Monthly analyses of convection-related irregular flights and their linear projections for the future climate in China
Convective weather such as thunderstorms and rain is one of the main causes of irregular flights including delays, cancelations, turnbacks and diversions. In China, summer (April–September) flights accounted for 94% of irregular flights due to convective weather in 2016–2019. The impact of summer co...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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IOP Publishing
2021-01-01
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| Series: | Environmental Research Letters |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abe1f4 |
| _version_ | 1797747779729096704 |
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| author | Yuntao Zhou Hongjing Gong Penglei Fan Na Li Lei Gu |
| author_facet | Yuntao Zhou Hongjing Gong Penglei Fan Na Li Lei Gu |
| author_sort | Yuntao Zhou |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Convective weather such as thunderstorms and rain is one of the main causes of irregular flights including delays, cancelations, turnbacks and diversions. In China, summer (April–September) flights accounted for 94% of irregular flights due to convective weather in 2016–2019. The impact of summer convective weather conditions on irregular flights is however not well understood. In this research, we find that thunderstorms, as indicated by the lifted index (LI), are greatly related to these irregular flights over Southeast China. The global climate model ensemble indicates there will be robust increases in the occurrence of convective weather environments in response to further global warming. We also find that as the LI is decreasing over time, the likelihood of thunderstorm-related irregular flights is increasing. Such an increase indicates there will be a 17% increase in irregular flights by the end of the century. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-12T15:55:30Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-348fbcef12f44b04b92f51423f0f7d9b |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1748-9326 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-12T15:55:30Z |
| publishDate | 2021-01-01 |
| publisher | IOP Publishing |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Environmental Research Letters |
| spelling | doaj.art-348fbcef12f44b04b92f51423f0f7d9b2023-08-09T14:54:37ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262021-01-0116303500310.1088/1748-9326/abe1f4Monthly analyses of convection-related irregular flights and their linear projections for the future climate in ChinaYuntao Zhou0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9714-5385Hongjing Gong1Penglei Fan2Na Li3Lei Gu4School of Oceanography, Shanghai Jiao Tong University , Shanghai, People’s Republic of ChinaFujian Provincial Key Laboratory for Coastal Ecology and Environmental Studies, Xiamen University , Fujian, People’s Republic of ChinaAviation Meteorological Center, Air Traffic Management Bureau, Civil Aviation Administration of China , Beijing, People’s Republic of ChinaAviation Meteorological Center, Air Traffic Management Bureau, Civil Aviation Administration of China , Beijing, People’s Republic of ChinaAviation Meteorological Center, Air Traffic Management Bureau, Civil Aviation Administration of China , Beijing, People’s Republic of ChinaConvective weather such as thunderstorms and rain is one of the main causes of irregular flights including delays, cancelations, turnbacks and diversions. In China, summer (April–September) flights accounted for 94% of irregular flights due to convective weather in 2016–2019. The impact of summer convective weather conditions on irregular flights is however not well understood. In this research, we find that thunderstorms, as indicated by the lifted index (LI), are greatly related to these irregular flights over Southeast China. The global climate model ensemble indicates there will be robust increases in the occurrence of convective weather environments in response to further global warming. We also find that as the LI is decreasing over time, the likelihood of thunderstorm-related irregular flights is increasing. Such an increase indicates there will be a 17% increase in irregular flights by the end of the century.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abe1f4convective weatherirregular flightslifted index |
| spellingShingle | Yuntao Zhou Hongjing Gong Penglei Fan Na Li Lei Gu Monthly analyses of convection-related irregular flights and their linear projections for the future climate in China Environmental Research Letters convective weather irregular flights lifted index |
| title | Monthly analyses of convection-related irregular flights and their linear projections for the future climate in China |
| title_full | Monthly analyses of convection-related irregular flights and their linear projections for the future climate in China |
| title_fullStr | Monthly analyses of convection-related irregular flights and their linear projections for the future climate in China |
| title_full_unstemmed | Monthly analyses of convection-related irregular flights and their linear projections for the future climate in China |
| title_short | Monthly analyses of convection-related irregular flights and their linear projections for the future climate in China |
| title_sort | monthly analyses of convection related irregular flights and their linear projections for the future climate in china |
| topic | convective weather irregular flights lifted index |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abe1f4 |
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