to be investigated. This study aimed to understand statistically the relationship between LRBs and weather patterns during the summer months under climate change conditions. Our study investigates the link between LRBs and weather patterns in Hokkaido during July and August, using historical and climate prediction models. With a 2°/4° global temperature rise, LRB occurrences in this region increase by approximately 1.51/2.07 times. The highest occurrences of LRBs correlate with increased water vapor flux from the south and positive pressure anomalies over the Pacific Ocean. Three main weather patterns contribute significantly to LRBs: (1) a nearby low-pressure system, (2) a strengthening Pacific High frontal pattern, and (3) approaching or landing typhoons in Hokkaido. These patterns double the LRB occurrence probability, a trait observed across past and projected climates (+2K and +4K experiments). These are important insights for future flood risk management. HIGHLIGHTS Integrative technical approach in hydroinformatics proposed for the first time.; The novel framework was introduced for the analysis of massive climate data.; Important new insights into line-shaped rainbands are provided.; Important insights into the effects of climate change are provided.; Significant enhancement in understanding summer meteorological fields contributing to heavy rainfall.;
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spelling doaj.art-305f4bb69f884256965db3f039ab8a042024-04-16T13:37:43ZengIWA PublishingJournal of Hydroinformatics1464-71411465-17342024-02-0126239740710.2166/hydro.2024.121121Meteorological characteristics of line-shaped rainbands in northern Japan and its surrounding seas under climate changeYuta Ohya0Tomohito J. Yamada1 Graduate School of Engineering, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Hokkaido, 060-8628, Japan Faculty of Engineering, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Hokkaido 060-8628, Japan In recent years, line-shaped rainbands (LRBs) have increased in Hokkaido, Japan. LRBs caused several flood disasters historically, thus the weather patterns that cause them need to be investigated. This study aimed to understand statistically the relationship between LRBs and weather patterns during the summer months under climate change conditions. Our study investigates the link between LRBs and weather patterns in Hokkaido during July and August, using historical and climate prediction models. With a 2°/4° global temperature rise, LRB occurrences in this region increase by approximately 1.51/2.07 times. The highest occurrences of LRBs correlate with increased water vapor flux from the south and positive pressure anomalies over the Pacific Ocean. Three main weather patterns contribute significantly to LRBs: (1) a nearby low-pressure system, (2) a strengthening Pacific High frontal pattern, and (3) approaching or landing typhoons in Hokkaido. These patterns double the LRB occurrence probability, a trait observed across past and projected climates (+2K and +4K experiments). These are important insights for future flood risk management. HIGHLIGHTS Integrative technical approach in hydroinformatics proposed for the first time.; The novel framework was introduced for the analysis of massive climate data.; Important new insights into line-shaped rainbands are provided.; Important insights into the effects of climate change are provided.; Significant enhancement in understanding summer meteorological fields contributing to heavy rainfall.;http://jhydro.iwaponline.com/content/26/2/397climate changeheavy rainfallline-shaped rainbandsmesoscalenorthern japanself-organizing maps
spellingShingle Yuta Ohya
Tomohito J. Yamada
Meteorological characteristics of line-shaped rainbands in northern Japan and its surrounding seas under climate change
Journal of Hydroinformatics
climate change
heavy rainfall
line-shaped rainbands
mesoscale
northern japan
self-organizing maps
title Meteorological characteristics of line-shaped rainbands in northern Japan and its surrounding seas under climate change
title_full Meteorological characteristics of line-shaped rainbands in northern Japan and its surrounding seas under climate change
title_fullStr Meteorological characteristics of line-shaped rainbands in northern Japan and its surrounding seas under climate change
title_full_unstemmed Meteorological characteristics of line-shaped rainbands in northern Japan and its surrounding seas under climate change
title_short Meteorological characteristics of line-shaped rainbands in northern Japan and its surrounding seas under climate change
title_sort meteorological characteristics of line shaped rainbands in northern japan and its surrounding seas under climate change
topic climate change
heavy rainfall
line-shaped rainbands
mesoscale
northern japan
self-organizing maps
url http://jhydro.iwaponline.com/content/26/2/397
work_keys_str_mv AT yutaohya meteorologicalcharacteristicsoflineshapedrainbandsinnorthernjapananditssurroundingseasunderclimatechange
AT tomohitojyamada meteorologicalcharacteristicsoflineshapedrainbandsinnorthernjapananditssurroundingseasunderclimatechange