Investigation of the Correlation between Enterovirus Infection and the Climate Factor Complex Including the Ping-Year Factor and El Niño-Southern Oscillation in Taiwan
Enterovirus infection and enterovirus infection with severe complications (EVSC) are critical issues in several aspects. However, there is no suitable predictive tool for these infections. A climate factor complex (CFC) containing several climate factors could provide more effective predictions. The...
| প্রধান লেখক: | , , , , , |
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| বিন্যাস: | প্রবন্ধ |
| ভাষা: | English |
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MDPI AG
2024-03-01
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| মালা: | Viruses |
| বিষয়গুলি: | |
| অনলাইন ব্যবহার করুন: | https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4915/16/3/471 |
| _version_ | 1827304770679865344 |
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| author | Hsueh-Wen Yu Chia-Hsuan Kuan Liang-Wei Tseng Hsing-Yu Chen Meg-Yen Tsai Yu-Sheng Chen |
| author_facet | Hsueh-Wen Yu Chia-Hsuan Kuan Liang-Wei Tseng Hsing-Yu Chen Meg-Yen Tsai Yu-Sheng Chen |
| author_sort | Hsueh-Wen Yu |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Enterovirus infection and enterovirus infection with severe complications (EVSC) are critical issues in several aspects. However, there is no suitable predictive tool for these infections. A climate factor complex (CFC) containing several climate factors could provide more effective predictions. The ping-year factor (PYF) and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are possible CFCs. This study aimed to determine the relationship between these two CFCs and the incidence of enterovirus infection. Children aged 15 years and younger with enterovirus infection and/or EVSC were enrolled between 2007 and 2022. Each year was categorized into a ping-year or non-ping-year according to the PYF. Poisson regression was used to evaluate the associations between the PYF, ENSO, and the incidence of enterovirus infection. Compared to the ping-year group, the incidence rate of enterovirus infection, the incidence rate of EVSC, and the ratio of EVSC in the non-ping-year group were 1.24, 3.38, and 2.73 times higher, respectively (<i>p</i> < 0.001). For every one-unit increase in La Niña, the incidence rate of enterovirus infection decreased to 0.96 times (<i>p</i> < 0.001). Our study indicated that CFCs could be potential predictors for enterovirus infection, and the PYF was more suitable than ENSO. Further research is needed to improve the predictive model. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-24T17:44:47Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-322cbde1de9547c7b94c366d25ab0319 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1999-4915 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-24T17:44:47Z |
| publishDate | 2024-03-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Viruses |
| spelling | doaj.art-322cbde1de9547c7b94c366d25ab03192024-03-27T14:08:00ZengMDPI AGViruses1999-49152024-03-0116347110.3390/v16030471Investigation of the Correlation between Enterovirus Infection and the Climate Factor Complex Including the Ping-Year Factor and El Niño-Southern Oscillation in TaiwanHsueh-Wen Yu0Chia-Hsuan Kuan1Liang-Wei Tseng2Hsing-Yu Chen3Meg-Yen Tsai4Yu-Sheng Chen5Department of Chinese Acupuncture and Traumatology, Center for Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, No. 123, Dinghu Rd., Gueishan Dist., Taoyuan City 333423, TaiwanDepartment of Chinese Acupuncture and Traumatology, Center for Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, No. 123, Dinghu Rd., Gueishan Dist., Taoyuan City 333423, TaiwanDepartment of Chinese Acupuncture and Traumatology, Center for Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, No. 123, Dinghu Rd., Gueishan Dist., Taoyuan City 333423, TaiwanDepartment of Chinese Internal Medicine, Center for Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, No. 123, Dinghu Rd., Gueishan Dist., Taoyuan City 333423, TaiwanPingzhen Fengze Chinese Medicine Clinic, No. 65, Sec. 2, Yanping Rd., Pingzhen Dist., Taoyuan City 324005, TaiwanDepartment of Chinese Acupuncture and Traumatology, Center for Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, No. 123, Dinghu Rd., Gueishan Dist., Taoyuan City 333423, TaiwanEnterovirus infection and enterovirus infection with severe complications (EVSC) are critical issues in several aspects. However, there is no suitable predictive tool for these infections. A climate factor complex (CFC) containing several climate factors could provide more effective predictions. The ping-year factor (PYF) and El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are possible CFCs. This study aimed to determine the relationship between these two CFCs and the incidence of enterovirus infection. Children aged 15 years and younger with enterovirus infection and/or EVSC were enrolled between 2007 and 2022. Each year was categorized into a ping-year or non-ping-year according to the PYF. Poisson regression was used to evaluate the associations between the PYF, ENSO, and the incidence of enterovirus infection. Compared to the ping-year group, the incidence rate of enterovirus infection, the incidence rate of EVSC, and the ratio of EVSC in the non-ping-year group were 1.24, 3.38, and 2.73 times higher, respectively (<i>p</i> < 0.001). For every one-unit increase in La Niña, the incidence rate of enterovirus infection decreased to 0.96 times (<i>p</i> < 0.001). Our study indicated that CFCs could be potential predictors for enterovirus infection, and the PYF was more suitable than ENSO. Further research is needed to improve the predictive model.https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4915/16/3/471enterovirusping-year factorYunqi theoryEl Niño-Southern OscillationENSOoutbreak |
| spellingShingle | Hsueh-Wen Yu Chia-Hsuan Kuan Liang-Wei Tseng Hsing-Yu Chen Meg-Yen Tsai Yu-Sheng Chen Investigation of the Correlation between Enterovirus Infection and the Climate Factor Complex Including the Ping-Year Factor and El Niño-Southern Oscillation in Taiwan Viruses enterovirus ping-year factor Yunqi theory El Niño-Southern Oscillation ENSO outbreak |
| title | Investigation of the Correlation between Enterovirus Infection and the Climate Factor Complex Including the Ping-Year Factor and El Niño-Southern Oscillation in Taiwan |
| title_full | Investigation of the Correlation between Enterovirus Infection and the Climate Factor Complex Including the Ping-Year Factor and El Niño-Southern Oscillation in Taiwan |
| title_fullStr | Investigation of the Correlation between Enterovirus Infection and the Climate Factor Complex Including the Ping-Year Factor and El Niño-Southern Oscillation in Taiwan |
| title_full_unstemmed | Investigation of the Correlation between Enterovirus Infection and the Climate Factor Complex Including the Ping-Year Factor and El Niño-Southern Oscillation in Taiwan |
| title_short | Investigation of the Correlation between Enterovirus Infection and the Climate Factor Complex Including the Ping-Year Factor and El Niño-Southern Oscillation in Taiwan |
| title_sort | investigation of the correlation between enterovirus infection and the climate factor complex including the ping year factor and el nino southern oscillation in taiwan |
| topic | enterovirus ping-year factor Yunqi theory El Niño-Southern Oscillation ENSO outbreak |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4915/16/3/471 |
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