FORECASTING OF THE STOCK RATE OF LEADING WORLD COMPANIES USING ECONOMETRIC METHODS AND DCF ANALYSIS

In this article, we will cover various models for forecasting the stock price of global companies, namely the DCF model, with well-reasoned financial analysis and the ARIMA model, an integrated model of autoregression − moving average, as an econometric mechanism for point and interval forecasting....

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Main Authors: Olena Nikolaieva, Anzhela Petrova, Rostyslav Lutsenko
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: RS Global Sp. z O.O. 2020-05-01
Series:International Journal of Innovative Technologies in Economy
Subjects:
Online Access:https://rsglobal.pl/index.php/ijite/article/view/1362
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author Olena Nikolaieva
Anzhela Petrova
Rostyslav Lutsenko
author_facet Olena Nikolaieva
Anzhela Petrova
Rostyslav Lutsenko
author_sort Olena Nikolaieva
collection DOAJ
description In this article, we will cover various models for forecasting the stock price of global companies, namely the DCF model, with well-reasoned financial analysis and the ARIMA model, an integrated model of autoregression − moving average, as an econometric mechanism for point and interval forecasting. The main goal is to compare the obtained forecasting results and evaluate their real accuracy. The article is based on forecasting stock prices of two companies: Coca-Cola HBC AG (CCHGY) and Nestle S.A. (NSRGF). At the moment, it is not determined which approach is better for predicting the stock price − the analysis of financial indicators or the use of econometric data analysis methods.
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spelling doaj.art-32c68764fcbd450ea2eee3bfac1d23762022-12-22T00:17:29ZengRS Global Sp. z O.O.International Journal of Innovative Technologies in Economy2412-83682414-13052020-05-012(29)334110.31435/rsglobal_ijite/31052020/70671362FORECASTING OF THE STOCK RATE OF LEADING WORLD COMPANIES USING ECONOMETRIC METHODS AND DCF ANALYSISOlena Nikolaieva0Anzhela Petrova1Rostyslav Lutsenko2Associate Professor, Cand. Phys.-Mat. of science Ukraine, V.N. Karazin Kharkiv National University; Department of Economic Cybernetics and Applied EconomicsAssociate Professor, Cand. Phys.-Mat. of science Ukraine, V.N. Karazin Kharkiv National University; Department of Economic Cybernetics and Applied EconomicsBusiness Development Assistant, Singularex Limited Liability Company, Ukraine, KharkivIn this article, we will cover various models for forecasting the stock price of global companies, namely the DCF model, with well-reasoned financial analysis and the ARIMA model, an integrated model of autoregression − moving average, as an econometric mechanism for point and interval forecasting. The main goal is to compare the obtained forecasting results and evaluate their real accuracy. The article is based on forecasting stock prices of two companies: Coca-Cola HBC AG (CCHGY) and Nestle S.A. (NSRGF). At the moment, it is not determined which approach is better for predicting the stock price − the analysis of financial indicators or the use of econometric data analysis methods.https://rsglobal.pl/index.php/ijite/article/view/1362dcf-modelarima-modelautoregressionforecastingfinancial analysis
spellingShingle Olena Nikolaieva
Anzhela Petrova
Rostyslav Lutsenko
FORECASTING OF THE STOCK RATE OF LEADING WORLD COMPANIES USING ECONOMETRIC METHODS AND DCF ANALYSIS
International Journal of Innovative Technologies in Economy
dcf-model
arima-model
autoregression
forecasting
financial analysis
title FORECASTING OF THE STOCK RATE OF LEADING WORLD COMPANIES USING ECONOMETRIC METHODS AND DCF ANALYSIS
title_full FORECASTING OF THE STOCK RATE OF LEADING WORLD COMPANIES USING ECONOMETRIC METHODS AND DCF ANALYSIS
title_fullStr FORECASTING OF THE STOCK RATE OF LEADING WORLD COMPANIES USING ECONOMETRIC METHODS AND DCF ANALYSIS
title_full_unstemmed FORECASTING OF THE STOCK RATE OF LEADING WORLD COMPANIES USING ECONOMETRIC METHODS AND DCF ANALYSIS
title_short FORECASTING OF THE STOCK RATE OF LEADING WORLD COMPANIES USING ECONOMETRIC METHODS AND DCF ANALYSIS
title_sort forecasting of the stock rate of leading world companies using econometric methods and dcf analysis
topic dcf-model
arima-model
autoregression
forecasting
financial analysis
url https://rsglobal.pl/index.php/ijite/article/view/1362
work_keys_str_mv AT olenanikolaieva forecastingofthestockrateofleadingworldcompaniesusingeconometricmethodsanddcfanalysis
AT anzhelapetrova forecastingofthestockrateofleadingworldcompaniesusingeconometricmethodsanddcfanalysis
AT rostyslavlutsenko forecastingofthestockrateofleadingworldcompaniesusingeconometricmethodsanddcfanalysis