Complex relationship between seasonal streamflow forecast skill and value in reservoir operations

Complex relationship between seasonal streamflow forecast skill and value in reservoir operations

Considerable research effort has recently been directed at improving and operationalising ensemble seasonal streamflow forecasts. Whilst this creates new opportunities for improving the performance of water resources systems, there may also be associated risks. Here, we explore these potential ri...

Fuld beskrivelse

Bibliografiske detaljer
Main Authors:	S. W. D. Turner, J. C. Bennett, D. E. Robertson, S. Galelli
Format:	Article
Sprog:	English
Udgivet:	Copernicus Publications 2017-09-01
Serier:	Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Online adgang:	https://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/21/4841/2017/hess-21-4841-2017.pdf

Lignende værker

Assessment of an ensemble seasonal streamflow forecasting system for Australia
af: J. C. Bennett, et al.
Udgivet: (2017-11-01)

An intercomparison of approaches for improving operational seasonal streamflow forecasts
af: P. A. Mendoza, et al.
Udgivet: (2017-07-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasts for Europe – Part 2: Sources of skill
af: W. Greuell, et al.
Udgivet: (2019-01-01)

The benefit of using an ensemble of seasonal streamflow forecasts in water allocation decisions
af: A. Kaune, et al.
Udgivet: (2020-07-01)

Unfolding the relationship between seasonal forecast skill and value in hydropower production: a global analysis
af: D. Lee, et al.
Udgivet: (2022-05-01)

A strategy to overcome adverse effects of autoregressive updating of streamflow forecasts
af: M. Li, et al.
Udgivet: (2015-01-01)

Error reduction and representation in stages (ERRIS) in hydrological modelling for ensemble streamflow forecasting
af: M. Li, et al.
Udgivet: (2016-09-01)

Bias correcting precipitation forecasts to improve the skill of seasonal streamflow forecasts
af: L. Crochemore, et al.
Udgivet: (2016-09-01)

Improving statistical forecasts of seasonal streamflows using hydrological model output
af: D. E. Robertson, et al.
Udgivet: (2013-02-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasting in the upper Indus Basin of Pakistan: an assessment of methods
af: S. P. Charles, et al.
Udgivet: (2018-06-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasts in the Ahlergaarde catchment, Denmark: the effect of preprocessing and post-processing on skill and statistical consistency
af: D. Lucatero, et al.
Udgivet: (2018-07-01)

Skill of a global forecasting system in seasonal ensemble streamflow prediction
af: N. Candogan Yossef, et al.
Udgivet: (2017-08-01)

The challenge of forecasting high streamflows 1–3 months in advance with lagged climate indices in southeast Australia
af: J. C. Bennett, et al.
Udgivet: (2014-02-01)

Skilful seasonal forecasts of streamflow over Europe?
af: L. Arnal, et al.
Udgivet: (2018-04-01)

Neglect of Potential Seasonal Streamflow Forecasting Skill in the United States National Water Model
af: Wade T. Crow, et al.
Udgivet: (2024-02-01)

Evaluating post-processing approaches for monthly and seasonal streamflow forecasts
af: F. Woldemeskel, et al.
Udgivet: (2018-12-01)

Optimising seasonal streamflow forecast lead time for operational decision making in Australia
af: A. Schepen, et al.
Udgivet: (2016-10-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasting by conditioning climatology with precipitation indices
af: L. Crochemore, et al.
Udgivet: (2017-03-01)

Leveraging multi-model season-ahead streamflow forecasts to trigger advanced flood preparedness in Peru
af: C. Keating, et al.
Udgivet: (2021-07-01)

Development of a national 7-day ensemble streamflow forecasting service for Australia
af: H. A. P. Hapuarachchi, et al.
Udgivet: (2022-09-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasting in South America’s largest rivers
af: Ingrid Petry, et al.
Udgivet: (2023-10-01)

Using MODIS estimates of fractional snow cover area to improve streamflow forecasts in interior Alaska
af: K. E. Bennett, et al.
Udgivet: (2019-05-01)

Evaluation of numerical weather prediction model precipitation forecasts for short-term streamflow forecasting purpose
af: D. L. Shrestha, et al.
Udgivet: (2013-05-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasts for Europe – Part I: Hindcast verification with pseudo- and real observations
af: W. Greuell, et al.
Udgivet: (2018-06-01)

Post-processing rainfall forecasts from numerical weather prediction models for short-term streamflow forecasting
af: D. E. Robertson, et al.
Udgivet: (2013-09-01)

Evaluation of model-based seasonal streamflow and water allocation forecasts for the Elqui Valley, Chile
af: J. Delorit, et al.
Udgivet: (2017-09-01)

Assessing the predictive capability of randomized tree-based ensembles in streamflow modelling
af: S. Galelli, et al.
Udgivet: (2013-07-01)

Benchmarking Real-Time Streamflow Forecast Skill in the Himalayan Region
af: Ganesh R. Ghimire, et al.
Udgivet: (2020-07-01)

AI-based techniques for multi-step streamflow forecasts: application for multi-objective reservoir operation optimization and performance assessment
af: Y. Guo, et al.
Udgivet: (2021-11-01)

A dynamical statistical framework for seasonal streamflow forecasting in an agricultural watershed
af: Slater, L, et al.
Udgivet: (2017)

Contribution of potential evaporation forecasts to 10-day streamflow forecast skill for the Rhine River
af: B. van Osnabrugge, et al.
Udgivet: (2019-03-01)

Development of reservoir operation rules using seasonal climate forecasts
af: Andressa Adna Cavalcante Morais, et al.
Udgivet: (2021-07-01)

Forecast skill of the Indian monsoon and its onset in the ECMWF seasonal forecasting system 5 (SEAS5)
af: Chevuturi, A, et al.
Udgivet: (2021)

Towards robust seasonal streamflow forecasts in mountainous catchments: impact of calibration metric selection in hydrological modeling
af: D. Araya, et al.
Udgivet: (2023-12-01)

Financial markets value skillful forecasts of seasonal climate
af: Derek Lemoine, et al.
Udgivet: (2024-05-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasting by surrogate modeling in the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin, China
af: Haiting Gu, et al.
Udgivet: (2024-06-01)

Inferred inflow forecast horizons guiding reservoir release decisions across the United States
af: S. W. D. Turner, et al.
Udgivet: (2020-03-01)

FROSTBYTE: a reproducible data-driven workflow for probabilistic seasonal streamflow forecasting in snow-fed river basins across North America
af: L. Arnal, et al.
Udgivet: (2024-09-01)

Flexible forecast value metric suitable for a wide range of decisions: application using probabilistic subseasonal streamflow forecasts
af: R. Laugesen, et al.
Udgivet: (2023-02-01)

Comparison of cross-validation and bootstrap aggregating for building a seasonal streamflow forecast model
af: S. Schick, et al.
Udgivet: (2016-10-01)