The geography of COVID-19 spread in Italy and implications for the relaxation of confinement measures

Releasing COVID-19 lockdown measures risks increases in transmission. Here, the authors estimate the increase in transmission rate for different regions in Italy and estimate that isolation of 5.5% exposed and highly infectious individuals would be needed to compensate for a 40% increase in transmis...

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Main Authors: Enrico Bertuzzo, Lorenzo Mari, Damiano Pasetto, Stefano Miccoli, Renato Casagrandi, Marino Gatto, Andrea Rinaldo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2020-08-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18050-2
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author Enrico Bertuzzo
Lorenzo Mari
Damiano Pasetto
Stefano Miccoli
Renato Casagrandi
Marino Gatto
Andrea Rinaldo
author_facet Enrico Bertuzzo
Lorenzo Mari
Damiano Pasetto
Stefano Miccoli
Renato Casagrandi
Marino Gatto
Andrea Rinaldo
author_sort Enrico Bertuzzo
collection DOAJ
description Releasing COVID-19 lockdown measures risks increases in transmission. Here, the authors estimate the increase in transmission rate for different regions in Italy and estimate that isolation of 5.5% exposed and highly infectious individuals would be needed to compensate for a 40% increase in transmission.
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spelling doaj.art-31a51ea3118d4a3ba68ea25375ef2f202022-12-21T22:59:50ZengNature PortfolioNature Communications2041-17232020-08-0111111110.1038/s41467-020-18050-2The geography of COVID-19 spread in Italy and implications for the relaxation of confinement measuresEnrico Bertuzzo0Lorenzo Mari1Damiano Pasetto2Stefano Miccoli3Renato Casagrandi4Marino Gatto5Andrea Rinaldo6Dipartimento di Scienze Ambientali, Informatica e Statistica, Universitá Ca’ Foscari VeneziaDipartimento di Elettronica, Informazione e Bioingegneria, Politecnico di MilanoDipartimento di Scienze Ambientali, Informatica e Statistica, Universitá Ca’ Foscari VeneziaDipartimento di Meccanica, Politecnico di MilanoDipartimento di Elettronica, Informazione e Bioingegneria, Politecnico di MilanoDipartimento di Elettronica, Informazione e Bioingegneria, Politecnico di MilanoLaboratory of Ecohydrology, École Polytechnique Fédérale de LausanneReleasing COVID-19 lockdown measures risks increases in transmission. Here, the authors estimate the increase in transmission rate for different regions in Italy and estimate that isolation of 5.5% exposed and highly infectious individuals would be needed to compensate for a 40% increase in transmission.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18050-2
spellingShingle Enrico Bertuzzo
Lorenzo Mari
Damiano Pasetto
Stefano Miccoli
Renato Casagrandi
Marino Gatto
Andrea Rinaldo
The geography of COVID-19 spread in Italy and implications for the relaxation of confinement measures
Nature Communications
title The geography of COVID-19 spread in Italy and implications for the relaxation of confinement measures
title_full The geography of COVID-19 spread in Italy and implications for the relaxation of confinement measures
title_fullStr The geography of COVID-19 spread in Italy and implications for the relaxation of confinement measures
title_full_unstemmed The geography of COVID-19 spread in Italy and implications for the relaxation of confinement measures
title_short The geography of COVID-19 spread in Italy and implications for the relaxation of confinement measures
title_sort geography of covid 19 spread in italy and implications for the relaxation of confinement measures
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-18050-2
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