Utilization of Decision Tree Algorithms for Supporting the Prediction of Intensive Care Unit Admission of Myasthenia Gravis: A Machine Learning-Based Approach

Myasthenia gravis (MG), an acquired autoimmune-related neuromuscular disorder that causes muscle weakness, presents with varying severity, including myasthenic crisis (MC). Although MC can cause significant morbidity and mortality, specialized neuro-intensive care can produce a good long-term progno...

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Main Authors: Che-Cheng Chang, Jiann-Horng Yeh, Hou-Chang Chiu, Yen-Ming Chen, Mao-Jhen Jhou, Tzu-Chi Liu, Chi-Jie Lu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-01-01
Series:Journal of Personalized Medicine
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4426/12/1/32
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author Che-Cheng Chang
Jiann-Horng Yeh
Hou-Chang Chiu
Yen-Ming Chen
Mao-Jhen Jhou
Tzu-Chi Liu
Chi-Jie Lu
author_facet Che-Cheng Chang
Jiann-Horng Yeh
Hou-Chang Chiu
Yen-Ming Chen
Mao-Jhen Jhou
Tzu-Chi Liu
Chi-Jie Lu
author_sort Che-Cheng Chang
collection DOAJ
description Myasthenia gravis (MG), an acquired autoimmune-related neuromuscular disorder that causes muscle weakness, presents with varying severity, including myasthenic crisis (MC). Although MC can cause significant morbidity and mortality, specialized neuro-intensive care can produce a good long-term prognosis. Considering the outcomes of MG during hospitalization, it is critical to conduct risk assessments to predict the need for intensive care. Evidence and valid tools for the screening of critical patients with MG are lacking. We used three machine learning-based decision tree algorithms, including a classification and regression tree, C4.5, and C5.0, for predicting intensive care unit (ICU) admission of patients with MG. We included 228 MG patients admitted between 2015 and 2018. Among them, 88.2% were anti-acetylcholine receptors antibody positive and 4.7% were anti-muscle-specific kinase antibody positive. Twenty clinical variables were used as predictive variables. The C5.0 decision tree outperformed the other two decision tree and logistic regression models. The decision rules constructed by the best C5.0 model showed that the Myasthenia Gravis Foundation of America clinical classification at admission, thymoma history, azathioprine treatment history, disease duration, sex, and onset age were significant risk factors for the development of decision rules for ICU admission prediction. The developed machine learning-based decision tree can be a supportive tool for alerting clinicians regarding patients with MG who require intensive care, thereby improving the quality of care.
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spelling doaj.art-31b024828c2544c7b3a7bec3709b91642023-11-23T14:19:26ZengMDPI AGJournal of Personalized Medicine2075-44262022-01-011213210.3390/jpm12010032Utilization of Decision Tree Algorithms for Supporting the Prediction of Intensive Care Unit Admission of Myasthenia Gravis: A Machine Learning-Based ApproachChe-Cheng Chang0Jiann-Horng Yeh1Hou-Chang Chiu2Yen-Ming Chen3Mao-Jhen Jhou4Tzu-Chi Liu5Chi-Jie Lu6Department of Neurology, Fu Jen Catholic University Hospital, Fu Jen Catholic University, New Taipei City 24352, TaiwanSchool of Medicine, Fu Jen Catholic University, New Taipei City 24205, TaiwanSchool of Medicine, Fu Jen Catholic University, New Taipei City 24205, TaiwanDepartment of Neurology, Fu Jen Catholic University Hospital, Fu Jen Catholic University, New Taipei City 24352, TaiwanGraduate Institute of Business Administration, Fu Jen Catholic University, New Taipei City 242062, TaiwanDepartment of Business Administration, Fu Jen Catholic University, New Taipei City, 242062, TaiwanGraduate Institute of Business Administration, Fu Jen Catholic University, New Taipei City 242062, TaiwanMyasthenia gravis (MG), an acquired autoimmune-related neuromuscular disorder that causes muscle weakness, presents with varying severity, including myasthenic crisis (MC). Although MC can cause significant morbidity and mortality, specialized neuro-intensive care can produce a good long-term prognosis. Considering the outcomes of MG during hospitalization, it is critical to conduct risk assessments to predict the need for intensive care. Evidence and valid tools for the screening of critical patients with MG are lacking. We used three machine learning-based decision tree algorithms, including a classification and regression tree, C4.5, and C5.0, for predicting intensive care unit (ICU) admission of patients with MG. We included 228 MG patients admitted between 2015 and 2018. Among them, 88.2% were anti-acetylcholine receptors antibody positive and 4.7% were anti-muscle-specific kinase antibody positive. Twenty clinical variables were used as predictive variables. The C5.0 decision tree outperformed the other two decision tree and logistic regression models. The decision rules constructed by the best C5.0 model showed that the Myasthenia Gravis Foundation of America clinical classification at admission, thymoma history, azathioprine treatment history, disease duration, sex, and onset age were significant risk factors for the development of decision rules for ICU admission prediction. The developed machine learning-based decision tree can be a supportive tool for alerting clinicians regarding patients with MG who require intensive care, thereby improving the quality of care.https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4426/12/1/32myasthenia gravismachine learningintensive care unitdecision treepredication
spellingShingle Che-Cheng Chang
Jiann-Horng Yeh
Hou-Chang Chiu
Yen-Ming Chen
Mao-Jhen Jhou
Tzu-Chi Liu
Chi-Jie Lu
Utilization of Decision Tree Algorithms for Supporting the Prediction of Intensive Care Unit Admission of Myasthenia Gravis: A Machine Learning-Based Approach
Journal of Personalized Medicine
myasthenia gravis
machine learning
intensive care unit
decision tree
predication
title Utilization of Decision Tree Algorithms for Supporting the Prediction of Intensive Care Unit Admission of Myasthenia Gravis: A Machine Learning-Based Approach
title_full Utilization of Decision Tree Algorithms for Supporting the Prediction of Intensive Care Unit Admission of Myasthenia Gravis: A Machine Learning-Based Approach
title_fullStr Utilization of Decision Tree Algorithms for Supporting the Prediction of Intensive Care Unit Admission of Myasthenia Gravis: A Machine Learning-Based Approach
title_full_unstemmed Utilization of Decision Tree Algorithms for Supporting the Prediction of Intensive Care Unit Admission of Myasthenia Gravis: A Machine Learning-Based Approach
title_short Utilization of Decision Tree Algorithms for Supporting the Prediction of Intensive Care Unit Admission of Myasthenia Gravis: A Machine Learning-Based Approach
title_sort utilization of decision tree algorithms for supporting the prediction of intensive care unit admission of myasthenia gravis a machine learning based approach
topic myasthenia gravis
machine learning
intensive care unit
decision tree
predication
url https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4426/12/1/32
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