Problems and forecast of the development of the Russian fuel and energy complex: the factorial approach
Existing forecasts of Russian energy sector development have a number of general provisions and differ in approaches to their construction. The most realistic forecast is made within the framework of the Energy Strategy of Russia for the period up to 2035. However, the dynamism and high uncertainty...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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LLC "CPC "Business Perspectives"
2017-09-01
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| Series: | Problems and Perspectives in Management |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://businessperspectives.org/images/pdf/applications/publishing/templates/article/assets/9077/PPM_2017_02cont2_Toimentseva.pdf |
| _version_ | 1819068727426023424 |
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| author | Irina A. Toimentseva Natalia P. Karpova Natalia G. Ostroukhova Vera D. Chichkina |
| author_facet | Irina A. Toimentseva Natalia P. Karpova Natalia G. Ostroukhova Vera D. Chichkina |
| author_sort | Irina A. Toimentseva |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Existing forecasts of Russian energy sector development have a number of general provisions and differ in approaches to their construction. The most realistic forecast is made within the framework of the Energy Strategy of Russia for the period up to 2035. However, the dynamism and high uncertainty of economic processes, international relations, domestic policy and the rapid growth of scientific and technical progress need a systematic correction of any forecast. The purpose of the article is to develop theoretical provisions and practical recommendations for making a forecast for the development of the Russian fuel and energy complex based on the application of the factor approach. The forecasting results are used in the development of management decisions, therefore, the authors of the article take into account the influence of various factors while making the forecast, but they (factors) are all quantitatively commensurable. To make a reliable forecast, the internal environment of the research object is studied in detail, organizational and economic problems in the development of the Russian fuel and energy complex are revealed, and methods for their elimination are suggested. The external environment is also analyzed and trends in the development of world energy markets are revealed. To forecast the state of the fuel and energy complex, an integral indicator is chosen reflecting the level of its technical and economic development. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-21T16:38:45Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-3359b7cd394b4967ae688f7b64e2d6fa |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1727-7051 1810-5467 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-21T16:38:45Z |
| publishDate | 2017-09-01 |
| publisher | LLC "CPC "Business Perspectives" |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Problems and Perspectives in Management |
| spelling | doaj.art-3359b7cd394b4967ae688f7b64e2d6fa2022-12-21T18:57:10ZengLLC "CPC "Business Perspectives"Problems and Perspectives in Management1727-70511810-54672017-09-0115237238510.21511/ppm.15(2-2).2017.079077Problems and forecast of the development of the Russian fuel and energy complex: the factorial approachIrina A. Toimentseva0Natalia P. Karpova1Natalia G. Ostroukhova2Vera D. Chichkina3Doctor of Economics, Professor of Department of Marketing, Logistics and Advertising, Samara State University of EconomicsDoctor of Economics, Professor of Department of Marketing, Logistics and Advertising, Samara State University of EconomicsCandidate of Economics, Associate Professor, Department of Economics, Syzran Branch of Samara State Technical UniversityCandidate of Economics, Head of Department of Economics, Syzran Branch of Samara State Technical UniversityExisting forecasts of Russian energy sector development have a number of general provisions and differ in approaches to their construction. The most realistic forecast is made within the framework of the Energy Strategy of Russia for the period up to 2035. However, the dynamism and high uncertainty of economic processes, international relations, domestic policy and the rapid growth of scientific and technical progress need a systematic correction of any forecast. The purpose of the article is to develop theoretical provisions and practical recommendations for making a forecast for the development of the Russian fuel and energy complex based on the application of the factor approach. The forecasting results are used in the development of management decisions, therefore, the authors of the article take into account the influence of various factors while making the forecast, but they (factors) are all quantitatively commensurable. To make a reliable forecast, the internal environment of the research object is studied in detail, organizational and economic problems in the development of the Russian fuel and energy complex are revealed, and methods for their elimination are suggested. The external environment is also analyzed and trends in the development of world energy markets are revealed. To forecast the state of the fuel and energy complex, an integral indicator is chosen reflecting the level of its technical and economic development.https://businessperspectives.org/images/pdf/applications/publishing/templates/article/assets/9077/PPM_2017_02cont2_Toimentseva.pdfdevelopment factorsenergy intensity of GDPinnovative activityRussia’s energy strategytechnical and economic problemstechnological structure |
| spellingShingle | Irina A. Toimentseva Natalia P. Karpova Natalia G. Ostroukhova Vera D. Chichkina Problems and forecast of the development of the Russian fuel and energy complex: the factorial approach Problems and Perspectives in Management development factors energy intensity of GDP innovative activity Russia’s energy strategy technical and economic problems technological structure |
| title | Problems and forecast of the development of the Russian fuel and energy complex: the factorial approach |
| title_full | Problems and forecast of the development of the Russian fuel and energy complex: the factorial approach |
| title_fullStr | Problems and forecast of the development of the Russian fuel and energy complex: the factorial approach |
| title_full_unstemmed | Problems and forecast of the development of the Russian fuel and energy complex: the factorial approach |
| title_short | Problems and forecast of the development of the Russian fuel and energy complex: the factorial approach |
| title_sort | problems and forecast of the development of the russian fuel and energy complex the factorial approach |
| topic | development factors energy intensity of GDP innovative activity Russia’s energy strategy technical and economic problems technological structure |
| url | https://businessperspectives.org/images/pdf/applications/publishing/templates/article/assets/9077/PPM_2017_02cont2_Toimentseva.pdf |
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