The Impact of Patient Infection Rate on Emergency Department Patient Flow: Hybrid Simulation Study in a Norwegian Case

The COVID-19 pandemic put emergency departments all over the world under severe and unprecedented distress. Previous methods of evaluating patient flow impact, such as in-situ simulation, tabletop studies, etc., in a rapidly evolving pandemic are prohibitively impractical, time-consuming, costly, an...

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Main Authors: Gaute Terning, Idriss El-Thalji, Eric Christian Brun
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-06-01
Series:Healthcare
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9032/11/13/1904
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author Gaute Terning
Idriss El-Thalji
Eric Christian Brun
author_facet Gaute Terning
Idriss El-Thalji
Eric Christian Brun
author_sort Gaute Terning
collection DOAJ
description The COVID-19 pandemic put emergency departments all over the world under severe and unprecedented distress. Previous methods of evaluating patient flow impact, such as in-situ simulation, tabletop studies, etc., in a rapidly evolving pandemic are prohibitively impractical, time-consuming, costly, and inflexible. For instance, it is challenging to study the patient flow in the emergency department under different infection rates and get insights using in-situ simulation and tabletop studies. Despite circumventing many of these challenges, the simulation modeling approach and hybrid agent-based modeling stand underutilized. This study investigates the impact of increased patient infection rate on the emergency department patient flow by using a developed hybrid agent-based simulation model. This study reports findings on the patient infection rate in different emergency department patient flow configurations. This study’s results quantify and demonstrate that an increase in patient infection rate will lead to an incremental deterioration of the patient flow metrics average length of stay and crowding within the emergency department, especially if the waiting functions are introduced. Along with other findings, it is concluded that waiting functions, including the waiting zone, make the single average length of stay an ineffective measure as it creates a multinomial distribution of several tendencies.
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spelling doaj.art-3460263ad5574b068ccb75fa63a8ac072023-11-18T16:36:48ZengMDPI AGHealthcare2227-90322023-06-011113190410.3390/healthcare11131904The Impact of Patient Infection Rate on Emergency Department Patient Flow: Hybrid Simulation Study in a Norwegian CaseGaute Terning0Idriss El-Thalji1Eric Christian Brun2Department of Safety, Economics, and Planning, University of Stavanger, 4036 Stavanger, NorwayDepartment of Mechanical and Structural Engineering and Materials Science, University of Stavanger, 4036 Stavanger, NorwayDepartment of Safety, Economics, and Planning, University of Stavanger, 4036 Stavanger, NorwayThe COVID-19 pandemic put emergency departments all over the world under severe and unprecedented distress. Previous methods of evaluating patient flow impact, such as in-situ simulation, tabletop studies, etc., in a rapidly evolving pandemic are prohibitively impractical, time-consuming, costly, and inflexible. For instance, it is challenging to study the patient flow in the emergency department under different infection rates and get insights using in-situ simulation and tabletop studies. Despite circumventing many of these challenges, the simulation modeling approach and hybrid agent-based modeling stand underutilized. This study investigates the impact of increased patient infection rate on the emergency department patient flow by using a developed hybrid agent-based simulation model. This study reports findings on the patient infection rate in different emergency department patient flow configurations. This study’s results quantify and demonstrate that an increase in patient infection rate will lead to an incremental deterioration of the patient flow metrics average length of stay and crowding within the emergency department, especially if the waiting functions are introduced. Along with other findings, it is concluded that waiting functions, including the waiting zone, make the single average length of stay an ineffective measure as it creates a multinomial distribution of several tendencies.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9032/11/13/1904healthcareemergency departmentpatient flowpatient infection rateCOVID-19 pandemicagent-based hybrid model
spellingShingle Gaute Terning
Idriss El-Thalji
Eric Christian Brun
The Impact of Patient Infection Rate on Emergency Department Patient Flow: Hybrid Simulation Study in a Norwegian Case
Healthcare
healthcare
emergency department
patient flow
patient infection rate
COVID-19 pandemic
agent-based hybrid model
title The Impact of Patient Infection Rate on Emergency Department Patient Flow: Hybrid Simulation Study in a Norwegian Case
title_full The Impact of Patient Infection Rate on Emergency Department Patient Flow: Hybrid Simulation Study in a Norwegian Case
title_fullStr The Impact of Patient Infection Rate on Emergency Department Patient Flow: Hybrid Simulation Study in a Norwegian Case
title_full_unstemmed The Impact of Patient Infection Rate on Emergency Department Patient Flow: Hybrid Simulation Study in a Norwegian Case
title_short The Impact of Patient Infection Rate on Emergency Department Patient Flow: Hybrid Simulation Study in a Norwegian Case
title_sort impact of patient infection rate on emergency department patient flow hybrid simulation study in a norwegian case
topic healthcare
emergency department
patient flow
patient infection rate
COVID-19 pandemic
agent-based hybrid model
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9032/11/13/1904
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