Trends and Variabilities of Thunderstorm Days over Bangladesh on the ENSO and IOD Timescales

Thunderstorms (TS) are one of the most devastating atmospheric phenomena, which causes massive damage and adverse losses in various sectors, including agriculture and infrastructure. This study investigates the spatiotemporal variabilities of TS days over Bangladesh and their connection with El Niño...

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Main Authors: Md Wahiduzzaman, Abu Reza Md. Towfiqul Islam, Jing–Jia Luo, Shamsuddin Shahid, Md. Jalal Uddin, Sayed Majadin Shimul, Md Abdus Sattar
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-10-01
Series:Atmosphere
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/11/11/1176
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author Md Wahiduzzaman
Abu Reza Md. Towfiqul Islam
Jing–Jia Luo
Shamsuddin Shahid
Md. Jalal Uddin
Sayed Majadin Shimul
Md Abdus Sattar
author_facet Md Wahiduzzaman
Abu Reza Md. Towfiqul Islam
Jing–Jia Luo
Shamsuddin Shahid
Md. Jalal Uddin
Sayed Majadin Shimul
Md Abdus Sattar
author_sort Md Wahiduzzaman
collection DOAJ
description Thunderstorms (TS) are one of the most devastating atmospheric phenomena, which causes massive damage and adverse losses in various sectors, including agriculture and infrastructure. This study investigates the spatiotemporal variabilities of TS days over Bangladesh and their connection with El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). The TS, ENSO and IOD years’ data for 42 years (1975–2016) are used. The trend in TS days at the spatiotemporal scale is calculated using Mann Kendall and Spearman’s rho test. Results suggest that the trend in TS days is positive for all months except December and January. The significant trends are found for May and June, particularly in the northern and northeastern regions of Bangladesh. In the decadal scale, most of the regions show a significant upward trend in TS days. Results from the Weibull probability distribution model show the highest TS days in the northeastern region. The connection between TS days and ENSO/IOD indicates a decrease in TS activities in Bangladesh during the El Niño and positive IOD years.
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spelling doaj.art-3086dee483054b8d9d8677a2ef283b252023-11-20T19:14:58ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332020-10-011111117610.3390/atmos11111176Trends and Variabilities of Thunderstorm Days over Bangladesh on the ENSO and IOD TimescalesMd Wahiduzzaman0Abu Reza Md. Towfiqul Islam1Jing–Jia Luo2Shamsuddin Shahid3Md. Jalal Uddin4Sayed Majadin Shimul5Md Abdus Sattar6Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster of Ministry of Education, Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, Institute for Climate and Application Research (ICAR), Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210000, ChinaDepartment of Disaster Management, Begum Rokeya University, Rangpur 5400, BangladeshKey Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster of Ministry of Education, Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, Institute for Climate and Application Research (ICAR), Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210000, ChinaDepartment of Water & Environmental Engineering, School of Civil Engineering, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia (UTM), 81310 Johor, MalaysiaCollaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, School of Atmospheric Physics, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210000, ChinaDepartment of Disaster Management, Begum Rokeya University, Rangpur 5400, BangladeshDepartment of Disaster Risk Management, Patuakhali Science and Technology University, Patuakhali 8602, BangladeshThunderstorms (TS) are one of the most devastating atmospheric phenomena, which causes massive damage and adverse losses in various sectors, including agriculture and infrastructure. This study investigates the spatiotemporal variabilities of TS days over Bangladesh and their connection with El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). The TS, ENSO and IOD years’ data for 42 years (1975–2016) are used. The trend in TS days at the spatiotemporal scale is calculated using Mann Kendall and Spearman’s rho test. Results suggest that the trend in TS days is positive for all months except December and January. The significant trends are found for May and June, particularly in the northern and northeastern regions of Bangladesh. In the decadal scale, most of the regions show a significant upward trend in TS days. Results from the Weibull probability distribution model show the highest TS days in the northeastern region. The connection between TS days and ENSO/IOD indicates a decrease in TS activities in Bangladesh during the El Niño and positive IOD years.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/11/11/1176thunderstormvariabilitytrendENSOIODBangladesh
spellingShingle Md Wahiduzzaman
Abu Reza Md. Towfiqul Islam
Jing–Jia Luo
Shamsuddin Shahid
Md. Jalal Uddin
Sayed Majadin Shimul
Md Abdus Sattar
Trends and Variabilities of Thunderstorm Days over Bangladesh on the ENSO and IOD Timescales
Atmosphere
thunderstorm
variability
trend
ENSO
IOD
Bangladesh
title Trends and Variabilities of Thunderstorm Days over Bangladesh on the ENSO and IOD Timescales
title_full Trends and Variabilities of Thunderstorm Days over Bangladesh on the ENSO and IOD Timescales
title_fullStr Trends and Variabilities of Thunderstorm Days over Bangladesh on the ENSO and IOD Timescales
title_full_unstemmed Trends and Variabilities of Thunderstorm Days over Bangladesh on the ENSO and IOD Timescales
title_short Trends and Variabilities of Thunderstorm Days over Bangladesh on the ENSO and IOD Timescales
title_sort trends and variabilities of thunderstorm days over bangladesh on the enso and iod timescales
topic thunderstorm
variability
trend
ENSO
IOD
Bangladesh
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/11/11/1176
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