Impact of Coronavirus Pandemic on the Global Economy: Demand and Supply Shocks

This paper examines the dynamic effects of coronavirus pandemic on the global economy by pitching its searchlights on the demand and supply shocks. The study employed Vector Autoregression (VAR) technique and Granger causality test; the Granger causality test revealed that COVID-19 pandemic does not...

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Main Authors: Chinenye Ifeoma Nwokolo, Matthew Ikechukwu Ogbuagu, Onyebuchi Iwegbu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Ovidius University Press 2020-01-01
Series:Ovidius University Annals: Economic Sciences Series
Subjects:
Online Access:http://stec.univ-ovidius.ro/html/anale/RO/2020/Section%201/7.pdf
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author Chinenye Ifeoma Nwokolo
Matthew Ikechukwu Ogbuagu
Onyebuchi Iwegbu
author_facet Chinenye Ifeoma Nwokolo
Matthew Ikechukwu Ogbuagu
Onyebuchi Iwegbu
author_sort Chinenye Ifeoma Nwokolo
collection DOAJ
description This paper examines the dynamic effects of coronavirus pandemic on the global economy by pitching its searchlights on the demand and supply shocks. The study employed Vector Autoregression (VAR) technique and Granger causality test; the Granger causality test revealed that COVID-19 pandemic does not trigger change in regional stock markets and commodity prices within these regions; except for the price of natural gas which changed as a result of the COVID19 pandemic in Europe. Besides the EURONEXT market in Eastern Mediterranean region, the impulse response shows that other regional stock markets responded positively to shocks in daily report of COVID-19 confirmed cases. The study concludes that within the study period, the HSBC’s stock index was the worst-hit. Economies must embrace aggressive efforts at developing COVID19 vaccine as well as coordinated policy measures at increasing the stock market pause above 15 minutes whenever stock prices fall below the lower bound threshold.
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spelling doaj.art-32d57a7d34dc48768e8484d91e8a2c972022-12-21T19:45:29ZengOvidius University PressOvidius University Annals: Economic Sciences Series2393-31272393-31272020-01-01XX15060Impact of Coronavirus Pandemic on the Global Economy: Demand and Supply ShocksChinenye Ifeoma Nwokolo0Matthew Ikechukwu Ogbuagu1Onyebuchi Iwegbu2University of LagosFederal University Oye-EkitiUniversity of LagosThis paper examines the dynamic effects of coronavirus pandemic on the global economy by pitching its searchlights on the demand and supply shocks. The study employed Vector Autoregression (VAR) technique and Granger causality test; the Granger causality test revealed that COVID-19 pandemic does not trigger change in regional stock markets and commodity prices within these regions; except for the price of natural gas which changed as a result of the COVID19 pandemic in Europe. Besides the EURONEXT market in Eastern Mediterranean region, the impulse response shows that other regional stock markets responded positively to shocks in daily report of COVID-19 confirmed cases. The study concludes that within the study period, the HSBC’s stock index was the worst-hit. Economies must embrace aggressive efforts at developing COVID19 vaccine as well as coordinated policy measures at increasing the stock market pause above 15 minutes whenever stock prices fall below the lower bound threshold.http://stec.univ-ovidius.ro/html/anale/RO/2020/Section%201/7.pdfcoronavirus pandemicglobal economicdemand and supply shock
spellingShingle Chinenye Ifeoma Nwokolo
Matthew Ikechukwu Ogbuagu
Onyebuchi Iwegbu
Impact of Coronavirus Pandemic on the Global Economy: Demand and Supply Shocks
Ovidius University Annals: Economic Sciences Series
coronavirus pandemic
global economic
demand and supply shock
title Impact of Coronavirus Pandemic on the Global Economy: Demand and Supply Shocks
title_full Impact of Coronavirus Pandemic on the Global Economy: Demand and Supply Shocks
title_fullStr Impact of Coronavirus Pandemic on the Global Economy: Demand and Supply Shocks
title_full_unstemmed Impact of Coronavirus Pandemic on the Global Economy: Demand and Supply Shocks
title_short Impact of Coronavirus Pandemic on the Global Economy: Demand and Supply Shocks
title_sort impact of coronavirus pandemic on the global economy demand and supply shocks
topic coronavirus pandemic
global economic
demand and supply shock
url http://stec.univ-ovidius.ro/html/anale/RO/2020/Section%201/7.pdf
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AT onyebuchiiwegbu impactofcoronaviruspandemicontheglobaleconomydemandandsupplyshocks