Monetary policy and the causality between inflation and money supply in Indonesia

Conceptually and empirically, inflation volatility in Indonesia is a monetary and fiscal phenomenon. This study focuses on the macroeconomic policy and public policy especially causality between two variables namely inflation and money supply in Indonesia. This study uses Indonesian macroeconomic da...

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Main Authors: Gatot Sasongko, Andrian Dolfriandra Huruta
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Vilnius Gediminas Technical University 2018-05-01
Series:Business: Theory and Practice
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journals.vgtu.lt/index.php/BTP/article/view/7947
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author Gatot Sasongko
Andrian Dolfriandra Huruta
author_facet Gatot Sasongko
Andrian Dolfriandra Huruta
author_sort Gatot Sasongko
collection DOAJ
description Conceptually and empirically, inflation volatility in Indonesia is a monetary and fiscal phenomenon. This study focuses on the macroeconomic policy and public policy especially causality between two variables namely inflation and money supply in Indonesia. This study uses Indonesian macroeconomic data of inflation and money supply from the Bank of Indonesia publication during 2007.1–2017.7. Inflation is measured by the consumer price index, reflects the annual percentage change in costs of acquiring a basket of goods and services to the average consumers that may change at specified intervals. Meanwhile, money supply is measured by the currency, demand deposits, time deposits, and saving deposits. Methodically, this study uses the Granger Causality model to determine the causality between inflation and money supply. The results show that there is a one-way causality between inflation and money supply in Indonesia. These findings imply that money supply causes inflation, but not vice versa. This condition implies that the role of Indonesian Government and Bank of Indonesia were very crucial in managing and controlling macroeconomic policy and public policy. Then, analysis of money supply and inflation also related to impacting factors such as money laundering, role of banks, taxation, tax evasion, and corruption.
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spelling doaj.art-31ce3e52641645748450bfd9a6fa3fad2024-02-02T14:33:33ZengVilnius Gediminas Technical UniversityBusiness: Theory and Practice1648-06271822-42022018-05-011910.3846/btp.2018.0924271Monetary policy and the causality between inflation and money supply in IndonesiaGatot Sasongko0Andrian Dolfriandra Huruta1Faculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Kristen Satya Wacana, Salatiga, IndonesiaFaculty of Economics and Business, Universitas Kristen Satya Wacana, Salatiga, IndonesiaConceptually and empirically, inflation volatility in Indonesia is a monetary and fiscal phenomenon. This study focuses on the macroeconomic policy and public policy especially causality between two variables namely inflation and money supply in Indonesia. This study uses Indonesian macroeconomic data of inflation and money supply from the Bank of Indonesia publication during 2007.1–2017.7. Inflation is measured by the consumer price index, reflects the annual percentage change in costs of acquiring a basket of goods and services to the average consumers that may change at specified intervals. Meanwhile, money supply is measured by the currency, demand deposits, time deposits, and saving deposits. Methodically, this study uses the Granger Causality model to determine the causality between inflation and money supply. The results show that there is a one-way causality between inflation and money supply in Indonesia. These findings imply that money supply causes inflation, but not vice versa. This condition implies that the role of Indonesian Government and Bank of Indonesia were very crucial in managing and controlling macroeconomic policy and public policy. Then, analysis of money supply and inflation also related to impacting factors such as money laundering, role of banks, taxation, tax evasion, and corruption.https://journals.vgtu.lt/index.php/BTP/article/view/7947inflationmacroeconomic policymoney supplypublic policy
spellingShingle Gatot Sasongko
Andrian Dolfriandra Huruta
Monetary policy and the causality between inflation and money supply in Indonesia
Business: Theory and Practice
inflation
macroeconomic policy
money supply
public policy
title Monetary policy and the causality between inflation and money supply in Indonesia
title_full Monetary policy and the causality between inflation and money supply in Indonesia
title_fullStr Monetary policy and the causality between inflation and money supply in Indonesia
title_full_unstemmed Monetary policy and the causality between inflation and money supply in Indonesia
title_short Monetary policy and the causality between inflation and money supply in Indonesia
title_sort monetary policy and the causality between inflation and money supply in indonesia
topic inflation
macroeconomic policy
money supply
public policy
url https://journals.vgtu.lt/index.php/BTP/article/view/7947
work_keys_str_mv AT gatotsasongko monetarypolicyandthecausalitybetweeninflationandmoneysupplyinindonesia
AT andriandolfriandrahuruta monetarypolicyandthecausalitybetweeninflationandmoneysupplyinindonesia