Potential impacts of climate change on ecologically relevant flows: a case study in the Himalayan River basin

Understanding the potential impact of anthropogenic climate change on the hydrological regime of the Koshi River Basin (KRB) is very important for sustainable water resources and ecosystem management. The hydrological studies are mainly focused on the annual, seasonal, and peak flows of the hydrolog...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Pragya Pradhan, Sangam Shrestha, Mohana Sundaram Shanmugam
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IWA Publishing 2023-11-01
Series:Aqua
Subjects:
Online Access:http://aqua.iwaponline.com/content/72/11/2109
_version_ 1797429068533071872
author Pragya Pradhan
Sangam Shrestha
Mohana Sundaram Shanmugam
author_facet Pragya Pradhan
Sangam Shrestha
Mohana Sundaram Shanmugam
author_sort Pragya Pradhan
collection DOAJ
description Understanding the potential impact of anthropogenic climate change on the hydrological regime of the Koshi River Basin (KRB) is very important for sustainable water resources and ecosystem management. The hydrological studies are mainly focused on the annual, seasonal, and peak flows of the hydrological regime; however, the ecologically relevant flows of the hydrological regime are less explored. In this study, we analyzed the different flow characteristics based on the magnitude, intensity, and duration using the Indicator of Hydrologic Alterations (IHA) under the influence of shared socio-economic pathway (SSP) scenarios. We found that the KRB will experience a shift in hydro-climatic events, an increase in rise and fall rates of flow, increase in monthly low flows of the hydrological regime, eventually affecting the livelihoods and ecosystem of the basin. This study highlights the importance of environmental flow components (EFCs) in a hydrological regime to better understand the flow characteristics during the future hydro-climatic variability. HIGHLIGHTS IHA and EFCs were grouped into five based on magnitude, intensity, and duration.; Increased uncertainty has increased the chances of untimely extreme events in the KRB.; Future post-monsoon and winter streamflow increases, sustaining the water table and aquatic life.;
first_indexed 2024-03-09T09:07:50Z
format Article
id doaj.art-3296f0bc5602410e9cc59e1b3d6a6215
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2709-8028
2709-8036
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-09T09:07:50Z
publishDate 2023-11-01
publisher IWA Publishing
record_format Article
series Aqua
spelling doaj.art-3296f0bc5602410e9cc59e1b3d6a62152023-12-02T09:44:24ZengIWA PublishingAqua2709-80282709-80362023-11-0172112109212510.2166/aqua.2023.284284Potential impacts of climate change on ecologically relevant flows: a case study in the Himalayan River basinPragya Pradhan0Sangam Shrestha1Mohana Sundaram Shanmugam2 Water Engineering and Management, School of Engineering and Technology, Asian Institute of Technology, Pathum Thani 12120, Thailand Water Engineering and Management, School of Engineering and Technology, Asian Institute of Technology, Pathum Thani 12120, Thailand Water Engineering and Management, School of Engineering and Technology, Asian Institute of Technology, Pathum Thani 12120, Thailand Understanding the potential impact of anthropogenic climate change on the hydrological regime of the Koshi River Basin (KRB) is very important for sustainable water resources and ecosystem management. The hydrological studies are mainly focused on the annual, seasonal, and peak flows of the hydrological regime; however, the ecologically relevant flows of the hydrological regime are less explored. In this study, we analyzed the different flow characteristics based on the magnitude, intensity, and duration using the Indicator of Hydrologic Alterations (IHA) under the influence of shared socio-economic pathway (SSP) scenarios. We found that the KRB will experience a shift in hydro-climatic events, an increase in rise and fall rates of flow, increase in monthly low flows of the hydrological regime, eventually affecting the livelihoods and ecosystem of the basin. This study highlights the importance of environmental flow components (EFCs) in a hydrological regime to better understand the flow characteristics during the future hydro-climatic variability. HIGHLIGHTS IHA and EFCs were grouped into five based on magnitude, intensity, and duration.; Increased uncertainty has increased the chances of untimely extreme events in the KRB.; Future post-monsoon and winter streamflow increases, sustaining the water table and aquatic life.;http://aqua.iwaponline.com/content/72/11/2109climate changeefcshydrologyihakrbssps
spellingShingle Pragya Pradhan
Sangam Shrestha
Mohana Sundaram Shanmugam
Potential impacts of climate change on ecologically relevant flows: a case study in the Himalayan River basin
Aqua
climate change
efcs
hydrology
iha
krb
ssps
title Potential impacts of climate change on ecologically relevant flows: a case study in the Himalayan River basin
title_full Potential impacts of climate change on ecologically relevant flows: a case study in the Himalayan River basin
title_fullStr Potential impacts of climate change on ecologically relevant flows: a case study in the Himalayan River basin
title_full_unstemmed Potential impacts of climate change on ecologically relevant flows: a case study in the Himalayan River basin
title_short Potential impacts of climate change on ecologically relevant flows: a case study in the Himalayan River basin
title_sort potential impacts of climate change on ecologically relevant flows a case study in the himalayan river basin
topic climate change
efcs
hydrology
iha
krb
ssps
url http://aqua.iwaponline.com/content/72/11/2109
work_keys_str_mv AT pragyapradhan potentialimpactsofclimatechangeonecologicallyrelevantflowsacasestudyinthehimalayanriverbasin
AT sangamshrestha potentialimpactsofclimatechangeonecologicallyrelevantflowsacasestudyinthehimalayanriverbasin
AT mohanasundaramshanmugam potentialimpactsofclimatechangeonecologicallyrelevantflowsacasestudyinthehimalayanriverbasin