Analysis of Recorded Inflow Data of Ataturk Reservoir
Since the beginning of the last century, the competition for water resources has intensified dramatically, especially between countries that have no agreements in place for water resources that they share. Such is the situation with the Euphrates River which flows through three countries (Turkey, Sy...
| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
University of Baghdad
2016-03-01
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| Series: | Journal of Engineering |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://joe.uobaghdad.edu.iq/index.php/main/article/view/247 |
| _version_ | 1797762711768006656 |
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| author | Ahmed Mohammed Ali, Prof. Dr. Zienh Sami Saaed, Ass. Lect. |
| author_facet | Ahmed Mohammed Ali, Prof. Dr. Zienh Sami Saaed, Ass. Lect. |
| author_sort | Ahmed Mohammed Ali, Prof. Dr. |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Since the beginning of the last century, the competition for water resources has intensified dramatically, especially between countries that have no agreements in place for water resources that they share. Such is the situation with the Euphrates River which flows through three countries (Turkey, Syria, and Iraq) and represents the main water resource for these countries. Therefore, the comprehensive hydrologic investigation needed to derive optimal operations requires reliable forecasts. This study aims to analysis and create a forecasting model for data generation from Turkey perspective by using the recorded inflow data of Ataturk reservoir for the period (Oct. 1961 - Sep. 2009). Based on 49 years of real inflow data from the Euphrates River recorded at Ataturk, a spilt-sample approach was adopted for testing homogeneity. The autoregressive model of order one [AR(1)] was found to be the best for the forecasting as it accurately reproduced the means, standard deviations, and skewness coefficients observed in the generated records forecast at the Ataturk reservoir. Ten sets of 100 years data have been forecasted.
In Iraq, optimization of the operation of all reservoirs is necessary after operating new reservoirs in Turkey. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-12T19:31:20Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-31603bda616e4e09938c7e2dc5ebad00 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1726-4073 2520-3339 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-12T19:31:20Z |
| publishDate | 2016-03-01 |
| publisher | University of Baghdad |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Engineering |
| spelling | doaj.art-31603bda616e4e09938c7e2dc5ebad002023-08-02T04:27:53ZengUniversity of BaghdadJournal of Engineering1726-40732520-33392016-03-01223Analysis of Recorded Inflow Data of Ataturk ReservoirAhmed Mohammed Ali, Prof. Dr.0Zienh Sami Saaed, Ass. Lect.1College of Engineering-University of BaghdadCollege of Engineering-University of BaghdadSince the beginning of the last century, the competition for water resources has intensified dramatically, especially between countries that have no agreements in place for water resources that they share. Such is the situation with the Euphrates River which flows through three countries (Turkey, Syria, and Iraq) and represents the main water resource for these countries. Therefore, the comprehensive hydrologic investigation needed to derive optimal operations requires reliable forecasts. This study aims to analysis and create a forecasting model for data generation from Turkey perspective by using the recorded inflow data of Ataturk reservoir for the period (Oct. 1961 - Sep. 2009). Based on 49 years of real inflow data from the Euphrates River recorded at Ataturk, a spilt-sample approach was adopted for testing homogeneity. The autoregressive model of order one [AR(1)] was found to be the best for the forecasting as it accurately reproduced the means, standard deviations, and skewness coefficients observed in the generated records forecast at the Ataturk reservoir. Ten sets of 100 years data have been forecasted. In Iraq, optimization of the operation of all reservoirs is necessary after operating new reservoirs in Turkey.http://joe.uobaghdad.edu.iq/index.php/main/article/view/247Time series, Reservoir operation, Euphrates River, Ataturk Dam, and Forecasting. |
| spellingShingle | Ahmed Mohammed Ali, Prof. Dr. Zienh Sami Saaed, Ass. Lect. Analysis of Recorded Inflow Data of Ataturk Reservoir Journal of Engineering Time series, Reservoir operation, Euphrates River, Ataturk Dam, and Forecasting. |
| title | Analysis of Recorded Inflow Data of Ataturk Reservoir |
| title_full | Analysis of Recorded Inflow Data of Ataturk Reservoir |
| title_fullStr | Analysis of Recorded Inflow Data of Ataturk Reservoir |
| title_full_unstemmed | Analysis of Recorded Inflow Data of Ataturk Reservoir |
| title_short | Analysis of Recorded Inflow Data of Ataturk Reservoir |
| title_sort | analysis of recorded inflow data of ataturk reservoir |
| topic | Time series, Reservoir operation, Euphrates River, Ataturk Dam, and Forecasting. |
| url | http://joe.uobaghdad.edu.iq/index.php/main/article/view/247 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT ahmedmohammedaliprofdr analysisofrecordedinflowdataofataturkreservoir AT zienhsamisaaedasslect analysisofrecordedinflowdataofataturkreservoir |