Spatial Models Predictive of “Seca” Risk in Extremadura. Applications at Regional and Local Scale in Protected Natural Areas

Rangeland (known as Dehesas or Montados) is a characteristic ecosystem of the southwestern part of the Iberian Peninsula that occupies approximately 3.5 million ha, representing the most important agrosilvopastoral system in Europe. Nowadays, this situation is changing, being under circumstances of...

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Main Authors: Álvaro Tejeda-Corvillo, Jesús Barrena-González, Joaquín Francisco Lavado-Contador, Alberto Alfonso-Torreño, Álvaro Gómez-Gutiérrez, Manuel Pulido-Fernández
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2020-05-01
Series:Proceedings
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2504-3900/30/1/58
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author Álvaro Tejeda-Corvillo
Jesús Barrena-González
Joaquín Francisco Lavado-Contador
Alberto Alfonso-Torreño
Álvaro Gómez-Gutiérrez
Manuel Pulido-Fernández
author_facet Álvaro Tejeda-Corvillo
Jesús Barrena-González
Joaquín Francisco Lavado-Contador
Alberto Alfonso-Torreño
Álvaro Gómez-Gutiérrez
Manuel Pulido-Fernández
author_sort Álvaro Tejeda-Corvillo
collection DOAJ
description Rangeland (known as Dehesas or Montados) is a characteristic ecosystem of the southwestern part of the Iberian Peninsula that occupies approximately 3.5 million ha, representing the most important agrosilvopastoral system in Europe. Nowadays, this situation is changing, being under circumstances of threat due to different aspects that are causing degradation of holm oaks and cork oaks throughout the Iberian Peninsula. These problems are of various kinds, accentuating the disease or syndrome of seca, tree death caused by Phytophthora cinnamomi. For the development of death susceptibility models, maximum entropy algorithms (MAXENT) were used, often widely used in ecological niche models. In the development of models, a wide range of variables (dependents and predictive), both climatic or bioclimatic, geological or soil, vegetation and economic and geographical characteristics were used. The study was carried out at two scales, the Autonomous Community of Extremadura in its entirety, and another more specific work scale, such as seca focus in protected natural areas within the Natura 2000 Network. The regional model showed a total of 1,179,639 ha prone to be affected by this condition, among which, 383,339 ha showed a high potential risk level of seca presence. These models, carried out at local scale in 4 polygons selected within the Natura 2000 Network, showed more than 70% of the land surface studied as areas with risk of suffering seca.
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spelling doaj.art-33a170e1d91542ea9c131ce5ee375cf72023-11-20T00:54:22ZengMDPI AGProceedings2504-39002020-05-013015810.3390/proceedings2019030058Spatial Models Predictive of “Seca” Risk in Extremadura. Applications at Regional and Local Scale in Protected Natural AreasÁlvaro Tejeda-Corvillo0Jesús Barrena-González1Joaquín Francisco Lavado-Contador2Alberto Alfonso-Torreño3Álvaro Gómez-Gutiérrez4Manuel Pulido-Fernández5Research Institute for Sustainable Land Development (INTERRA), University of Extremadura, 10071 Cáceres, SpainResearch Institute for Sustainable Land Development (INTERRA), University of Extremadura, 10071 Cáceres, SpainResearch Institute for Sustainable Land Development (INTERRA), University of Extremadura, 10071 Cáceres, SpainResearch Institute for Sustainable Land Development (INTERRA), University of Extremadura, 10071 Cáceres, SpainResearch Institute for Sustainable Land Development (INTERRA), University of Extremadura, 10071 Cáceres, SpainResearch Institute for Sustainable Land Development (INTERRA), University of Extremadura, 10071 Cáceres, SpainRangeland (known as Dehesas or Montados) is a characteristic ecosystem of the southwestern part of the Iberian Peninsula that occupies approximately 3.5 million ha, representing the most important agrosilvopastoral system in Europe. Nowadays, this situation is changing, being under circumstances of threat due to different aspects that are causing degradation of holm oaks and cork oaks throughout the Iberian Peninsula. These problems are of various kinds, accentuating the disease or syndrome of seca, tree death caused by Phytophthora cinnamomi. For the development of death susceptibility models, maximum entropy algorithms (MAXENT) were used, often widely used in ecological niche models. In the development of models, a wide range of variables (dependents and predictive), both climatic or bioclimatic, geological or soil, vegetation and economic and geographical characteristics were used. The study was carried out at two scales, the Autonomous Community of Extremadura in its entirety, and another more specific work scale, such as seca focus in protected natural areas within the Natura 2000 Network. The regional model showed a total of 1,179,639 ha prone to be affected by this condition, among which, 383,339 ha showed a high potential risk level of seca presence. These models, carried out at local scale in 4 polygons selected within the Natura 2000 Network, showed more than 70% of the land surface studied as areas with risk of suffering seca.https://www.mdpi.com/2504-3900/30/1/58Phytophthora cinnamomi randsspecies distribution modelMAXENTsecaQuercus
spellingShingle Álvaro Tejeda-Corvillo
Jesús Barrena-González
Joaquín Francisco Lavado-Contador
Alberto Alfonso-Torreño
Álvaro Gómez-Gutiérrez
Manuel Pulido-Fernández
Spatial Models Predictive of “Seca” Risk in Extremadura. Applications at Regional and Local Scale in Protected Natural Areas
Proceedings
Phytophthora cinnamomi rands
species distribution model
MAXENT
seca
Quercus
title Spatial Models Predictive of “Seca” Risk in Extremadura. Applications at Regional and Local Scale in Protected Natural Areas
title_full Spatial Models Predictive of “Seca” Risk in Extremadura. Applications at Regional and Local Scale in Protected Natural Areas
title_fullStr Spatial Models Predictive of “Seca” Risk in Extremadura. Applications at Regional and Local Scale in Protected Natural Areas
title_full_unstemmed Spatial Models Predictive of “Seca” Risk in Extremadura. Applications at Regional and Local Scale in Protected Natural Areas
title_short Spatial Models Predictive of “Seca” Risk in Extremadura. Applications at Regional and Local Scale in Protected Natural Areas
title_sort spatial models predictive of seca risk in extremadura applications at regional and local scale in protected natural areas
topic Phytophthora cinnamomi rands
species distribution model
MAXENT
seca
Quercus
url https://www.mdpi.com/2504-3900/30/1/58
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