Cost-Effectiveness of a Proteomic Test for Preterm Birth Prediction

Michael Grabner,1 Julja Burchard,2 Chi Nguyen,3 Haechung Chung,4 Nilesh Gangan,3 J Jay Boniface,2 John AF Zupancic,5 Eric Stanek1 1Scientific Affairs, HealthCore, Inc., Wilmington, DE, USA; 2Research and Development, Sera Prognostics, Salt Lake City, UT, USA; 3Health Economics and Outcomes Research,...

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Main Authors: Grabner M, Burchard J, Nguyen C, Chung H, Gangan N, Boniface JJ, Zupancic JAF, Stanek E
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Dove Medical Press 2021-09-01
Series:ClinicoEconomics and Outcomes Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.dovepress.com/cost-effectiveness-of-a-proteomic-test-for-preterm-birth-prediction-peer-reviewed-fulltext-article-CEOR
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author Grabner M
Burchard J
Nguyen C
Chung H
Gangan N
Boniface JJ
Zupancic JAF
Stanek E
author_facet Grabner M
Burchard J
Nguyen C
Chung H
Gangan N
Boniface JJ
Zupancic JAF
Stanek E
author_sort Grabner M
collection DOAJ
description Michael Grabner,1 Julja Burchard,2 Chi Nguyen,3 Haechung Chung,4 Nilesh Gangan,3 J Jay Boniface,2 John AF Zupancic,5 Eric Stanek1 1Scientific Affairs, HealthCore, Inc., Wilmington, DE, USA; 2Research and Development, Sera Prognostics, Salt Lake City, UT, USA; 3Health Economics and Outcomes Research, HealthCore, Inc., Wilmington, DE, USA; 4Research Operations, HealthCore, Inc., Wilmington, DE, USA; 5Department of Neonatology, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USACorrespondence: Michael GrabnerScientific Affairs, HealthCore, Inc., 123 Justison St, Suite 200, Wilmington, DE, 19801, USATel +1 302-230-2000Email mgrabner@healthcore.comBackground: Preterm birth (PTB) carries increased risk of short- and long-term health problems as well as higher healthcare costs. Current strategies using clinically accepted maternal risk factors (prior PTB, short cervix) can only identify a minority of singleton PTBs.Objective: We modeled the cost-effectiveness of a risk-screening-and-treat strategy versus usual care for commercially insured pregnant US women without clinically accepted PTB risk factors. The risk-screening-and-treat strategy included use of a novel PTB prognostic blood test (PreTRM®) in the 19th– 20th week of pregnancy, followed by treatment with a combined regimen of multi-component high-intensity-case-management and pharmacologic interventions for the remainder of the pregnancy for women assessed as higher-risk by the test, and usual care in women without higher risk.Methods: We built a cost-effectiveness model using a combined decision-tree/Markov approach and a US payer perspective. We modeled 1-week cycles of pregnancy from week 19 to birth (preterm or term) and assessed costs throughout the pregnancy, and further to 12-months post-delivery in mothers and 30-months in infants. PTB rates and costs were based on > 40,000 mothers and infants from the HealthCore Integrated Research Database® with birth events in 2016. Estimates of test performance, treatment effectiveness, and other model inputs were derived from published literature.Results: In the base case, the risk-screening-and-treat strategy dominated usual care with an estimated 870 fewer PTBs (20% reduction) and $54 million less in total cost ($863 net savings per pregnant woman). Reductions were projected for neonatal intensive care admissions (10%), overall length-of-stay (7%), and births < 32 weeks (33%). Treatment effectiveness had the strongest influence on cost-effectiveness estimates. The risk-screening-and-treat strategy remained dominant in the majority of probabilistic sensitivity analysis simulations and model scenarios.Conclusion: Use of a novel prognostic test during pregnancy to identify women at risk of PTB combined with evidence-based treatment is estimated to reduce total costs while preventing PTBs and their consequences.Keywords: preterm birth, cost effectiveness, progesterone, prognostic test
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spelling doaj.art-308578767345433998ee6009b17b830b2022-12-21T22:32:54ZengDove Medical PressClinicoEconomics and Outcomes Research1178-69812021-09-01Volume 1380982068803Cost-Effectiveness of a Proteomic Test for Preterm Birth PredictionGrabner MBurchard JNguyen CChung HGangan NBoniface JJZupancic JAFStanek EMichael Grabner,1 Julja Burchard,2 Chi Nguyen,3 Haechung Chung,4 Nilesh Gangan,3 J Jay Boniface,2 John AF Zupancic,5 Eric Stanek1 1Scientific Affairs, HealthCore, Inc., Wilmington, DE, USA; 2Research and Development, Sera Prognostics, Salt Lake City, UT, USA; 3Health Economics and Outcomes Research, HealthCore, Inc., Wilmington, DE, USA; 4Research Operations, HealthCore, Inc., Wilmington, DE, USA; 5Department of Neonatology, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USACorrespondence: Michael GrabnerScientific Affairs, HealthCore, Inc., 123 Justison St, Suite 200, Wilmington, DE, 19801, USATel +1 302-230-2000Email mgrabner@healthcore.comBackground: Preterm birth (PTB) carries increased risk of short- and long-term health problems as well as higher healthcare costs. Current strategies using clinically accepted maternal risk factors (prior PTB, short cervix) can only identify a minority of singleton PTBs.Objective: We modeled the cost-effectiveness of a risk-screening-and-treat strategy versus usual care for commercially insured pregnant US women without clinically accepted PTB risk factors. The risk-screening-and-treat strategy included use of a novel PTB prognostic blood test (PreTRM®) in the 19th– 20th week of pregnancy, followed by treatment with a combined regimen of multi-component high-intensity-case-management and pharmacologic interventions for the remainder of the pregnancy for women assessed as higher-risk by the test, and usual care in women without higher risk.Methods: We built a cost-effectiveness model using a combined decision-tree/Markov approach and a US payer perspective. We modeled 1-week cycles of pregnancy from week 19 to birth (preterm or term) and assessed costs throughout the pregnancy, and further to 12-months post-delivery in mothers and 30-months in infants. PTB rates and costs were based on > 40,000 mothers and infants from the HealthCore Integrated Research Database® with birth events in 2016. Estimates of test performance, treatment effectiveness, and other model inputs were derived from published literature.Results: In the base case, the risk-screening-and-treat strategy dominated usual care with an estimated 870 fewer PTBs (20% reduction) and $54 million less in total cost ($863 net savings per pregnant woman). Reductions were projected for neonatal intensive care admissions (10%), overall length-of-stay (7%), and births < 32 weeks (33%). Treatment effectiveness had the strongest influence on cost-effectiveness estimates. The risk-screening-and-treat strategy remained dominant in the majority of probabilistic sensitivity analysis simulations and model scenarios.Conclusion: Use of a novel prognostic test during pregnancy to identify women at risk of PTB combined with evidence-based treatment is estimated to reduce total costs while preventing PTBs and their consequences.Keywords: preterm birth, cost effectiveness, progesterone, prognostic testhttps://www.dovepress.com/cost-effectiveness-of-a-proteomic-test-for-preterm-birth-prediction-peer-reviewed-fulltext-article-CEORpreterm birthcost effectivenessprogesteroneprognostic test
spellingShingle Grabner M
Burchard J
Nguyen C
Chung H
Gangan N
Boniface JJ
Zupancic JAF
Stanek E
Cost-Effectiveness of a Proteomic Test for Preterm Birth Prediction
ClinicoEconomics and Outcomes Research
preterm birth
cost effectiveness
progesterone
prognostic test
title Cost-Effectiveness of a Proteomic Test for Preterm Birth Prediction
title_full Cost-Effectiveness of a Proteomic Test for Preterm Birth Prediction
title_fullStr Cost-Effectiveness of a Proteomic Test for Preterm Birth Prediction
title_full_unstemmed Cost-Effectiveness of a Proteomic Test for Preterm Birth Prediction
title_short Cost-Effectiveness of a Proteomic Test for Preterm Birth Prediction
title_sort cost effectiveness of a proteomic test for preterm birth prediction
topic preterm birth
cost effectiveness
progesterone
prognostic test
url https://www.dovepress.com/cost-effectiveness-of-a-proteomic-test-for-preterm-birth-prediction-peer-reviewed-fulltext-article-CEOR
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