Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on excess maternal deaths in Brazil: A two-year assessment.
<h4>Background</h4>Accurate estimates of the COVID-19 pandemic's indirect impacts are crucial, especially in low- and middle-income countries. This study aims to update estimates of excess maternal deaths in Brazil during the first two years of the COVID-19 pandemic.<h4>Method...
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Language: | English |
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Public Library of Science (PLoS)
2024-01-01
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Series: | PLoS ONE |
Online Access: | https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0298822&type=printable |
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author | Jesem Douglas Yamall Orellana Daniel Gray Paschoal Leventhal María Del Pilar Flores-Quispe Lihsieh Marrero Nadège Jacques Lina Sofía Morón-Duarte Cynthia Boschi-Pinto |
author_facet | Jesem Douglas Yamall Orellana Daniel Gray Paschoal Leventhal María Del Pilar Flores-Quispe Lihsieh Marrero Nadège Jacques Lina Sofía Morón-Duarte Cynthia Boschi-Pinto |
author_sort | Jesem Douglas Yamall Orellana |
collection | DOAJ |
description | <h4>Background</h4>Accurate estimates of the COVID-19 pandemic's indirect impacts are crucial, especially in low- and middle-income countries. This study aims to update estimates of excess maternal deaths in Brazil during the first two years of the COVID-19 pandemic.<h4>Methods</h4>This was an exploratory mixed ecological study using the counterfactual approach. The observed maternal deaths were gathered from the Mortality Information System (SIM) for the period between March 2015 and February 2022. Expected deaths from March 2020 to February 2022 were estimated using quasipoisson generalized additive models, considering quadrimester, age group, and their interaction as predictor variables. Analyses were performed in R version 4.1.2, RStudio, version 2023.03.1+446 and carried out with support from the "mgcv" and "plot_model" libraries.<h4>Results</h4>A total of 5,040 maternal deaths were reported, with varying excess mortality across regions and age groups, resulting in 69% excess maternal mortality throughout Brazil during the first two years of the pandemic. The Southeast region had 50% excess mortality throughout the first two years and 76% excess in the second year. The North region had 69% excess mortality, increasing in the second year, particularly among women aged 20-34. The Northeast region showed 80% excess mortality, with a significant increase in the second year, especially among women aged 35-49. The Central-West region had 75% excess mortality, higher in the second year and statistically significant among women aged 35-49. The South region showed 117% excess mortality, reaching 203% in the second year among women aged 20-34, but no excess mortality in the 10-19 age category.<h4>Conclusions</h4>Over two years, Brazil saw a significant impact on maternal excess deaths, regardless of region and pandemic year. The highest peak occurred between March and June 2021, emphasizing the importance of timely and effective epidemic responses to prevent avoidable deaths and prepare for new crises. |
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format | Article |
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institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
issn | 1932-6203 |
language | English |
last_indexed | 2024-04-24T11:54:12Z |
publishDate | 2024-01-01 |
publisher | Public Library of Science (PLoS) |
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series | PLoS ONE |
spelling | doaj.art-32d18dc724284304ab565481b6f7c4902024-04-09T05:31:53ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032024-01-01194e029882210.1371/journal.pone.0298822Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on excess maternal deaths in Brazil: A two-year assessment.Jesem Douglas Yamall OrellanaDaniel Gray Paschoal LeventhalMaría Del Pilar Flores-QuispeLihsieh MarreroNadège JacquesLina Sofía Morón-DuarteCynthia Boschi-Pinto<h4>Background</h4>Accurate estimates of the COVID-19 pandemic's indirect impacts are crucial, especially in low- and middle-income countries. This study aims to update estimates of excess maternal deaths in Brazil during the first two years of the COVID-19 pandemic.<h4>Methods</h4>This was an exploratory mixed ecological study using the counterfactual approach. The observed maternal deaths were gathered from the Mortality Information System (SIM) for the period between March 2015 and February 2022. Expected deaths from March 2020 to February 2022 were estimated using quasipoisson generalized additive models, considering quadrimester, age group, and their interaction as predictor variables. Analyses were performed in R version 4.1.2, RStudio, version 2023.03.1+446 and carried out with support from the "mgcv" and "plot_model" libraries.<h4>Results</h4>A total of 5,040 maternal deaths were reported, with varying excess mortality across regions and age groups, resulting in 69% excess maternal mortality throughout Brazil during the first two years of the pandemic. The Southeast region had 50% excess mortality throughout the first two years and 76% excess in the second year. The North region had 69% excess mortality, increasing in the second year, particularly among women aged 20-34. The Northeast region showed 80% excess mortality, with a significant increase in the second year, especially among women aged 35-49. The Central-West region had 75% excess mortality, higher in the second year and statistically significant among women aged 35-49. The South region showed 117% excess mortality, reaching 203% in the second year among women aged 20-34, but no excess mortality in the 10-19 age category.<h4>Conclusions</h4>Over two years, Brazil saw a significant impact on maternal excess deaths, regardless of region and pandemic year. The highest peak occurred between March and June 2021, emphasizing the importance of timely and effective epidemic responses to prevent avoidable deaths and prepare for new crises.https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0298822&type=printable |
spellingShingle | Jesem Douglas Yamall Orellana Daniel Gray Paschoal Leventhal María Del Pilar Flores-Quispe Lihsieh Marrero Nadège Jacques Lina Sofía Morón-Duarte Cynthia Boschi-Pinto Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on excess maternal deaths in Brazil: A two-year assessment. PLoS ONE |
title | Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on excess maternal deaths in Brazil: A two-year assessment. |
title_full | Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on excess maternal deaths in Brazil: A two-year assessment. |
title_fullStr | Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on excess maternal deaths in Brazil: A two-year assessment. |
title_full_unstemmed | Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on excess maternal deaths in Brazil: A two-year assessment. |
title_short | Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on excess maternal deaths in Brazil: A two-year assessment. |
title_sort | impact of the covid 19 pandemic on excess maternal deaths in brazil a two year assessment |
url | https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0298822&type=printable |
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