Using Bayesian networks to map winter habitat for mountain goats in coastal British Columbia, Canada

The mountain goat (Oreamnos americanus) is an iconic wildlife species of western North America that inhabits steep and largely inaccessible terrain in remote areas. They are at risk from human disturbance, genetic isolation, climate change, and a variety of other stressors. Managing populations is c...

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Main Authors: Steven F. Wilson, Cliff Nietvelt, Shawn Taylor, Daniel A. Guertin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-10-01
Series:Frontiers in Environmental Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2022.958596/full
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author Steven F. Wilson
Cliff Nietvelt
Shawn Taylor
Daniel A. Guertin
author_facet Steven F. Wilson
Cliff Nietvelt
Shawn Taylor
Daniel A. Guertin
author_sort Steven F. Wilson
collection DOAJ
description The mountain goat (Oreamnos americanus) is an iconic wildlife species of western North America that inhabits steep and largely inaccessible terrain in remote areas. They are at risk from human disturbance, genetic isolation, climate change, and a variety of other stressors. Managing populations is challenging and mountain goats are particularly difficult and expensive to inventory. As a result, biologists often rely on models to estimate the species’ abundance and distribution in remote areas. We used landscape characteristics evident at point locations of mountain goat visual observations, tracks, and telemetry locations, along with random locations, to learn the structure and parameters of a Bayesian network that predicted the suitability of habitats for mountain goats. We then used the model to map habitat suitability across 285,000 km2 of potential habitat in mountain ranges of the south and central Canadian Pacific coast. Steep slopes, forest cover characteristics, and snow depth were the important drivers. Modeling the system as a Bayesian network provided several advantages over more common regression methods because input variables were heterogenous (i.e., a mix of discrete and continuous), autocorrelated, and animals exhibited non-linear responses to landscape conditions. These common characteristics of ecological data routinely violate the assumptions of parametric linear models, which are commonly used to map habitat suitability from animal observations.
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spelling doaj.art-341429694a914724b4037c4cc5e245b02022-12-22T03:49:45ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Environmental Science2296-665X2022-10-011010.3389/fenvs.2022.958596958596Using Bayesian networks to map winter habitat for mountain goats in coastal British Columbia, CanadaSteven F. Wilson0Cliff Nietvelt1Shawn Taylor2Daniel A. Guertin3EcoLogic Research, Nanaimo, BC, CanadaBritish Columbia Ministry of Forests, Victoria, BC, CanadaYukon Department of Environment, Whitehorse, YT, CanadaBritish Columbia Ministry of Land, Water, and Resource Stewardship, Surrey, BC, CanadaThe mountain goat (Oreamnos americanus) is an iconic wildlife species of western North America that inhabits steep and largely inaccessible terrain in remote areas. They are at risk from human disturbance, genetic isolation, climate change, and a variety of other stressors. Managing populations is challenging and mountain goats are particularly difficult and expensive to inventory. As a result, biologists often rely on models to estimate the species’ abundance and distribution in remote areas. We used landscape characteristics evident at point locations of mountain goat visual observations, tracks, and telemetry locations, along with random locations, to learn the structure and parameters of a Bayesian network that predicted the suitability of habitats for mountain goats. We then used the model to map habitat suitability across 285,000 km2 of potential habitat in mountain ranges of the south and central Canadian Pacific coast. Steep slopes, forest cover characteristics, and snow depth were the important drivers. Modeling the system as a Bayesian network provided several advantages over more common regression methods because input variables were heterogenous (i.e., a mix of discrete and continuous), autocorrelated, and animals exhibited non-linear responses to landscape conditions. These common characteristics of ecological data routinely violate the assumptions of parametric linear models, which are commonly used to map habitat suitability from animal observations.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2022.958596/fullBayesian networkshabitat suitabilitymountain goats (Oreamnos americanus)British Columbia (BC)wildlife management
spellingShingle Steven F. Wilson
Cliff Nietvelt
Shawn Taylor
Daniel A. Guertin
Using Bayesian networks to map winter habitat for mountain goats in coastal British Columbia, Canada
Frontiers in Environmental Science
Bayesian networks
habitat suitability
mountain goats (Oreamnos americanus)
British Columbia (BC)
wildlife management
title Using Bayesian networks to map winter habitat for mountain goats in coastal British Columbia, Canada
title_full Using Bayesian networks to map winter habitat for mountain goats in coastal British Columbia, Canada
title_fullStr Using Bayesian networks to map winter habitat for mountain goats in coastal British Columbia, Canada
title_full_unstemmed Using Bayesian networks to map winter habitat for mountain goats in coastal British Columbia, Canada
title_short Using Bayesian networks to map winter habitat for mountain goats in coastal British Columbia, Canada
title_sort using bayesian networks to map winter habitat for mountain goats in coastal british columbia canada
topic Bayesian networks
habitat suitability
mountain goats (Oreamnos americanus)
British Columbia (BC)
wildlife management
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2022.958596/full
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