The use of probability models for simplified estimates of required reserves reliability control

The article discusses the use of a probabilistic model for simplified assessments required reserves reliability control (crack detection probability). Ratios and charts for estimating reliability coefficients of the probability of detection of a fatigue crack are given. The use of safety factors equ...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Yu. V. Feshkin
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Moscow State Technical University of Civil Aviation 2016-11-01
Series:Научный вестник МГТУ ГА
Subjects:
Online Access:https://avia.mstuca.ru/jour/article/view/331
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author Yu. V. Feshkin
author_facet Yu. V. Feshkin
author_sort Yu. V. Feshkin
collection DOAJ
description The article discusses the use of a probabilistic model for simplified assessments required reserves reliability control (crack detection probability). Ratios and charts for estimating reliability coefficients of the probability of detection of a fatigue crack are given. The use of safety factors equal to 2 ... 3 possible with a high quality of diagnosis (probability of detecting fatigue crack greater than 0.95) is shown.
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spelling doaj.art-31c8280740124c68a385ae53fabe26bc2023-03-13T07:19:14ZrusMoscow State Technical University of Civil AviationНаучный вестник МГТУ ГА2079-06192542-01192016-11-0102088992331The use of probability models for simplified estimates of required reserves reliability controlYu. V. Feshkin0МГТУ ГАThe article discusses the use of a probabilistic model for simplified assessments required reserves reliability control (crack detection probability). Ratios and charts for estimating reliability coefficients of the probability of detection of a fatigue crack are given. The use of safety factors equal to 2 ... 3 possible with a high quality of diagnosis (probability of detecting fatigue crack greater than 0.95) is shown.https://avia.mstuca.ru/jour/article/view/331усталостные трещиныживучестьсиловые элементы авиаконструкциипериодичность контроля
spellingShingle Yu. V. Feshkin
The use of probability models for simplified estimates of required reserves reliability control
Научный вестник МГТУ ГА
усталостные трещины
живучесть
силовые элементы авиаконструкции
периодичность контроля
title The use of probability models for simplified estimates of required reserves reliability control
title_full The use of probability models for simplified estimates of required reserves reliability control
title_fullStr The use of probability models for simplified estimates of required reserves reliability control
title_full_unstemmed The use of probability models for simplified estimates of required reserves reliability control
title_short The use of probability models for simplified estimates of required reserves reliability control
title_sort use of probability models for simplified estimates of required reserves reliability control
topic усталостные трещины
живучесть
силовые элементы авиаконструкции
периодичность контроля
url https://avia.mstuca.ru/jour/article/view/331
work_keys_str_mv AT yuvfeshkin theuseofprobabilitymodelsforsimplifiedestimatesofrequiredreservesreliabilitycontrol
AT yuvfeshkin useofprobabilitymodelsforsimplifiedestimatesofrequiredreservesreliabilitycontrol