The Determinants of Banking Crises in Iranian

The banking structure in Iran has undergone dramatic changes for the past three decades going from a mixed private-public banking system to a complete state-owned banking system.  Although banking crisis such as bank panic and bank run has never been observed in Iran, the money market pressure index...

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Main Authors: Saeed Moshiri, Mohammad Nadali
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Allameh Tabataba'i University Press 2013-03-01
Series:Faslnāmah-i Pizhūhish/Nāmah-i Iqtisādī
Subjects:
Online Access:https://joer.atu.ac.ir/article_913_8821f85de929853ceac9ee919f73f516.pdf
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author Saeed Moshiri
Mohammad Nadali
author_facet Saeed Moshiri
Mohammad Nadali
author_sort Saeed Moshiri
collection DOAJ
description The banking structure in Iran has undergone dramatic changes for the past three decades going from a mixed private-public banking system to a complete state-owned banking system.  Although banking crisis such as bank panic and bank run has never been observed in Iran, the money market pressure index shows that the banking system has experienced crisis in various times. In this paper, we use the banking crisis data derived by Moshiri and Nadali (2010) to estimate the determinants of the banking crisis in Iran, using a Logit model for the period 1971-2008. The estimation results show that inflation, short term interest rate, and the ratio of domestic credit to private sector to GDP are the main factors affecting banking crisis in Iran. Moreover, the results indicate that the relationship between inflation rate and the banking crisis is U shape. The exchange rate does not have a significant effect on the banking crisis as the Iranian banking system is not heavily involved in the international financial markets and is not strongly connected to the international banking system.
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spelling doaj.art-311c096979694bd2acf553b66f7c340b2023-12-26T07:58:06ZfasAllameh Tabataba'i University PressFaslnāmah-i Pizhūhish/Nāmah-i Iqtisādī1735-210X2476-64532013-03-011348127913The Determinants of Banking Crises in IranianSaeed Moshiri0Mohammad Nadali1PhD, EconomicsPhD, Economics, Researcher at Central Bank of IranThe banking structure in Iran has undergone dramatic changes for the past three decades going from a mixed private-public banking system to a complete state-owned banking system.  Although banking crisis such as bank panic and bank run has never been observed in Iran, the money market pressure index shows that the banking system has experienced crisis in various times. In this paper, we use the banking crisis data derived by Moshiri and Nadali (2010) to estimate the determinants of the banking crisis in Iran, using a Logit model for the period 1971-2008. The estimation results show that inflation, short term interest rate, and the ratio of domestic credit to private sector to GDP are the main factors affecting banking crisis in Iran. Moreover, the results indicate that the relationship between inflation rate and the banking crisis is U shape. The exchange rate does not have a significant effect on the banking crisis as the Iranian banking system is not heavily involved in the international financial markets and is not strongly connected to the international banking system.https://joer.atu.ac.ir/article_913_8821f85de929853ceac9ee919f73f516.pdfbanking crisislogit modelbanking systemiran
spellingShingle Saeed Moshiri
Mohammad Nadali
The Determinants of Banking Crises in Iranian
Faslnāmah-i Pizhūhish/Nāmah-i Iqtisādī
banking crisis
logit model
banking system
iran
title The Determinants of Banking Crises in Iranian
title_full The Determinants of Banking Crises in Iranian
title_fullStr The Determinants of Banking Crises in Iranian
title_full_unstemmed The Determinants of Banking Crises in Iranian
title_short The Determinants of Banking Crises in Iranian
title_sort determinants of banking crises in iranian
topic banking crisis
logit model
banking system
iran
url https://joer.atu.ac.ir/article_913_8821f85de929853ceac9ee919f73f516.pdf
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