Winter warming detection using temperature and precipitation anomalies in arid and semi-arid areas

Extreme winter warming can affect many aspects of environmental and human related activities. It can be disastrous, especially in arid regions. However, no specific research has been carried out on detecting winter warming in Iran. To address this research gap, this study was performed to investigat...

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Main Authors: Negar Siabi, Mohammad Mousavi Baygi, Seyed Majid Hasheminia, Mohammad Bannayan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IWA Publishing 2021-08-01
Series:Journal of Water and Climate Change
Subjects:
Online Access:http://jwcc.iwaponline.com/content/12/5/1871
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author Negar Siabi
Mohammad Mousavi Baygi
Seyed Majid Hasheminia
Mohammad Bannayan
author_facet Negar Siabi
Mohammad Mousavi Baygi
Seyed Majid Hasheminia
Mohammad Bannayan
author_sort Negar Siabi
collection DOAJ
description Extreme winter warming can affect many aspects of environmental and human related activities. It can be disastrous, especially in arid regions. However, no specific research has been carried out on detecting winter warming in Iran. To address this research gap, this study was performed to investigate winter warming in the arid and semi-arid areas located in northeastern Iran. For this purpose, anomalies of minimum and maximum daily temperature, average daily temperature, mean daily temperature range and mean daily precipitation were studied on monthly, seasonal, annual and decadal scales. Along with this, the trend in the data was analyzed using the Mann–Kendall (MK) test. The results showed that since the 1990s there has been a significant increase in temperature positive anomalies at most stations. In addition, the precipitation anomaly mutations occurred later than temperature. In most cases the increase in winter anomalies was higher than the average annual anomalies. As an example, the maximum winter temperature anomaly increased from 0.38 °C in the 1990s to 2.07 °C in the 2000s at Mashhad station. Due to the simultaneous increase in anomalies at most stations, the detected winter warming is more likely to be the result of global warming rather than local synoptic climate. HIGHLIGHTS This is the 1st study solely dedicated to assessing the winter warming phenomenon on a local scale in Iran.; The present study confirmed that winter warming has occurred since the 1990s.; The warming time in every decade occurred earlier than the previous decade.; The precipitation's anomaly mutation occurred later than the temperature's.; The quantification of winter warming in this paper can provide valuable information for water management in arid areas.;
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spelling doaj.art-31c78b76bc31467383c6217d1d9ccb992022-12-21T20:36:09ZengIWA PublishingJournal of Water and Climate Change2040-22442408-93542021-08-011251871189010.2166/wcc.2021.271271Winter warming detection using temperature and precipitation anomalies in arid and semi-arid areasNegar Siabi0Mohammad Mousavi Baygi1Seyed Majid Hasheminia2Mohammad Bannayan3 Water Science & Engineering Department, College of Agriculture, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, P.O. Box: 91775-1163, Mashhad, Iran Water Science & Engineering Department, College of Agriculture, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, P.O. Box: 91775-1163, Mashhad, Iran Water Science & Engineering Department, College of Agriculture, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, P.O. Box: 91775-1163, Mashhad, Iran Agronomy Department, College of Agriculture, Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, P.O. Box: 91775-1163, Mashhad, Iran Extreme winter warming can affect many aspects of environmental and human related activities. It can be disastrous, especially in arid regions. However, no specific research has been carried out on detecting winter warming in Iran. To address this research gap, this study was performed to investigate winter warming in the arid and semi-arid areas located in northeastern Iran. For this purpose, anomalies of minimum and maximum daily temperature, average daily temperature, mean daily temperature range and mean daily precipitation were studied on monthly, seasonal, annual and decadal scales. Along with this, the trend in the data was analyzed using the Mann–Kendall (MK) test. The results showed that since the 1990s there has been a significant increase in temperature positive anomalies at most stations. In addition, the precipitation anomaly mutations occurred later than temperature. In most cases the increase in winter anomalies was higher than the average annual anomalies. As an example, the maximum winter temperature anomaly increased from 0.38 °C in the 1990s to 2.07 °C in the 2000s at Mashhad station. Due to the simultaneous increase in anomalies at most stations, the detected winter warming is more likely to be the result of global warming rather than local synoptic climate. HIGHLIGHTS This is the 1st study solely dedicated to assessing the winter warming phenomenon on a local scale in Iran.; The present study confirmed that winter warming has occurred since the 1990s.; The warming time in every decade occurred earlier than the previous decade.; The precipitation's anomaly mutation occurred later than the temperature's.; The quantification of winter warming in this paper can provide valuable information for water management in arid areas.;http://jwcc.iwaponline.com/content/12/5/1871anomalyclimate changeiranprecipitationwinter warming
spellingShingle Negar Siabi
Mohammad Mousavi Baygi
Seyed Majid Hasheminia
Mohammad Bannayan
Winter warming detection using temperature and precipitation anomalies in arid and semi-arid areas
Journal of Water and Climate Change
anomaly
climate change
iran
precipitation
winter warming
title Winter warming detection using temperature and precipitation anomalies in arid and semi-arid areas
title_full Winter warming detection using temperature and precipitation anomalies in arid and semi-arid areas
title_fullStr Winter warming detection using temperature and precipitation anomalies in arid and semi-arid areas
title_full_unstemmed Winter warming detection using temperature and precipitation anomalies in arid and semi-arid areas
title_short Winter warming detection using temperature and precipitation anomalies in arid and semi-arid areas
title_sort winter warming detection using temperature and precipitation anomalies in arid and semi arid areas
topic anomaly
climate change
iran
precipitation
winter warming
url http://jwcc.iwaponline.com/content/12/5/1871
work_keys_str_mv AT negarsiabi winterwarmingdetectionusingtemperatureandprecipitationanomaliesinaridandsemiaridareas
AT mohammadmousavibaygi winterwarmingdetectionusingtemperatureandprecipitationanomaliesinaridandsemiaridareas
AT seyedmajidhasheminia winterwarmingdetectionusingtemperatureandprecipitationanomaliesinaridandsemiaridareas
AT mohammadbannayan winterwarmingdetectionusingtemperatureandprecipitationanomaliesinaridandsemiaridareas