MIGRATION CRISIS IN THE EU: IS THE PEAK PASSED?

The article analyses the prospects of a new migration crisis in the European Union. Referring the statistics of displaced persons within Afghanistan and the neighboring countries, the author predicts potential threat of an emergency migration influx to Europe. The factors are proposed that can cause...

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Main Author: Olga Yu. Potemkina
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Institute of Europe Russian Academy of Sciences 2021-10-01
Series:Научно-аналитический вестник Института Европы РАН
Subjects:
Online Access:http://vestnikieran.instituteofeurope.ru/images/Potemkina52021.pdf
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author Olga Yu. Potemkina
author_facet Olga Yu. Potemkina
author_sort Olga Yu. Potemkina
collection DOAJ
description The article analyses the prospects of a new migration crisis in the European Union. Referring the statistics of displaced persons within Afghanistan and the neighboring countries, the author predicts potential threat of an emergency migration influx to Europe. The factors are proposed that can cause a significant outflow of population from the country, but at the same time obstacles preventing a large number of Afghan asylum seekers from reaching the borders of the European Union: external pressure on the Taliban government to maintain control over emigration, remoteness from Europe and the excessive cost of travel, EU measures to strengthen the external border. The author concludes that there is a small probability of new large-scale migration crisis in the short term but does not exclude it in the long term if the plans of the European Union and the international community to assign responsibility for Afghan refugees to neighboring countries are not implemented. In the meantime, the author notes, the plans of the European Union are criticized by both MEPs and human rights.
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spelling doaj.art-31cc0aa92ecb4c7a8e7e322bf98abadf2022-12-22T04:03:53ZrusInstitute of Europe Russian Academy of SciencesНаучно-аналитический вестник Института Европы РАН2618-79142021-10-012353137http://dx.doi.org/10.15211/vestnikieran520213137MIGRATION CRISIS IN THE EU: IS THE PEAK PASSED?Olga Yu. Potemkina0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9844-4093Institute of Europe, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, RussiaThe article analyses the prospects of a new migration crisis in the European Union. Referring the statistics of displaced persons within Afghanistan and the neighboring countries, the author predicts potential threat of an emergency migration influx to Europe. The factors are proposed that can cause a significant outflow of population from the country, but at the same time obstacles preventing a large number of Afghan asylum seekers from reaching the borders of the European Union: external pressure on the Taliban government to maintain control over emigration, remoteness from Europe and the excessive cost of travel, EU measures to strengthen the external border. The author concludes that there is a small probability of new large-scale migration crisis in the short term but does not exclude it in the long term if the plans of the European Union and the international community to assign responsibility for Afghan refugees to neighboring countries are not implemented. In the meantime, the author notes, the plans of the European Union are criticized by both MEPs and human rights.http://vestnikieran.instituteofeurope.ru/images/Potemkina52021.pdfafghanistanrefugeesasylum seekershumanitarian corridorregional platformstalibanterrorismsecuritymigration crisis.
spellingShingle Olga Yu. Potemkina
MIGRATION CRISIS IN THE EU: IS THE PEAK PASSED?
Научно-аналитический вестник Института Европы РАН
afghanistan
refugees
asylum seekers
humanitarian corridor
regional platforms
taliban
terrorism
security
migration crisis.
title MIGRATION CRISIS IN THE EU: IS THE PEAK PASSED?
title_full MIGRATION CRISIS IN THE EU: IS THE PEAK PASSED?
title_fullStr MIGRATION CRISIS IN THE EU: IS THE PEAK PASSED?
title_full_unstemmed MIGRATION CRISIS IN THE EU: IS THE PEAK PASSED?
title_short MIGRATION CRISIS IN THE EU: IS THE PEAK PASSED?
title_sort migration crisis in the eu is the peak passed
topic afghanistan
refugees
asylum seekers
humanitarian corridor
regional platforms
taliban
terrorism
security
migration crisis.
url http://vestnikieran.instituteofeurope.ru/images/Potemkina52021.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT olgayupotemkina migrationcrisisintheeuisthepeakpassed