External and Domestic Drivers of Nuclear Trilemma in Southern Asia: China, India, and Pakistan

ABSTRACTThis paper discusses both the external and domestic drivers of the nuclear trilemma in Southern Asia that involves China, India and Pakistan. It seeks to untangle the complexity of the dyad and the triangular nature of the relationships between the three countries and highlights major differ...

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Main Author: Jingdong Yuan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2022-07-01
Series:Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/25751654.2022.2158700
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author Jingdong Yuan
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description ABSTRACTThis paper discusses both the external and domestic drivers of the nuclear trilemma in Southern Asia that involves China, India and Pakistan. It seeks to untangle the complexity of the dyad and the triangular nature of the relationships between the three countries and highlights major differences as well as similarities in the nuclear dynamics. It identifies and examines the internal dynamics of the China–India and India–Pakistan conflicts and explores how domestic drivers such as nationalism, public opinions, and civil–military relations either mitigate or exacerbate nuclear risks in a region marked by perennial disputes, emerging rivalry, and long-standing extra-regional interferences. Against these backgrounds, the paper addresses the central theme of the nuclear trilemma between China, India, and Pakistan by looking at causes of instability, risks of conflicts and escalation to nuclear use, and prospects of restraint and risk reduction, including the development and implementation of confidence-building measures and nuclear risk reduction mechanisms.
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spelling doaj.art-331534edea69438ea292838cff4c9ee32023-01-19T08:17:17ZengTaylor & Francis GroupJournal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament2575-16542022-07-015229631410.1080/25751654.2022.2158700External and Domestic Drivers of Nuclear Trilemma in Southern Asia: China, India, and PakistanJingdong Yuan0Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, Solna, Sweden; University of Sydney, Sydney, AustraliaABSTRACTThis paper discusses both the external and domestic drivers of the nuclear trilemma in Southern Asia that involves China, India and Pakistan. It seeks to untangle the complexity of the dyad and the triangular nature of the relationships between the three countries and highlights major differences as well as similarities in the nuclear dynamics. It identifies and examines the internal dynamics of the China–India and India–Pakistan conflicts and explores how domestic drivers such as nationalism, public opinions, and civil–military relations either mitigate or exacerbate nuclear risks in a region marked by perennial disputes, emerging rivalry, and long-standing extra-regional interferences. Against these backgrounds, the paper addresses the central theme of the nuclear trilemma between China, India, and Pakistan by looking at causes of instability, risks of conflicts and escalation to nuclear use, and prospects of restraint and risk reduction, including the development and implementation of confidence-building measures and nuclear risk reduction mechanisms.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/25751654.2022.2158700ChinaIndiaPakistandomestic driversnuclear chainrisk reduction
spellingShingle Jingdong Yuan
External and Domestic Drivers of Nuclear Trilemma in Southern Asia: China, India, and Pakistan
Journal for Peace and Nuclear Disarmament
China
India
Pakistan
domestic drivers
nuclear chain
risk reduction
title External and Domestic Drivers of Nuclear Trilemma in Southern Asia: China, India, and Pakistan
title_full External and Domestic Drivers of Nuclear Trilemma in Southern Asia: China, India, and Pakistan
title_fullStr External and Domestic Drivers of Nuclear Trilemma in Southern Asia: China, India, and Pakistan
title_full_unstemmed External and Domestic Drivers of Nuclear Trilemma in Southern Asia: China, India, and Pakistan
title_short External and Domestic Drivers of Nuclear Trilemma in Southern Asia: China, India, and Pakistan
title_sort external and domestic drivers of nuclear trilemma in southern asia china india and pakistan
topic China
India
Pakistan
domestic drivers
nuclear chain
risk reduction
url https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/25751654.2022.2158700
work_keys_str_mv AT jingdongyuan externalanddomesticdriversofnucleartrilemmainsouthernasiachinaindiaandpakistan