Predicting Volume of Distribution in Neonates: Performance of Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic Modelling

The volume of distribution at steady state (Vss) in neonates is still often estimated through isometric scaling from adult values, disregarding developmental changes beyond body weight. This study aimed to compare the accuracy of two physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) Vss prediction method...

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Main Authors: Pieter-Jan De Sutter, Phebe Rossignol, Lien Breëns, Elke Gasthuys, An Vermeulen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-09-01
Series:Pharmaceutics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4923/15/9/2348
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author Pieter-Jan De Sutter
Phebe Rossignol
Lien Breëns
Elke Gasthuys
An Vermeulen
author_facet Pieter-Jan De Sutter
Phebe Rossignol
Lien Breëns
Elke Gasthuys
An Vermeulen
author_sort Pieter-Jan De Sutter
collection DOAJ
description The volume of distribution at steady state (Vss) in neonates is still often estimated through isometric scaling from adult values, disregarding developmental changes beyond body weight. This study aimed to compare the accuracy of two physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) Vss prediction methods in neonates (Poulin & Theil with Berezhkovskiy correction (P&T+) and Rodgers & Rowland (R&R)) with isometrical scaling. PBPK models were developed for 24 drugs using in-vitro and in-silico data. Simulations were done in Simcyp (V22) using predefined populations. Clinical data from 86 studies in neonates (including preterms) were used for comparison, and accuracy was assessed using (absolute) average fold errors ((A)AFEs). Isometric scaling resulted in underestimated Vss values in neonates (AFE: 0.61), and both PBPK methods reduced the magnitude of underprediction (AFE: 0.82–0.83). The P&T+ method demonstrated superior overall accuracy compared to isometric scaling (AAFE of 1.68 and 1.77, respectively), while the R&R method exhibited lower overall accuracy (AAFE: 2.03). Drug characteristics (LogP and ionization type) and inclusion of preterm neonates did not significantly impact the magnitude of error associated with isometric scaling or PBPK modeling. These results highlight both the limitations and the applicability of PBPK methods for the prediction of Vss in the absence of clinical data.
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spelling doaj.art-3287cb894b1b47cf9172ee031c0510b42023-11-19T12:28:32ZengMDPI AGPharmaceutics1999-49232023-09-01159234810.3390/pharmaceutics15092348Predicting Volume of Distribution in Neonates: Performance of Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic ModellingPieter-Jan De Sutter0Phebe Rossignol1Lien Breëns2Elke Gasthuys3An Vermeulen4Department of Bioanalysis, Ghent University, 9000 Ghent, BelgiumDepartment of Bioanalysis, Ghent University, 9000 Ghent, BelgiumDepartment of Bioanalysis, Ghent University, 9000 Ghent, BelgiumDepartment of Bioanalysis, Ghent University, 9000 Ghent, BelgiumDepartment of Bioanalysis, Ghent University, 9000 Ghent, BelgiumThe volume of distribution at steady state (Vss) in neonates is still often estimated through isometric scaling from adult values, disregarding developmental changes beyond body weight. This study aimed to compare the accuracy of two physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) Vss prediction methods in neonates (Poulin & Theil with Berezhkovskiy correction (P&T+) and Rodgers & Rowland (R&R)) with isometrical scaling. PBPK models were developed for 24 drugs using in-vitro and in-silico data. Simulations were done in Simcyp (V22) using predefined populations. Clinical data from 86 studies in neonates (including preterms) were used for comparison, and accuracy was assessed using (absolute) average fold errors ((A)AFEs). Isometric scaling resulted in underestimated Vss values in neonates (AFE: 0.61), and both PBPK methods reduced the magnitude of underprediction (AFE: 0.82–0.83). The P&T+ method demonstrated superior overall accuracy compared to isometric scaling (AAFE of 1.68 and 1.77, respectively), while the R&R method exhibited lower overall accuracy (AAFE: 2.03). Drug characteristics (LogP and ionization type) and inclusion of preterm neonates did not significantly impact the magnitude of error associated with isometric scaling or PBPK modeling. These results highlight both the limitations and the applicability of PBPK methods for the prediction of Vss in the absence of clinical data.https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4923/15/9/2348physiologically based pharmacokinetics (PBPK)pharmacokineticsneonatesvolume of distributionallometric scalingdevelopmental pharmacology
spellingShingle Pieter-Jan De Sutter
Phebe Rossignol
Lien Breëns
Elke Gasthuys
An Vermeulen
Predicting Volume of Distribution in Neonates: Performance of Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic Modelling
Pharmaceutics
physiologically based pharmacokinetics (PBPK)
pharmacokinetics
neonates
volume of distribution
allometric scaling
developmental pharmacology
title Predicting Volume of Distribution in Neonates: Performance of Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic Modelling
title_full Predicting Volume of Distribution in Neonates: Performance of Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic Modelling
title_fullStr Predicting Volume of Distribution in Neonates: Performance of Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic Modelling
title_full_unstemmed Predicting Volume of Distribution in Neonates: Performance of Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic Modelling
title_short Predicting Volume of Distribution in Neonates: Performance of Physiologically Based Pharmacokinetic Modelling
title_sort predicting volume of distribution in neonates performance of physiologically based pharmacokinetic modelling
topic physiologically based pharmacokinetics (PBPK)
pharmacokinetics
neonates
volume of distribution
allometric scaling
developmental pharmacology
url https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4923/15/9/2348
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