Possible Effects of Climate Change on the Occurrence and Distribution of the Rare Moss <i>Buxbaumia viridis</i> in Serbia (SE Europe)
The distribution range and occurrence of the rare and threatened epixylic moss <i>Buxbaumia viridis</i> have been reviewed in Serbia. Climatic conditions of its recent distribution in Serbia were involved in species distribution modeling and analyzed with the aim of obtaining a projectio...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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MDPI AG
2023-01-01
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| Series: | Plants |
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| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2223-7747/12/3/557 |
| _version_ | 1797623453010886656 |
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| author | Jovana P. Pantović Djordje P. Božović Marko S. Sabovljević |
| author_facet | Jovana P. Pantović Djordje P. Božović Marko S. Sabovljević |
| author_sort | Jovana P. Pantović |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The distribution range and occurrence of the rare and threatened epixylic moss <i>Buxbaumia viridis</i> have been reviewed in Serbia. Climatic conditions of its recent distribution in Serbia were involved in species distribution modeling and analyzed with the aim of obtaining a projection of unknown potential sites and future scenarios of its distribution dynamics. The results achieved suggest potential distribution range of the species will be significantly reduced. According to the climate change models, the habitat changes including the range loss of this species are predicted to be drastic, i.e., between 93% and 97% by the year 2050, and between 98% and 99.9% by the year 2070, affecting primarily lower elevations of its current range in Serbia. A major reason for the projected decline of the species is climate change combined with continued poor forest management. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-11T09:29:12Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-313d5ba553a94dc59b18d242b0e33dea |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2223-7747 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-11T09:29:12Z |
| publishDate | 2023-01-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Plants |
| spelling | doaj.art-313d5ba553a94dc59b18d242b0e33dea2023-11-16T17:44:04ZengMDPI AGPlants2223-77472023-01-0112355710.3390/plants12030557Possible Effects of Climate Change on the Occurrence and Distribution of the Rare Moss <i>Buxbaumia viridis</i> in Serbia (SE Europe)Jovana P. Pantović0Djordje P. Božović1Marko S. Sabovljević2Institute of Botany and Botanical Garden, Faculty of Biology, University of Belgrade, Takovska 43, 11000 Belgrade, SerbiaInstitute of Botany and Botanical Garden, Faculty of Biology, University of Belgrade, Takovska 43, 11000 Belgrade, SerbiaInstitute of Botany and Botanical Garden, Faculty of Biology, University of Belgrade, Takovska 43, 11000 Belgrade, SerbiaThe distribution range and occurrence of the rare and threatened epixylic moss <i>Buxbaumia viridis</i> have been reviewed in Serbia. Climatic conditions of its recent distribution in Serbia were involved in species distribution modeling and analyzed with the aim of obtaining a projection of unknown potential sites and future scenarios of its distribution dynamics. The results achieved suggest potential distribution range of the species will be significantly reduced. According to the climate change models, the habitat changes including the range loss of this species are predicted to be drastic, i.e., between 93% and 97% by the year 2050, and between 98% and 99.9% by the year 2070, affecting primarily lower elevations of its current range in Serbia. A major reason for the projected decline of the species is climate change combined with continued poor forest management.https://www.mdpi.com/2223-7747/12/3/557scarce speciesbryophytethe BalkansmodellingSDM (species distribution modeling), rangeglobal warming |
| spellingShingle | Jovana P. Pantović Djordje P. Božović Marko S. Sabovljević Possible Effects of Climate Change on the Occurrence and Distribution of the Rare Moss <i>Buxbaumia viridis</i> in Serbia (SE Europe) Plants scarce species bryophyte the Balkans modelling SDM (species distribution modeling), range global warming |
| title | Possible Effects of Climate Change on the Occurrence and Distribution of the Rare Moss <i>Buxbaumia viridis</i> in Serbia (SE Europe) |
| title_full | Possible Effects of Climate Change on the Occurrence and Distribution of the Rare Moss <i>Buxbaumia viridis</i> in Serbia (SE Europe) |
| title_fullStr | Possible Effects of Climate Change on the Occurrence and Distribution of the Rare Moss <i>Buxbaumia viridis</i> in Serbia (SE Europe) |
| title_full_unstemmed | Possible Effects of Climate Change on the Occurrence and Distribution of the Rare Moss <i>Buxbaumia viridis</i> in Serbia (SE Europe) |
| title_short | Possible Effects of Climate Change on the Occurrence and Distribution of the Rare Moss <i>Buxbaumia viridis</i> in Serbia (SE Europe) |
| title_sort | possible effects of climate change on the occurrence and distribution of the rare moss i buxbaumia viridis i in serbia se europe |
| topic | scarce species bryophyte the Balkans modelling SDM (species distribution modeling), range global warming |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2223-7747/12/3/557 |
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