From regional climate simulations to the hydrological information needed for basin scale impact studies

The accuracy of local downscaling of rainfall predictions provided by climate models is crucial for the assessment of climate change impacts on hydrological processes because the presence of bias in downscaled precipitation may produce large bias in the assessment of soil moisture dynamics, river fl...

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Main Authors: I. Portoghese, E. Bruno, M. Vurro
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2010-06-01
Series:Advances in Geosciences
Online Access:http://www.adv-geosci.net/26/25/2010/adgeo-26-25-2010.pdf
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author I. Portoghese
E. Bruno
M. Vurro
author_facet I. Portoghese
E. Bruno
M. Vurro
author_sort I. Portoghese
collection DOAJ
description The accuracy of local downscaling of rainfall predictions provided by climate models is crucial for the assessment of climate change impacts on hydrological processes because the presence of bias in downscaled precipitation may produce large bias in the assessment of soil moisture dynamics, river flows, and groundwater recharge. <br><br> In this study, the output of a regional climate model (RCM) is downscaled using a stochastic modelling of the point rainfall process able to adequately reproduce the daily rainfall intermittency which is one of the crucial aspects for the hydrological processes characterizing Mediterranean environments. The historical time-series from a dense rain-gauge network were used for the analysis of the RCM bias in terms of dry and wet daily period and then to investigate the predicted alteration in the local rainfall regime. A Poisson Rectangular Pulse (PRP) model (Rodriguez-Iturbe et al., 1987) was finally adopted for the stochastic generation of local daily rainfall as a continuous-time point process with forcing parameters resulting from the bias correction of the RCM scenario.
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spelling doaj.art-337df2eab9c94a00b4cadc26e87d31c82022-12-22T02:47:06ZengCopernicus PublicationsAdvances in Geosciences1680-73401680-73592010-06-0126253110.5194/adgeo-26-25-2010From regional climate simulations to the hydrological information needed for basin scale impact studiesI. Portoghese0E. Bruno1M. Vurro2Water Research Institute, National Research Council, Bari, ItalyWater Research Institute, National Research Council, Bari, ItalyWater Research Institute, National Research Council, Bari, ItalyThe accuracy of local downscaling of rainfall predictions provided by climate models is crucial for the assessment of climate change impacts on hydrological processes because the presence of bias in downscaled precipitation may produce large bias in the assessment of soil moisture dynamics, river flows, and groundwater recharge. <br><br> In this study, the output of a regional climate model (RCM) is downscaled using a stochastic modelling of the point rainfall process able to adequately reproduce the daily rainfall intermittency which is one of the crucial aspects for the hydrological processes characterizing Mediterranean environments. The historical time-series from a dense rain-gauge network were used for the analysis of the RCM bias in terms of dry and wet daily period and then to investigate the predicted alteration in the local rainfall regime. A Poisson Rectangular Pulse (PRP) model (Rodriguez-Iturbe et al., 1987) was finally adopted for the stochastic generation of local daily rainfall as a continuous-time point process with forcing parameters resulting from the bias correction of the RCM scenario.http://www.adv-geosci.net/26/25/2010/adgeo-26-25-2010.pdf
spellingShingle I. Portoghese
E. Bruno
M. Vurro
From regional climate simulations to the hydrological information needed for basin scale impact studies
Advances in Geosciences
title From regional climate simulations to the hydrological information needed for basin scale impact studies
title_full From regional climate simulations to the hydrological information needed for basin scale impact studies
title_fullStr From regional climate simulations to the hydrological information needed for basin scale impact studies
title_full_unstemmed From regional climate simulations to the hydrological information needed for basin scale impact studies
title_short From regional climate simulations to the hydrological information needed for basin scale impact studies
title_sort from regional climate simulations to the hydrological information needed for basin scale impact studies
url http://www.adv-geosci.net/26/25/2010/adgeo-26-25-2010.pdf
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