Epidemic forecasts as a tool for public health: interpretation and (re)calibration

Epidemic forecasts as a tool for public health: interpretation and (re)calibration

Abstract Objective: Recent studies have used Bayesian methods to predict timing of influenza epidemics many weeks in advance, but there is no documented evaluation of how such forecasts might support the day‐to‐day operations of public health staff. Methods: During the 2015 influenza season in Melbo...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Robert Moss, James E. Fielding, Lucinda J. Franklin, Nicola Stephens, Jodie McVernon, Peter Dawson, James M. McCaw
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2018-02-01
Series:Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health
Subjects:
influenza
epidemics
forecasting
public health
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1111/1753-6405.12750

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