Possible Effects of Climate Change on the Occurrence and Distribution of the Rare Moss <i>Buxbaumia viridis</i> in Serbia (SE Europe)

The distribution range and occurrence of the rare and threatened epixylic moss <i>Buxbaumia viridis</i> have been reviewed in Serbia. Climatic conditions of its recent distribution in Serbia were involved in species distribution modeling and analyzed with the aim of obtaining a projectio...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Jovana P. Pantović, Djordje P. Božović, Marko S. Sabovljević
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-01-01
Series:Plants
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2223-7747/12/3/557
Description
Summary:The distribution range and occurrence of the rare and threatened epixylic moss <i>Buxbaumia viridis</i> have been reviewed in Serbia. Climatic conditions of its recent distribution in Serbia were involved in species distribution modeling and analyzed with the aim of obtaining a projection of unknown potential sites and future scenarios of its distribution dynamics. The results achieved suggest potential distribution range of the species will be significantly reduced. According to the climate change models, the habitat changes including the range loss of this species are predicted to be drastic, i.e., between 93% and 97% by the year 2050, and between 98% and 99.9% by the year 2070, affecting primarily lower elevations of its current range in Serbia. A major reason for the projected decline of the species is climate change combined with continued poor forest management.
ISSN:2223-7747