Triglyceride-glucose index trajectory and stroke incidence in patients with hypertension: a prospective cohort study

Abstract Background It has been suggested that the baseline triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, a simple surrogate measure for insulin resistance, is significantly associated with the occurrence of stroke. Nevertheless, the impact of longitudinal patterns of TyG on the stroke risk in hypertensive pati...

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Main Authors: Zegui Huang, Xiong Ding, Qing Yue, Xianxuan Wang, Zekai Chen, Zefeng Cai, Weijian Li, Zhiwei Cai, Guanzhi Chen, Yulong Lan, Weiqiang Wu, Shouling Wu, Youren Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2022-07-01
Series:Cardiovascular Diabetology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12933-022-01577-7
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author Zegui Huang
Xiong Ding
Qing Yue
Xianxuan Wang
Zekai Chen
Zefeng Cai
Weijian Li
Zhiwei Cai
Guanzhi Chen
Yulong Lan
Weiqiang Wu
Shouling Wu
Youren Chen
author_facet Zegui Huang
Xiong Ding
Qing Yue
Xianxuan Wang
Zekai Chen
Zefeng Cai
Weijian Li
Zhiwei Cai
Guanzhi Chen
Yulong Lan
Weiqiang Wu
Shouling Wu
Youren Chen
author_sort Zegui Huang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background It has been suggested that the baseline triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, a simple surrogate measure for insulin resistance, is significantly associated with the occurrence of stroke. Nevertheless, the impact of longitudinal patterns of TyG on the stroke risk in hypertensive patients is still unknown. Hence, this study aimed to investigate the association between TyG index trajectory and stroke risk among hypertensive patients. Methods This prospective study included 19,924 hypertensive patients from the Kailuan Study who underwent three waves survey and were free of myocardial infarction, cancer and stroke before or during 2010. The TyG index was calculated as ln [fasting triglyceride (mg/dL) × fasting plasma glucose (mg/dL)/2], and latent mixed modelling was used to identify the trajectory of TyG during the exposure period (2006–2010). Furthermore, the Cox proportional hazard models were applied to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for incident stroke of different trajectory groups. Results Five distinct TyG trajectory were identified during 2006–2010: low-stable (n = 2483; range, 8.03–8.06), moderate low-stable (n = 9666; range, 8.58–8.57), moderate high-stable (n = 5759; range, 9.16–9.09), elevated-stable (n = 1741; range, 9.79–9.75), and elevated-increasing (n = 275; range, 10.38–10.81). During the median follow-up of 9.97 years, 1,519 cases of incident stroke were identified, including 1,351 with ischemic stroke and 215 with hemorrhage stroke. After adjusting for confounding variables, the HR and 95% CI of stroke were 2.21 (1.49,3.28) for the elevated-increasing group, 1.43 (1.13,1.83) for the elevated-stable group, 1.35 (1.10,1.64) for the moderate high-stable group, 1.26 (1.06,1.52) for the moderate low-stable group, respectively, when compare with the low-stable group. Similar results were observed in ischemic stroke, but a significant association was not found between TyG trajectory and risk of hemorrhage stroke. Conclusion A long-term elevated TyG index in hypertensive patients is associated with an increased risk of stroke, especially ischemic stroke. This finding implies that regular monitoring of TyG index may assist in identifying individuals at a higher risk of stroke among patients with hypertension.
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spelling doaj.art-3232d9fe072a4adf900a83090d2531412022-12-22T02:05:28ZengBMCCardiovascular Diabetology1475-28402022-07-0121111010.1186/s12933-022-01577-7Triglyceride-glucose index trajectory and stroke incidence in patients with hypertension: a prospective cohort studyZegui Huang0Xiong Ding1Qing Yue2Xianxuan Wang3Zekai Chen4Zefeng Cai5Weijian Li6Zhiwei Cai7Guanzhi Chen8Yulong Lan9Weiqiang Wu10Shouling Wu11Youren Chen12Shantou University Medical CollegeSchool of Public Health, Wuhan UniversitySchool of Public Health, North China University of Science and TechnologyShantou University Medical CollegeDepartment of Epidemiology, University Medical Center Groningen, University of GroningenDepartment of Cardiology, Second Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical CollegeShantou University Medical CollegeShantou University Medical CollegeChina Medical UniversityDepartment of Cardiology, Second Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical CollegeDepartment of Cardiology, Second Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical CollegeDepartment of Cardiology, Kailuan General HospitalDepartment of Cardiology, Second Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical CollegeAbstract Background It has been suggested that the baseline triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index, a simple surrogate measure for insulin resistance, is significantly associated with the occurrence of stroke. Nevertheless, the impact of longitudinal patterns of TyG on the stroke risk in hypertensive patients is still unknown. Hence, this study aimed to investigate the association between TyG index trajectory and stroke risk among hypertensive patients. Methods This prospective study included 19,924 hypertensive patients from the Kailuan Study who underwent three waves survey and were free of myocardial infarction, cancer and stroke before or during 2010. The TyG index was calculated as ln [fasting triglyceride (mg/dL) × fasting plasma glucose (mg/dL)/2], and latent mixed modelling was used to identify the trajectory of TyG during the exposure period (2006–2010). Furthermore, the Cox proportional hazard models were applied to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for incident stroke of different trajectory groups. Results Five distinct TyG trajectory were identified during 2006–2010: low-stable (n = 2483; range, 8.03–8.06), moderate low-stable (n = 9666; range, 8.58–8.57), moderate high-stable (n = 5759; range, 9.16–9.09), elevated-stable (n = 1741; range, 9.79–9.75), and elevated-increasing (n = 275; range, 10.38–10.81). During the median follow-up of 9.97 years, 1,519 cases of incident stroke were identified, including 1,351 with ischemic stroke and 215 with hemorrhage stroke. After adjusting for confounding variables, the HR and 95% CI of stroke were 2.21 (1.49,3.28) for the elevated-increasing group, 1.43 (1.13,1.83) for the elevated-stable group, 1.35 (1.10,1.64) for the moderate high-stable group, 1.26 (1.06,1.52) for the moderate low-stable group, respectively, when compare with the low-stable group. Similar results were observed in ischemic stroke, but a significant association was not found between TyG trajectory and risk of hemorrhage stroke. Conclusion A long-term elevated TyG index in hypertensive patients is associated with an increased risk of stroke, especially ischemic stroke. This finding implies that regular monitoring of TyG index may assist in identifying individuals at a higher risk of stroke among patients with hypertension.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12933-022-01577-7Triglyceride-glucose indexTrajectoryInsulin resistanceStrokeHypertension
spellingShingle Zegui Huang
Xiong Ding
Qing Yue
Xianxuan Wang
Zekai Chen
Zefeng Cai
Weijian Li
Zhiwei Cai
Guanzhi Chen
Yulong Lan
Weiqiang Wu
Shouling Wu
Youren Chen
Triglyceride-glucose index trajectory and stroke incidence in patients with hypertension: a prospective cohort study
Cardiovascular Diabetology
Triglyceride-glucose index
Trajectory
Insulin resistance
Stroke
Hypertension
title Triglyceride-glucose index trajectory and stroke incidence in patients with hypertension: a prospective cohort study
title_full Triglyceride-glucose index trajectory and stroke incidence in patients with hypertension: a prospective cohort study
title_fullStr Triglyceride-glucose index trajectory and stroke incidence in patients with hypertension: a prospective cohort study
title_full_unstemmed Triglyceride-glucose index trajectory and stroke incidence in patients with hypertension: a prospective cohort study
title_short Triglyceride-glucose index trajectory and stroke incidence in patients with hypertension: a prospective cohort study
title_sort triglyceride glucose index trajectory and stroke incidence in patients with hypertension a prospective cohort study
topic Triglyceride-glucose index
Trajectory
Insulin resistance
Stroke
Hypertension
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12933-022-01577-7
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