Understanding Household Fuel Choice Behaviour in the Amazonas State, Brazil: Effects of Validation and Feature Selection

Since 2003, Brazil has striven to provide energy access to all, in rural areas, in an effort to economically empower the communities. Unpacking fuel stacking behaviour can shed light onto the speed of transition toward the exclusive use of advanced fuel types. This paper presents findings from surve...

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Main Authors: Kojo Sarfo Gyamfi, Elena Gaura, James Brusey, Alessandro Bezerra Trindade, Nandor Verba
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-07-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/15/3857
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author Kojo Sarfo Gyamfi
Elena Gaura
James Brusey
Alessandro Bezerra Trindade
Nandor Verba
author_facet Kojo Sarfo Gyamfi
Elena Gaura
James Brusey
Alessandro Bezerra Trindade
Nandor Verba
author_sort Kojo Sarfo Gyamfi
collection DOAJ
description Since 2003, Brazil has striven to provide energy access to all, in rural areas, in an effort to economically empower the communities. Unpacking fuel stacking behaviour can shed light onto the speed of transition toward the exclusive use of advanced fuel types. This paper presents findings from surveys that were carried out with 14 non-electrified communities in a rural area of Rio Negro, Amazonas State, Brazil. We identify the fuel choice determinants in these communities using a multinomial logistic regression model and more generally discuss the validity and robustness of such models in the context of statistical validation and evaluation metrics. Specifically for the Amazonas communities considered in this study, the research showed that the fuel choice determinants are the age of household, the number of people at meals each day, the number of meals daily, the community, education of the household head, and the income level of the household. Moreover, given the Brazilian policies related to energy and sustainability, this region is not likely to reach the Sustainable Development Goals proposed by United Nations for 2030.
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spelling doaj.art-3324216965df42e39052daf586c190412023-11-20T08:13:09ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732020-07-011315385710.3390/en13153857Understanding Household Fuel Choice Behaviour in the Amazonas State, Brazil: Effects of Validation and Feature SelectionKojo Sarfo Gyamfi0Elena Gaura1James Brusey2Alessandro Bezerra Trindade3Nandor Verba4Centre for Data Science, Coventry University, Coventry CV1 5FB, UKCentre for Data Science, Coventry University, Coventry CV1 5FB, UKCentre for Data Science, Coventry University, Coventry CV1 5FB, UKDepartment of Electricity, Federal University of Amazonas (UFAM), AM 69067-005 Manaus, BrazilCentre for Data Science, Coventry University, Coventry CV1 5FB, UKSince 2003, Brazil has striven to provide energy access to all, in rural areas, in an effort to economically empower the communities. Unpacking fuel stacking behaviour can shed light onto the speed of transition toward the exclusive use of advanced fuel types. This paper presents findings from surveys that were carried out with 14 non-electrified communities in a rural area of Rio Negro, Amazonas State, Brazil. We identify the fuel choice determinants in these communities using a multinomial logistic regression model and more generally discuss the validity and robustness of such models in the context of statistical validation and evaluation metrics. Specifically for the Amazonas communities considered in this study, the research showed that the fuel choice determinants are the age of household, the number of people at meals each day, the number of meals daily, the community, education of the household head, and the income level of the household. Moreover, given the Brazilian policies related to energy and sustainability, this region is not likely to reach the Sustainable Development Goals proposed by United Nations for 2030.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/15/3857rural electrificationfuel stackingfuel choicemultinomial logistic regression model
spellingShingle Kojo Sarfo Gyamfi
Elena Gaura
James Brusey
Alessandro Bezerra Trindade
Nandor Verba
Understanding Household Fuel Choice Behaviour in the Amazonas State, Brazil: Effects of Validation and Feature Selection
Energies
rural electrification
fuel stacking
fuel choice
multinomial logistic regression model
title Understanding Household Fuel Choice Behaviour in the Amazonas State, Brazil: Effects of Validation and Feature Selection
title_full Understanding Household Fuel Choice Behaviour in the Amazonas State, Brazil: Effects of Validation and Feature Selection
title_fullStr Understanding Household Fuel Choice Behaviour in the Amazonas State, Brazil: Effects of Validation and Feature Selection
title_full_unstemmed Understanding Household Fuel Choice Behaviour in the Amazonas State, Brazil: Effects of Validation and Feature Selection
title_short Understanding Household Fuel Choice Behaviour in the Amazonas State, Brazil: Effects of Validation and Feature Selection
title_sort understanding household fuel choice behaviour in the amazonas state brazil effects of validation and feature selection
topic rural electrification
fuel stacking
fuel choice
multinomial logistic regression model
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/13/15/3857
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