Adapting node–place model to predict and monitor COVID-19 footprints and transmission risks

The node–place model has been widely used to classify and evaluate transit stations, which sheds light on individuals’ travel behaviors and supports urban planning through effectively integrating land use and transportation development. This study adapts this model to investigate whether and how nod...

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Main Authors: Jiali Zhou, Mingzhi Zhou, Jiangping Zhou, Zhan Zhao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2023-12-01
Series:Communications in Transportation Research
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772424723000215
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author Jiali Zhou
Mingzhi Zhou
Jiangping Zhou
Zhan Zhao
author_facet Jiali Zhou
Mingzhi Zhou
Jiangping Zhou
Zhan Zhao
author_sort Jiali Zhou
collection DOAJ
description The node–place model has been widely used to classify and evaluate transit stations, which sheds light on individuals’ travel behaviors and supports urban planning through effectively integrating land use and transportation development. This study adapts this model to investigate whether and how node, place, and mobility would be associated with the transmission risks and presences of the local COVID-19 cases in a city. Moreover, the unique metric drawn from detailed visit history of the infected, i.e., the COVID-19 footprints, is proposed and exploited. This study then empirically uses the adapted model to examine the station-level factors affecting the local COVID-19 footprints. The model accounts for traditional measures of the node and place as well as actual human mobility patterns associated with the node and place. It finds that stations with high node, place, and human mobility indices normally have more COVID-19 footprints in proximity. A multivariate regression is fitted to see whether and to what degree different indices and indicators can predict the COVID-19 footprints. The results indicate that many of the place, node, and human mobility indicators significantly impact the concentration of COVID-19 footprints. These are useful for policy-makers to predict and monitor hotspots for COVID-19 and other pandemics’ transmission.
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spelling doaj.art-32dd14bfc8944469b12240593ab189632023-12-10T06:19:12ZengElsevierCommunications in Transportation Research2772-42472023-12-013100110Adapting node–place model to predict and monitor COVID-19 footprints and transmission risksJiali Zhou0Mingzhi Zhou1Jiangping Zhou2Zhan Zhao3Corresponding author.; Department of Urban Planning and Design, The University of Hong Kong, 999077, Hong Kong, ChinaDepartment of Urban Planning and Design, The University of Hong Kong, 999077, Hong Kong, ChinaDepartment of Urban Planning and Design, The University of Hong Kong, 999077, Hong Kong, ChinaDepartment of Urban Planning and Design, The University of Hong Kong, 999077, Hong Kong, ChinaThe node–place model has been widely used to classify and evaluate transit stations, which sheds light on individuals’ travel behaviors and supports urban planning through effectively integrating land use and transportation development. This study adapts this model to investigate whether and how node, place, and mobility would be associated with the transmission risks and presences of the local COVID-19 cases in a city. Moreover, the unique metric drawn from detailed visit history of the infected, i.e., the COVID-19 footprints, is proposed and exploited. This study then empirically uses the adapted model to examine the station-level factors affecting the local COVID-19 footprints. The model accounts for traditional measures of the node and place as well as actual human mobility patterns associated with the node and place. It finds that stations with high node, place, and human mobility indices normally have more COVID-19 footprints in proximity. A multivariate regression is fitted to see whether and to what degree different indices and indicators can predict the COVID-19 footprints. The results indicate that many of the place, node, and human mobility indicators significantly impact the concentration of COVID-19 footprints. These are useful for policy-makers to predict and monitor hotspots for COVID-19 and other pandemics’ transmission.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772424723000215Node–place modelLand useTransportHuman mobilityCOVID-19
spellingShingle Jiali Zhou
Mingzhi Zhou
Jiangping Zhou
Zhan Zhao
Adapting node–place model to predict and monitor COVID-19 footprints and transmission risks
Communications in Transportation Research
Node–place model
Land use
Transport
Human mobility
COVID-19
title Adapting node–place model to predict and monitor COVID-19 footprints and transmission risks
title_full Adapting node–place model to predict and monitor COVID-19 footprints and transmission risks
title_fullStr Adapting node–place model to predict and monitor COVID-19 footprints and transmission risks
title_full_unstemmed Adapting node–place model to predict and monitor COVID-19 footprints and transmission risks
title_short Adapting node–place model to predict and monitor COVID-19 footprints and transmission risks
title_sort adapting node place model to predict and monitor covid 19 footprints and transmission risks
topic Node–place model
Land use
Transport
Human mobility
COVID-19
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2772424723000215
work_keys_str_mv AT jializhou adaptingnodeplacemodeltopredictandmonitorcovid19footprintsandtransmissionrisks
AT mingzhizhou adaptingnodeplacemodeltopredictandmonitorcovid19footprintsandtransmissionrisks
AT jiangpingzhou adaptingnodeplacemodeltopredictandmonitorcovid19footprintsandtransmissionrisks
AT zhanzhao adaptingnodeplacemodeltopredictandmonitorcovid19footprintsandtransmissionrisks