Complex relationship between seasonal streamflow forecast skill and value in reservoir operations

Complex relationship between seasonal streamflow forecast skill and value in reservoir operations

Considerable research effort has recently been directed at improving and operationalising ensemble seasonal streamflow forecasts. Whilst this creates new opportunities for improving the performance of water resources systems, there may also be associated risks. Here, we explore these potential ri...

Mô tả đầy đủ

Chi tiết về thư mục
Những tác giả chính:	S. W. D. Turner, J. C. Bennett, D. E. Robertson, S. Galelli
Định dạng:	Bài viết
Ngôn ngữ:	English
Được phát hành:	Copernicus Publications 2017-09-01
Loạt:	Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Truy cập trực tuyến:	https://www.hydrol-earth-syst-sci.net/21/4841/2017/hess-21-4841-2017.pdf

Những quyển sách tương tự

Assessment of an ensemble seasonal streamflow forecasting system for Australia
Bằng: J. C. Bennett, et al.
Được phát hành: (2017-11-01)

An intercomparison of approaches for improving operational seasonal streamflow forecasts
Bằng: P. A. Mendoza, et al.
Được phát hành: (2017-07-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasts for Europe – Part 2: Sources of skill
Bằng: W. Greuell, et al.
Được phát hành: (2019-01-01)

The benefit of using an ensemble of seasonal streamflow forecasts in water allocation decisions
Bằng: A. Kaune, et al.
Được phát hành: (2020-07-01)

Unfolding the relationship between seasonal forecast skill and value in hydropower production: a global analysis
Bằng: D. Lee, et al.
Được phát hành: (2022-05-01)

A strategy to overcome adverse effects of autoregressive updating of streamflow forecasts
Bằng: M. Li, et al.
Được phát hành: (2015-01-01)

Error reduction and representation in stages (ERRIS) in hydrological modelling for ensemble streamflow forecasting
Bằng: M. Li, et al.
Được phát hành: (2016-09-01)

Bias correcting precipitation forecasts to improve the skill of seasonal streamflow forecasts
Bằng: L. Crochemore, et al.
Được phát hành: (2016-09-01)

Improving statistical forecasts of seasonal streamflows using hydrological model output
Bằng: D. E. Robertson, et al.
Được phát hành: (2013-02-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasting in the upper Indus Basin of Pakistan: an assessment of methods
Bằng: S. P. Charles, et al.
Được phát hành: (2018-06-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasts in the Ahlergaarde catchment, Denmark: the effect of preprocessing and post-processing on skill and statistical consistency
Bằng: D. Lucatero, et al.
Được phát hành: (2018-07-01)

Skill of a global forecasting system in seasonal ensemble streamflow prediction
Bằng: N. Candogan Yossef, et al.
Được phát hành: (2017-08-01)

The challenge of forecasting high streamflows 1–3 months in advance with lagged climate indices in southeast Australia
Bằng: J. C. Bennett, et al.
Được phát hành: (2014-02-01)

Skilful seasonal forecasts of streamflow over Europe?
Bằng: L. Arnal, et al.
Được phát hành: (2018-04-01)

Neglect of Potential Seasonal Streamflow Forecasting Skill in the United States National Water Model
Bằng: Wade T. Crow, et al.
Được phát hành: (2024-02-01)

Evaluating post-processing approaches for monthly and seasonal streamflow forecasts
Bằng: F. Woldemeskel, et al.
Được phát hành: (2018-12-01)

Optimising seasonal streamflow forecast lead time for operational decision making in Australia
Bằng: A. Schepen, et al.
Được phát hành: (2016-10-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasting by conditioning climatology with precipitation indices
Bằng: L. Crochemore, et al.
Được phát hành: (2017-03-01)

Leveraging multi-model season-ahead streamflow forecasts to trigger advanced flood preparedness in Peru
Bằng: C. Keating, et al.
Được phát hành: (2021-07-01)

Development of a national 7-day ensemble streamflow forecasting service for Australia
Bằng: H. A. P. Hapuarachchi, et al.
Được phát hành: (2022-09-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasting in South America’s largest rivers
Bằng: Ingrid Petry, et al.
Được phát hành: (2023-10-01)

Using MODIS estimates of fractional snow cover area to improve streamflow forecasts in interior Alaska
Bằng: K. E. Bennett, et al.
Được phát hành: (2019-05-01)

Evaluation of numerical weather prediction model precipitation forecasts for short-term streamflow forecasting purpose
Bằng: D. L. Shrestha, et al.
Được phát hành: (2013-05-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasts for Europe – Part I: Hindcast verification with pseudo- and real observations
Bằng: W. Greuell, et al.
Được phát hành: (2018-06-01)

Post-processing rainfall forecasts from numerical weather prediction models for short-term streamflow forecasting
Bằng: D. E. Robertson, et al.
Được phát hành: (2013-09-01)

Evaluation of model-based seasonal streamflow and water allocation forecasts for the Elqui Valley, Chile
Bằng: J. Delorit, et al.
Được phát hành: (2017-09-01)

Assessing the predictive capability of randomized tree-based ensembles in streamflow modelling
Bằng: S. Galelli, et al.
Được phát hành: (2013-07-01)

Benchmarking Real-Time Streamflow Forecast Skill in the Himalayan Region
Bằng: Ganesh R. Ghimire, et al.
Được phát hành: (2020-07-01)

AI-based techniques for multi-step streamflow forecasts: application for multi-objective reservoir operation optimization and performance assessment
Bằng: Y. Guo, et al.
Được phát hành: (2021-11-01)

A dynamical statistical framework for seasonal streamflow forecasting in an agricultural watershed
Bằng: Slater, L, et al.
Được phát hành: (2017)

Contribution of potential evaporation forecasts to 10-day streamflow forecast skill for the Rhine River
Bằng: B. van Osnabrugge, et al.
Được phát hành: (2019-03-01)

Development of reservoir operation rules using seasonal climate forecasts
Bằng: Andressa Adna Cavalcante Morais, et al.
Được phát hành: (2021-07-01)

Forecast skill of the Indian monsoon and its onset in the ECMWF seasonal forecasting system 5 (SEAS5)
Bằng: Chevuturi, A, et al.
Được phát hành: (2021)

Towards robust seasonal streamflow forecasts in mountainous catchments: impact of calibration metric selection in hydrological modeling
Bằng: D. Araya, et al.
Được phát hành: (2023-12-01)

Financial markets value skillful forecasts of seasonal climate
Bằng: Derek Lemoine, et al.
Được phát hành: (2024-05-01)

Seasonal streamflow forecasting by surrogate modeling in the Yarlung Zangbo River Basin, China
Bằng: Haiting Gu, et al.
Được phát hành: (2024-06-01)

Inferred inflow forecast horizons guiding reservoir release decisions across the United States
Bằng: S. W. D. Turner, et al.
Được phát hành: (2020-03-01)

FROSTBYTE: a reproducible data-driven workflow for probabilistic seasonal streamflow forecasting in snow-fed river basins across North America
Bằng: L. Arnal, et al.
Được phát hành: (2024-09-01)

Flexible forecast value metric suitable for a wide range of decisions: application using probabilistic subseasonal streamflow forecasts
Bằng: R. Laugesen, et al.
Được phát hành: (2023-02-01)

Comparison of cross-validation and bootstrap aggregating for building a seasonal streamflow forecast model
Bằng: S. Schick, et al.
Được phát hành: (2016-10-01)