Extending Basel Regulatory Capital Requirement under Economic Downturns

This paper studies credit risk management in banking industry and proposes a generic model for corporate loan portfolio loss distribution in economic downturns. Basel assumes a one-factor Gaussian copula for default correlations and introduces the regulatory capital on the ground of Vasicek process...

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Main Authors: Amir Azamtarrahian, Saeed Asadi
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Allameh Tabataba'i University Press 2018-09-01
Series:فصلنامه پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_9516_9e7ad1b8e9dcbb1926fdabe407e16873.pdf
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author Amir Azamtarrahian
Saeed Asadi
author_facet Amir Azamtarrahian
Saeed Asadi
author_sort Amir Azamtarrahian
collection DOAJ
description This paper studies credit risk management in banking industry and proposes a generic model for corporate loan portfolio loss distribution in economic downturns. Basel assumes a one-factor Gaussian copula for default correlations and introduces the regulatory capital on the ground of Vasicek process that works acceptably well in normal economic situations but not in recessions. In this paper, one-factor t-student copula is used for dependence structure of probability of Defaults (PDs), and Basel has been extended by introducing correlated PDs and Recovery Rates (RRs) through Clayton copula and the required economic capital is calculated accordingly. Finally, our findings suggest that Expected Shortfall (ES) safeguards banks against losses beyond the VaR level and it is a better risk metric in economic downturns comparing to VaR.
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spelling doaj.art-31311569b1e049ca9c3ac800458288762024-01-02T10:29:30ZfasAllameh Tabataba'i University Pressفصلنامه پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران1726-07282476-64452018-09-01237615918410.22054/ijer.2018.95169516Extending Basel Regulatory Capital Requirement under Economic DownturnsAmir Azamtarrahian0Saeed Asadi1Investment Analyst, Postgraduate of Corporate Finance, Risk Management Area of Study, Saint Petersburg State University, RussiaPostgraduate of Financial Engineering, Tarbiat Modarres University, Tehran, IranThis paper studies credit risk management in banking industry and proposes a generic model for corporate loan portfolio loss distribution in economic downturns. Basel assumes a one-factor Gaussian copula for default correlations and introduces the regulatory capital on the ground of Vasicek process that works acceptably well in normal economic situations but not in recessions. In this paper, one-factor t-student copula is used for dependence structure of probability of Defaults (PDs), and Basel has been extended by introducing correlated PDs and Recovery Rates (RRs) through Clayton copula and the required economic capital is calculated accordingly. Finally, our findings suggest that Expected Shortfall (ES) safeguards banks against losses beyond the VaR level and it is a better risk metric in economic downturns comparing to VaR.https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_9516_9e7ad1b8e9dcbb1926fdabe407e16873.pdfcredit riskdefault correlationcopulaportfolio loss distributionbasel
spellingShingle Amir Azamtarrahian
Saeed Asadi
Extending Basel Regulatory Capital Requirement under Economic Downturns
فصلنامه پژوهش‌های اقتصادی ایران
credit risk
default correlation
copula
portfolio loss distribution
basel
title Extending Basel Regulatory Capital Requirement under Economic Downturns
title_full Extending Basel Regulatory Capital Requirement under Economic Downturns
title_fullStr Extending Basel Regulatory Capital Requirement under Economic Downturns
title_full_unstemmed Extending Basel Regulatory Capital Requirement under Economic Downturns
title_short Extending Basel Regulatory Capital Requirement under Economic Downturns
title_sort extending basel regulatory capital requirement under economic downturns
topic credit risk
default correlation
copula
portfolio loss distribution
basel
url https://ijer.atu.ac.ir/article_9516_9e7ad1b8e9dcbb1926fdabe407e16873.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT amirazamtarrahian extendingbaselregulatorycapitalrequirementundereconomicdownturns
AT saeedasadi extendingbaselregulatorycapitalrequirementundereconomicdownturns