Variations in the Peczely Macro-Synoptic Types (1881–2020) with Attention to Weather Extremes in the Pannonian Basin
Daily Peczely circulation types are investigated over 140 years (1881–2020). After presenting monthly mean frequencies and durations of the 13 circulation types, two further questions are investigated: (i) How do the circulation types influence local weather extremes?; (ii) Are there significant tre...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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MDPI AG
2021-08-01
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| Series: | Atmosphere |
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| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/8/1071 |
| _version_ | 1797524626922799104 |
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| author | János Mika Csaba Károssy László Lakatos |
| author_facet | János Mika Csaba Károssy László Lakatos |
| author_sort | János Mika |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Daily Peczely circulation types are investigated over 140 years (1881–2020). After presenting monthly mean frequencies and durations of the 13 circulation types, two further questions are investigated: (i) How do the circulation types influence local weather extremes?; (ii) Are there significant trends in the frequency of the original and the grouped circulation types in the recent monotonically warming 50 year period (1971–2020)? The answers are as follows: (i) Four local weather extremes were investigated in nine grid-points of the Pannonian Basin and analyzed in the central months of the seasons. It was established that high precipitation and wind maxima occur in almost all circulation types and months, whereas for both high temperature maxima and low temperature minima, there are six circulation types, where no extremity occurred in one, two, or three investigated months. (ii) In the last 50 years, 37% of the linear seasonal frequency trends have been significant. However, these trends are rarely significant in the shorter monotonously warming (1911–1940) and cooling (1941–1970) 30-year periods. Therefore, the significant trends of the last 50 years are unlikely to be the direct consequences of the monotonous hemispherical warming. Since these hemispherical temperature trends are most likely caused by different sets of physical reasons, the reality of the presented circulation frequency trends needs to be validated by climate models. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-10T09:00:09Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-32e8d42c719f4deb896f723d83f3454f |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2073-4433 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-10T09:00:09Z |
| publishDate | 2021-08-01 |
| publisher | MDPI AG |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Atmosphere |
| spelling | doaj.art-32e8d42c719f4deb896f723d83f3454f2023-11-22T06:48:35ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332021-08-01128107110.3390/atmos12081071Variations in the Peczely Macro-Synoptic Types (1881–2020) with Attention to Weather Extremes in the Pannonian BasinJános Mika0Csaba Károssy1László Lakatos2Institute of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Eszterhazy Karoly Catholic University, Leanyka 6, 3300 Eger, HungaryELTE Savaria University Faculty, Karolyi Gaspar sq. 4, 9700 Szombathely, HungaryInstitute of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Eszterhazy Karoly Catholic University, Leanyka 6, 3300 Eger, HungaryDaily Peczely circulation types are investigated over 140 years (1881–2020). After presenting monthly mean frequencies and durations of the 13 circulation types, two further questions are investigated: (i) How do the circulation types influence local weather extremes?; (ii) Are there significant trends in the frequency of the original and the grouped circulation types in the recent monotonically warming 50 year period (1971–2020)? The answers are as follows: (i) Four local weather extremes were investigated in nine grid-points of the Pannonian Basin and analyzed in the central months of the seasons. It was established that high precipitation and wind maxima occur in almost all circulation types and months, whereas for both high temperature maxima and low temperature minima, there are six circulation types, where no extremity occurred in one, two, or three investigated months. (ii) In the last 50 years, 37% of the linear seasonal frequency trends have been significant. However, these trends are rarely significant in the shorter monotonously warming (1911–1940) and cooling (1941–1970) 30-year periods. Therefore, the significant trends of the last 50 years are unlikely to be the direct consequences of the monotonous hemispherical warming. Since these hemispherical temperature trends are most likely caused by different sets of physical reasons, the reality of the presented circulation frequency trends needs to be validated by climate models.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/8/1071circulation typePannonian BasinPeczelycycloneanticycloneweather extreme |
| spellingShingle | János Mika Csaba Károssy László Lakatos Variations in the Peczely Macro-Synoptic Types (1881–2020) with Attention to Weather Extremes in the Pannonian Basin Atmosphere circulation type Pannonian Basin Peczely cyclone anticyclone weather extreme |
| title | Variations in the Peczely Macro-Synoptic Types (1881–2020) with Attention to Weather Extremes in the Pannonian Basin |
| title_full | Variations in the Peczely Macro-Synoptic Types (1881–2020) with Attention to Weather Extremes in the Pannonian Basin |
| title_fullStr | Variations in the Peczely Macro-Synoptic Types (1881–2020) with Attention to Weather Extremes in the Pannonian Basin |
| title_full_unstemmed | Variations in the Peczely Macro-Synoptic Types (1881–2020) with Attention to Weather Extremes in the Pannonian Basin |
| title_short | Variations in the Peczely Macro-Synoptic Types (1881–2020) with Attention to Weather Extremes in the Pannonian Basin |
| title_sort | variations in the peczely macro synoptic types 1881 2020 with attention to weather extremes in the pannonian basin |
| topic | circulation type Pannonian Basin Peczely cyclone anticyclone weather extreme |
| url | https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/8/1071 |
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