Predicting Groundwater Level Based on Machine Learning: A Case Study of the Hebei Plain

In recent years, the groundwater level (GWL) and its dynamic changes in the Hebei Plain have gained increasing interest. The GWL serves as a crucial indicator of the health of groundwater resources, and accurately predicting the GWL is vital to prevent its overexploitation and the loss of water qual...

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Main Authors: Zhenjiang Wu, Chuiyu Lu, Qingyan Sun, Wen Lu, Xin He, Tao Qin, Lingjia Yan, Chu Wu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-02-01
Series:Water
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/15/4/823
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author Zhenjiang Wu
Chuiyu Lu
Qingyan Sun
Wen Lu
Xin He
Tao Qin
Lingjia Yan
Chu Wu
author_facet Zhenjiang Wu
Chuiyu Lu
Qingyan Sun
Wen Lu
Xin He
Tao Qin
Lingjia Yan
Chu Wu
author_sort Zhenjiang Wu
collection DOAJ
description In recent years, the groundwater level (GWL) and its dynamic changes in the Hebei Plain have gained increasing interest. The GWL serves as a crucial indicator of the health of groundwater resources, and accurately predicting the GWL is vital to prevent its overexploitation and the loss of water quality and land subsidence. Here, we utilized data-driven models, such as the support vector machine, long-short term memory, multi-layer perceptron, and gated recurrent unit models, to predict GWL. Additionally, data from six GWL monitoring stations from 2018 to 2020, covering dynamical fluctuations, increases, and decreases in GWL, were used. Further, the first 70% and remaining 30% of the time-series data were used to train and test the model, respectively. Each model was quantitatively evaluated using the root mean square error (RMSE), coefficient of determination (R<sup>2</sup>), and Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), and they were qualitatively evaluated using time-series line plots, scatter plots, and Taylor diagrams. A comparison of the models revealed that the RMSE, R<sup>2</sup>, and NSE of the GRU model in the training and testing periods were better than those of the other models at most groundwater monitoring stations. In conclusion, the GRU model performed best and could support dynamic predictions of GWL in the Hebei Plain.
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spelling doaj.art-31b8f2451b544d4c8842b3be647a09552023-11-16T23:53:58ZengMDPI AGWater2073-44412023-02-0115482310.3390/w15040823Predicting Groundwater Level Based on Machine Learning: A Case Study of the Hebei PlainZhenjiang Wu0Chuiyu Lu1Qingyan Sun2Wen Lu3Xin He4Tao Qin5Lingjia Yan6Chu Wu7State Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Simulation and Regulation of Water Cycle in River Basin, China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, ChinaIn recent years, the groundwater level (GWL) and its dynamic changes in the Hebei Plain have gained increasing interest. The GWL serves as a crucial indicator of the health of groundwater resources, and accurately predicting the GWL is vital to prevent its overexploitation and the loss of water quality and land subsidence. Here, we utilized data-driven models, such as the support vector machine, long-short term memory, multi-layer perceptron, and gated recurrent unit models, to predict GWL. Additionally, data from six GWL monitoring stations from 2018 to 2020, covering dynamical fluctuations, increases, and decreases in GWL, were used. Further, the first 70% and remaining 30% of the time-series data were used to train and test the model, respectively. Each model was quantitatively evaluated using the root mean square error (RMSE), coefficient of determination (R<sup>2</sup>), and Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), and they were qualitatively evaluated using time-series line plots, scatter plots, and Taylor diagrams. A comparison of the models revealed that the RMSE, R<sup>2</sup>, and NSE of the GRU model in the training and testing periods were better than those of the other models at most groundwater monitoring stations. In conclusion, the GRU model performed best and could support dynamic predictions of GWL in the Hebei Plain.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/15/4/823groundwater level predictiondata-driven modelsgated recurrent unitsmodel performanceHebei Plain
spellingShingle Zhenjiang Wu
Chuiyu Lu
Qingyan Sun
Wen Lu
Xin He
Tao Qin
Lingjia Yan
Chu Wu
Predicting Groundwater Level Based on Machine Learning: A Case Study of the Hebei Plain
Water
groundwater level prediction
data-driven models
gated recurrent units
model performance
Hebei Plain
title Predicting Groundwater Level Based on Machine Learning: A Case Study of the Hebei Plain
title_full Predicting Groundwater Level Based on Machine Learning: A Case Study of the Hebei Plain
title_fullStr Predicting Groundwater Level Based on Machine Learning: A Case Study of the Hebei Plain
title_full_unstemmed Predicting Groundwater Level Based on Machine Learning: A Case Study of the Hebei Plain
title_short Predicting Groundwater Level Based on Machine Learning: A Case Study of the Hebei Plain
title_sort predicting groundwater level based on machine learning a case study of the hebei plain
topic groundwater level prediction
data-driven models
gated recurrent units
model performance
Hebei Plain
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/15/4/823
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