Complex relationship between seasonal streamflow forecast skill and value in reservoir operations

Complex relationship between seasonal streamflow forecast skill and value in reservoir operations

Considerable research effort has recently been directed at improving and operationalising ensemble seasonal streamflow forecasts. Whilst this creates new opportunities for improving the performance of water resources systems, there may also be associated risks. Here, we explore these potential ri...

Descripció completa

Dades bibliogràfiques
Autors principals:	S. W. D. Turner, J. C. Bennett, D. E. Robertson, S. Galelli
Format:	Article
Idioma:	English
Publicat:	Copernicus Publications 2017-09-01
Col·lecció:	Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Accés en línia:	https://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/21/4841/2017/hess-21-4841-2017.pdf

Ítems similars

Assessment of an ensemble seasonal streamflow forecasting system for Australia
per: J. C. Bennett, et al.
Publicat: (2017-11-01)

An intercomparison of approaches for improving operational seasonal streamflow forecasts
per: P. A. Mendoza, et al.
Publicat: (2017-07-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasts for Europe – Part 2: Sources of skill
per: W. Greuell, et al.
Publicat: (2019-01-01)

The benefit of using an ensemble of seasonal streamflow forecasts in water allocation decisions
per: A. Kaune, et al.
Publicat: (2020-07-01)

Unfolding the relationship between seasonal forecast skill and value in hydropower production: a global analysis
per: D. Lee, et al.
Publicat: (2022-05-01)

A strategy to overcome adverse effects of autoregressive updating of streamflow forecasts
per: M. Li, et al.
Publicat: (2015-01-01)

Error reduction and representation in stages (ERRIS) in hydrological modelling for ensemble streamflow forecasting
per: M. Li, et al.
Publicat: (2016-09-01)

Bias correcting precipitation forecasts to improve the skill of seasonal streamflow forecasts
per: L. Crochemore, et al.
Publicat: (2016-09-01)

Improving statistical forecasts of seasonal streamflows using hydrological model output
per: D. E. Robertson, et al.
Publicat: (2013-02-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasting in the upper Indus Basin of Pakistan: an assessment of methods
per: S. P. Charles, et al.
Publicat: (2018-06-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasts in the Ahlergaarde catchment, Denmark: the effect of preprocessing and post-processing on skill and statistical consistency
per: D. Lucatero, et al.
Publicat: (2018-07-01)

Skill of a global forecasting system in seasonal ensemble streamflow prediction
per: N. Candogan Yossef, et al.
Publicat: (2017-08-01)

The challenge of forecasting high streamflows 1–3 months in advance with lagged climate indices in southeast Australia
per: J. C. Bennett, et al.
Publicat: (2014-02-01)

Skilful seasonal forecasts of streamflow over Europe?
per: L. Arnal, et al.
Publicat: (2018-04-01)

Neglect of Potential Seasonal Streamflow Forecasting Skill in the United States National Water Model
per: Wade T. Crow, et al.
Publicat: (2024-02-01)

Evaluating post-processing approaches for monthly and seasonal streamflow forecasts
per: F. Woldemeskel, et al.
Publicat: (2018-12-01)

Optimising seasonal streamflow forecast lead time for operational decision making in Australia
per: A. Schepen, et al.
Publicat: (2016-10-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasting by conditioning climatology with precipitation indices
per: L. Crochemore, et al.
Publicat: (2017-03-01)

Leveraging multi-model season-ahead streamflow forecasts to trigger advanced flood preparedness in Peru
per: C. Keating, et al.
Publicat: (2021-07-01)

Development of a national 7-day ensemble streamflow forecasting service for Australia
per: H. A. P. Hapuarachchi, et al.
Publicat: (2022-09-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasting in South America’s largest rivers
per: Ingrid Petry, et al.
Publicat: (2023-10-01)

Using MODIS estimates of fractional snow cover area to improve streamflow forecasts in interior Alaska
per: K. E. Bennett, et al.
Publicat: (2019-05-01)

Evaluation of numerical weather prediction model precipitation forecasts for short-term streamflow forecasting purpose
per: D. L. Shrestha, et al.
Publicat: (2013-05-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasts for Europe – Part I: Hindcast verification with pseudo- and real observations
per: W. Greuell, et al.
Publicat: (2018-06-01)

Post-processing rainfall forecasts from numerical weather prediction models for short-term streamflow forecasting
per: D. E. Robertson, et al.
Publicat: (2013-09-01)

Evaluation of model-based seasonal streamflow and water allocation forecasts for the Elqui Valley, Chile
per: J. Delorit, et al.
Publicat: (2017-09-01)

Assessing the predictive capability of randomized tree-based ensembles in streamflow modelling
per: S. Galelli, et al.
Publicat: (2013-07-01)

Benchmarking Real-Time Streamflow Forecast Skill in the Himalayan Region
per: Ganesh R. Ghimire, et al.
Publicat: (2020-07-01)

AI-based techniques for multi-step streamflow forecasts: application for multi-objective reservoir operation optimization and performance assessment
per: Y. Guo, et al.
Publicat: (2021-11-01)

A dynamical statistical framework for seasonal streamflow forecasting in an agricultural watershed
per: Slater, L, et al.
Publicat: (2017)

Contribution of potential evaporation forecasts to 10-day streamflow forecast skill for the Rhine River
per: B. van Osnabrugge, et al.
Publicat: (2019-03-01)

Development of reservoir operation rules using seasonal climate forecasts
per: Andressa Adna Cavalcante Morais, et al.
Publicat: (2021-07-01)

Forecast skill of the Indian monsoon and its onset in the ECMWF seasonal forecasting system 5 (SEAS5)
per: Chevuturi, A, et al.
Publicat: (2021)

Towards robust seasonal streamflow forecasts in mountainous catchments: impact of calibration metric selection in hydrological modeling
per: D. Araya, et al.
Publicat: (2023-12-01)

Financial markets value skillful forecasts of seasonal climate
per: Derek Lemoine, et al.
Publicat: (2024-05-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasting by surrogate modeling in the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin, China
per: Haiting Gu, et al.
Publicat: (2024-06-01)

Inferred inflow forecast horizons guiding reservoir release decisions across the United States
per: S. W. D. Turner, et al.
Publicat: (2020-03-01)

FROSTBYTE: a reproducible data-driven workflow for probabilistic seasonal streamflow forecasting in snow-fed river basins across North America
per: L. Arnal, et al.
Publicat: (2024-09-01)

Flexible forecast value metric suitable for a wide range of decisions: application using probabilistic subseasonal streamflow forecasts
per: R. Laugesen, et al.
Publicat: (2023-02-01)

Comparison of cross-validation and bootstrap aggregating for building a seasonal streamflow forecast model
per: S. Schick, et al.
Publicat: (2016-10-01)