The value of utility payment history in predicting first-time homelessness.

Homelessness is a costly and traumatic condition that affects hundreds of thousands of people each year in the U.S. alone. Most homeless programs focus on assisting people experiencing homelessness, but research has shown that predicting and preventing homelessness can be a more cost-effective solut...

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Main Authors: Colin D Middleton, Kim Boynton, David Lewis, Andrew M Oster
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2023-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0292305
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author Colin D Middleton
Kim Boynton
David Lewis
Andrew M Oster
author_facet Colin D Middleton
Kim Boynton
David Lewis
Andrew M Oster
author_sort Colin D Middleton
collection DOAJ
description Homelessness is a costly and traumatic condition that affects hundreds of thousands of people each year in the U.S. alone. Most homeless programs focus on assisting people experiencing homelessness, but research has shown that predicting and preventing homelessness can be a more cost-effective solution. Of the few studies focused on predicting homelessness, most focus on people already seeking assistance; however, these methods necessarily cannot identify those not actively seeking assistance. Providing aid before conditions become dire may better prevent homelessness. Few methods exist to predict homelessness on the general population, and these methods use health and criminal history information, much of which may not be available or timely. We hypothesize that recent financial health information based on utility payment history is useful in predicting homelessness. In particular, we demonstrate the value of utility customer billing records to predict homelessness using logistic regression models based on this data. The performance of these models is comparable to other studies, suggesting such an approach could be productionalized due to the ubiquity and timeliness of this type of data. Our results suggest that utility billing records would have value for screening a broad section of the general population to identify those at risk of homelessness.
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spelling doaj.art-3161907473204ee6a51fd698fabf6aa12023-10-15T05:32:19ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032023-01-011810e029230510.1371/journal.pone.0292305The value of utility payment history in predicting first-time homelessness.Colin D MiddletonKim BoyntonDavid LewisAndrew M OsterHomelessness is a costly and traumatic condition that affects hundreds of thousands of people each year in the U.S. alone. Most homeless programs focus on assisting people experiencing homelessness, but research has shown that predicting and preventing homelessness can be a more cost-effective solution. Of the few studies focused on predicting homelessness, most focus on people already seeking assistance; however, these methods necessarily cannot identify those not actively seeking assistance. Providing aid before conditions become dire may better prevent homelessness. Few methods exist to predict homelessness on the general population, and these methods use health and criminal history information, much of which may not be available or timely. We hypothesize that recent financial health information based on utility payment history is useful in predicting homelessness. In particular, we demonstrate the value of utility customer billing records to predict homelessness using logistic regression models based on this data. The performance of these models is comparable to other studies, suggesting such an approach could be productionalized due to the ubiquity and timeliness of this type of data. Our results suggest that utility billing records would have value for screening a broad section of the general population to identify those at risk of homelessness.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0292305
spellingShingle Colin D Middleton
Kim Boynton
David Lewis
Andrew M Oster
The value of utility payment history in predicting first-time homelessness.
PLoS ONE
title The value of utility payment history in predicting first-time homelessness.
title_full The value of utility payment history in predicting first-time homelessness.
title_fullStr The value of utility payment history in predicting first-time homelessness.
title_full_unstemmed The value of utility payment history in predicting first-time homelessness.
title_short The value of utility payment history in predicting first-time homelessness.
title_sort value of utility payment history in predicting first time homelessness
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0292305
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