Changes in heart failure management and long-term mortality over 10 years: observational study

Objectives To estimate the long-term survival of two cohorts of people diagnosed with heart failure 10 years apart and to assess differences in patient characteristics, clinical guideline compliance and survival by diagnosis setting.Methods Data for patients aged 18 and over with a new diagnosis of...

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Main Authors: Alex Bottle, Martin R Cowie, Benedict Hayhoe, Puji Faitna, Roger Newson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMJ Publishing Group 2022-03-01
Series:Open Heart
Online Access:https://openheart.bmj.com/content/9/1/e001888.full
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author Alex Bottle
Martin R Cowie
Benedict Hayhoe
Puji Faitna
Roger Newson
author_facet Alex Bottle
Martin R Cowie
Benedict Hayhoe
Puji Faitna
Roger Newson
author_sort Alex Bottle
collection DOAJ
description Objectives To estimate the long-term survival of two cohorts of people diagnosed with heart failure 10 years apart and to assess differences in patient characteristics, clinical guideline compliance and survival by diagnosis setting.Methods Data for patients aged 18 and over with a new diagnosis of heart failure in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink in 2001–2002 (5966 patients in 156 practices) and 2011–2012 (12 827 patients in 331 practices). Survival rates since diagnosis were described using Kaplan-Meier plots. Compliance with national guidelines was summarised.Results 2011/2012 patients were older than those diagnosed a decade before, with lower blood pressure and cholesterol but more comorbidity and healthcare contacts. For those diagnosed in 2001/2002, the 5-year survival was 40.0% (40.2% in the 2011/2012 cohort), 10-year survival was 20.8%, and 15-year survival 11.1%. Improvement in survival between the two time periods was seen only in those diagnosed in primary care (5-year survival 46.0% vs 57.4%, compared with 33.9% and 32.6% for hospital-diagnosed patients).Beta-blocker use rose from 24.3% to 39.1%; renin–angiotensin system blockers rose from 31.8% to 54.3% (both p<0.001). There was little change for loop diuretics and none for thiazide diuretics. For the 9963 patients with symptoms recorded by their general practitioner before diagnosis, brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) testing was low, but echocardiogram use rose from 8.3% to 19.3%, and specialist referral rose from 7.2% to 24.6% (all p<0.001).Conclusions The 10 years saw some long-term survival gains but only modest improvement in national clinical guideline compliance, from a low baseline, despite the introduction of national initiatives.
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spelling doaj.art-31ccc671a1fc4f08b928dd366b7cacbc2024-03-06T15:10:08ZengBMJ Publishing GroupOpen Heart2053-36242022-03-019110.1136/openhrt-2021-001888Changes in heart failure management and long-term mortality over 10 years: observational studyAlex Bottle0Martin R Cowie1Benedict Hayhoe2Puji Faitna3Roger Newson48 School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK4 Royal Brompton Hospital, Division of Cardiovascular Sciences and Medicine, Faculty of Lifescience & Medicine, King`s College London, London, UKImperial College LondonDepartment of Primary Care and Public Health, Imperial College London School of Public Health, London, UKNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UKObjectives To estimate the long-term survival of two cohorts of people diagnosed with heart failure 10 years apart and to assess differences in patient characteristics, clinical guideline compliance and survival by diagnosis setting.Methods Data for patients aged 18 and over with a new diagnosis of heart failure in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink in 2001–2002 (5966 patients in 156 practices) and 2011–2012 (12 827 patients in 331 practices). Survival rates since diagnosis were described using Kaplan-Meier plots. Compliance with national guidelines was summarised.Results 2011/2012 patients were older than those diagnosed a decade before, with lower blood pressure and cholesterol but more comorbidity and healthcare contacts. For those diagnosed in 2001/2002, the 5-year survival was 40.0% (40.2% in the 2011/2012 cohort), 10-year survival was 20.8%, and 15-year survival 11.1%. Improvement in survival between the two time periods was seen only in those diagnosed in primary care (5-year survival 46.0% vs 57.4%, compared with 33.9% and 32.6% for hospital-diagnosed patients).Beta-blocker use rose from 24.3% to 39.1%; renin–angiotensin system blockers rose from 31.8% to 54.3% (both p<0.001). There was little change for loop diuretics and none for thiazide diuretics. For the 9963 patients with symptoms recorded by their general practitioner before diagnosis, brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) testing was low, but echocardiogram use rose from 8.3% to 19.3%, and specialist referral rose from 7.2% to 24.6% (all p<0.001).Conclusions The 10 years saw some long-term survival gains but only modest improvement in national clinical guideline compliance, from a low baseline, despite the introduction of national initiatives.https://openheart.bmj.com/content/9/1/e001888.full
spellingShingle Alex Bottle
Martin R Cowie
Benedict Hayhoe
Puji Faitna
Roger Newson
Changes in heart failure management and long-term mortality over 10 years: observational study
Open Heart
title Changes in heart failure management and long-term mortality over 10 years: observational study
title_full Changes in heart failure management and long-term mortality over 10 years: observational study
title_fullStr Changes in heart failure management and long-term mortality over 10 years: observational study
title_full_unstemmed Changes in heart failure management and long-term mortality over 10 years: observational study
title_short Changes in heart failure management and long-term mortality over 10 years: observational study
title_sort changes in heart failure management and long term mortality over 10 years observational study
url https://openheart.bmj.com/content/9/1/e001888.full
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