The Effect of Financial Fragility on Macroeconomic Variables: TVP_VAR Model for the Iranian Economy

The present study aimed to investigate the effect of financial fragility on macroeconomic variables within a TVP-VAR model. For this purpose, first the financial fragility variable was calculated. Then, this study evaluated the effect of this variable on macroeconomic variables including economic gr...

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Main Authors: Alireza Rezaee, Dariush Fareed, Habib Ansari Samani
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of Sistan and Baluchestan 2022-07-01
Series:International Journal of Business and Development Studies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ijbds.usb.ac.ir/article_7436_d54a5733c5e268e45d34c366d23824b6.pdf
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author Alireza Rezaee
Dariush Fareed
Habib Ansari Samani
author_facet Alireza Rezaee
Dariush Fareed
Habib Ansari Samani
author_sort Alireza Rezaee
collection DOAJ
description The present study aimed to investigate the effect of financial fragility on macroeconomic variables within a TVP-VAR model. For this purpose, first the financial fragility variable was calculated. Then, this study evaluated the effect of this variable on macroeconomic variables including economic growth rate, inflation rate, and exchange rate. In this study, the quarterly data for the period 2001-2020 were used. The results indicated that financial fragility had a negative effect on economic growth but a positive effect on exchange rate and inflation by creating uncertainty in the economy. In other words, financial fragility in Iran increased economic fluctuations by reducing economic growth and increasing inflation and exchange rates.
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spelling doaj.art-34700197e7c54f788554c7a6fdc2d0042023-06-15T16:56:55ZengUniversity of Sistan and BaluchestanInternational Journal of Business and Development Studies2538-33022538-33102022-07-01141254010.22111/ijbds.2022.74367436The Effect of Financial Fragility on Macroeconomic Variables: TVP_VAR Model for the Iranian EconomyAlireza Rezaee0Dariush Fareed1Habib Ansari Samani2PhD Candidate, Department of Financial Management and Accounting, Yazd University, Yazd, Iran.Associate Professor, Department of Financial Management and Accounting, Yazd University, Yazd, Iran.Associate Professor, Department of Economics, Yazd Univesrity, Yazd, Iran.The present study aimed to investigate the effect of financial fragility on macroeconomic variables within a TVP-VAR model. For this purpose, first the financial fragility variable was calculated. Then, this study evaluated the effect of this variable on macroeconomic variables including economic growth rate, inflation rate, and exchange rate. In this study, the quarterly data for the period 2001-2020 were used. The results indicated that financial fragility had a negative effect on economic growth but a positive effect on exchange rate and inflation by creating uncertainty in the economy. In other words, financial fragility in Iran increased economic fluctuations by reducing economic growth and increasing inflation and exchange rates.https://ijbds.usb.ac.ir/article_7436_d54a5733c5e268e45d34c366d23824b6.pdffinancial fragilityinflationeconomic growthirantvp-var model
spellingShingle Alireza Rezaee
Dariush Fareed
Habib Ansari Samani
The Effect of Financial Fragility on Macroeconomic Variables: TVP_VAR Model for the Iranian Economy
International Journal of Business and Development Studies
financial fragility
inflation
economic growth
iran
tvp-var model
title The Effect of Financial Fragility on Macroeconomic Variables: TVP_VAR Model for the Iranian Economy
title_full The Effect of Financial Fragility on Macroeconomic Variables: TVP_VAR Model for the Iranian Economy
title_fullStr The Effect of Financial Fragility on Macroeconomic Variables: TVP_VAR Model for the Iranian Economy
title_full_unstemmed The Effect of Financial Fragility on Macroeconomic Variables: TVP_VAR Model for the Iranian Economy
title_short The Effect of Financial Fragility on Macroeconomic Variables: TVP_VAR Model for the Iranian Economy
title_sort effect of financial fragility on macroeconomic variables tvp var model for the iranian economy
topic financial fragility
inflation
economic growth
iran
tvp-var model
url https://ijbds.usb.ac.ir/article_7436_d54a5733c5e268e45d34c366d23824b6.pdf
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