Complex relationship between seasonal streamflow forecast skill and value in reservoir operations

Complex relationship between seasonal streamflow forecast skill and value in reservoir operations

Considerable research effort has recently been directed at improving and operationalising ensemble seasonal streamflow forecasts. Whilst this creates new opportunities for improving the performance of water resources systems, there may also be associated risks. Here, we explore these potential ri...

Бүрэн тодорхойлолт

Номзүйн дэлгэрэнгүй
Үндсэн зохиолчид:	S. W. D. Turner, J. C. Bennett, D. E. Robertson, S. Galelli
Формат:	Өгүүллэг
Хэл сонгох:	English
Хэвлэсэн:	Copernicus Publications 2017-09-01
Цуврал:	Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Онлайн хандалт:	https://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/21/4841/2017/hess-21-4841-2017.pdf

Ижил төстэй зүйлс

Assessment of an ensemble seasonal streamflow forecasting system for Australia
-н: J. C. Bennett, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2017-11-01)

An intercomparison of approaches for improving operational seasonal streamflow forecasts
-н: P. A. Mendoza, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2017-07-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasts for Europe – Part 2: Sources of skill
-н: W. Greuell, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2019-01-01)

The benefit of using an ensemble of seasonal streamflow forecasts in water allocation decisions
-н: A. Kaune, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2020-07-01)

Unfolding the relationship between seasonal forecast skill and value in hydropower production: a global analysis
-н: D. Lee, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2022-05-01)

A strategy to overcome adverse effects of autoregressive updating of streamflow forecasts
-н: M. Li, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2015-01-01)

Error reduction and representation in stages (ERRIS) in hydrological modelling for ensemble streamflow forecasting
-н: M. Li, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2016-09-01)

Bias correcting precipitation forecasts to improve the skill of seasonal streamflow forecasts
-н: L. Crochemore, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2016-09-01)

Improving statistical forecasts of seasonal streamflows using hydrological model output
-н: D. E. Robertson, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2013-02-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasting in the upper Indus Basin of Pakistan: an assessment of methods
-н: S. P. Charles, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2018-06-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasts in the Ahlergaarde catchment, Denmark: the effect of preprocessing and post-processing on skill and statistical consistency
-н: D. Lucatero, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2018-07-01)

Skill of a global forecasting system in seasonal ensemble streamflow prediction
-н: N. Candogan Yossef, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2017-08-01)

The challenge of forecasting high streamflows 1–3 months in advance with lagged climate indices in southeast Australia
-н: J. C. Bennett, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2014-02-01)

Skilful seasonal forecasts of streamflow over Europe?
-н: L. Arnal, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2018-04-01)

Neglect of Potential Seasonal Streamflow Forecasting Skill in the United States National Water Model
-н: Wade T. Crow, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2024-02-01)

Evaluating post-processing approaches for monthly and seasonal streamflow forecasts
-н: F. Woldemeskel, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2018-12-01)

Optimising seasonal streamflow forecast lead time for operational decision making in Australia
-н: A. Schepen, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2016-10-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasting by conditioning climatology with precipitation indices
-н: L. Crochemore, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2017-03-01)

Leveraging multi-model season-ahead streamflow forecasts to trigger advanced flood preparedness in Peru
-н: C. Keating, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2021-07-01)

Development of a national 7-day ensemble streamflow forecasting service for Australia
-н: H. A. P. Hapuarachchi, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2022-09-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasting in South America’s largest rivers
-н: Ingrid Petry, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2023-10-01)

Using MODIS estimates of fractional snow cover area to improve streamflow forecasts in interior Alaska
-н: K. E. Bennett, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2019-05-01)

Evaluation of numerical weather prediction model precipitation forecasts for short-term streamflow forecasting purpose
-н: D. L. Shrestha, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2013-05-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasts for Europe – Part I: Hindcast verification with pseudo- and real observations
-н: W. Greuell, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2018-06-01)

Post-processing rainfall forecasts from numerical weather prediction models for short-term streamflow forecasting
-н: D. E. Robertson, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2013-09-01)

Evaluation of model-based seasonal streamflow and water allocation forecasts for the Elqui Valley, Chile
-н: J. Delorit, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2017-09-01)

Assessing the predictive capability of randomized tree-based ensembles in streamflow modelling
-н: S. Galelli, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2013-07-01)

Benchmarking Real-Time Streamflow Forecast Skill in the Himalayan Region
-н: Ganesh R. Ghimire, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2020-07-01)

AI-based techniques for multi-step streamflow forecasts: application for multi-objective reservoir operation optimization and performance assessment
-н: Y. Guo, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2021-11-01)

A dynamical statistical framework for seasonal streamflow forecasting in an agricultural watershed
-н: Slater, L, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2017)

Contribution of potential evaporation forecasts to 10-day streamflow forecast skill for the Rhine River
-н: B. van Osnabrugge, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2019-03-01)

Development of reservoir operation rules using seasonal climate forecasts
-н: Andressa Adna Cavalcante Morais, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2021-07-01)

Forecast skill of the Indian monsoon and its onset in the ECMWF seasonal forecasting system 5 (SEAS5)
-н: Chevuturi, A, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2021)

Towards robust seasonal streamflow forecasts in mountainous catchments: impact of calibration metric selection in hydrological modeling
-н: D. Araya, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2023-12-01)

Financial markets value skillful forecasts of seasonal climate
-н: Derek Lemoine, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2024-05-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasting by surrogate modeling in the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin, China
-н: Haiting Gu, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2024-06-01)

Inferred inflow forecast horizons guiding reservoir release decisions across the United States
-н: S. W. D. Turner, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2020-03-01)

FROSTBYTE: a reproducible data-driven workflow for probabilistic seasonal streamflow forecasting in snow-fed river basins across North America
-н: L. Arnal, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2024-09-01)

Flexible forecast value metric suitable for a wide range of decisions: application using probabilistic subseasonal streamflow forecasts
-н: R. Laugesen, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2023-02-01)

Comparison of cross-validation and bootstrap aggregating for building a seasonal streamflow forecast model
-н: S. Schick, зэрэг
Хэвлэсэн: (2016-10-01)