KEBIJAKAN INFLATION TARGETING: ANTISIPASI KRISIS NILAI TUKAR

This paper examines workability of inflation targeting policy after one year and half of its application in Indonesia, based on a method of descriptive analysis using macro-prudential indicators. In addition, non-parametric approach to earlier warning system of monitoring Rupiah stability against th...

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Main Author: Muhammad Handry Imansyah
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Universitas Muhammadiyah Yogyakarta 2007-10-01
Series:Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan
Subjects:
Online Access:https://journal.umy.ac.id/index.php/esp/article/view/1518
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author Muhammad Handry Imansyah
author_facet Muhammad Handry Imansyah
author_sort Muhammad Handry Imansyah
collection DOAJ
description This paper examines workability of inflation targeting policy after one year and half of its application in Indonesia, based on a method of descriptive analysis using macro-prudential indicators. In addition, non-parametric approach to earlier warning system of monitoring Rupiah stability against the US Dollar is also employed as a comparison. These two macro-prudential and non-paramet­ric approaches may predict the probability of weakening the Indonesian currency against USD. The results show unsatisfaction of the inflation targeting policy as a stabilizing instrument to control both inflation and rupiah movement against USD. This happens due to unsatisfaction of some prerequisites for con­ducting the policy, such as remaining weaknesses of financial institutions as indicated by the weakness of government regulation and control, significant off-shore loan or foreign debt and risky sudden stops from capital inflows (external domination).
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spelling doaj.art-3543feb23fca485191516f72e14584c12022-12-21T21:21:41ZengUniversitas Muhammadiyah YogyakartaJurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan1411-99002541-55062007-10-01821621701295KEBIJAKAN INFLATION TARGETING: ANTISIPASI KRISIS NILAI TUKARMuhammad Handry Imansyah0Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Lambung MangkuratThis paper examines workability of inflation targeting policy after one year and half of its application in Indonesia, based on a method of descriptive analysis using macro-prudential indicators. In addition, non-parametric approach to earlier warning system of monitoring Rupiah stability against the US Dollar is also employed as a comparison. These two macro-prudential and non-paramet­ric approaches may predict the probability of weakening the Indonesian currency against USD. The results show unsatisfaction of the inflation targeting policy as a stabilizing instrument to control both inflation and rupiah movement against USD. This happens due to unsatisfaction of some prerequisites for con­ducting the policy, such as remaining weaknesses of financial institutions as indicated by the weakness of government regulation and control, significant off-shore loan or foreign debt and risky sudden stops from capital inflows (external domination).https://journal.umy.ac.id/index.php/esp/article/view/1518inflation targetingmonetary policycapital flow
spellingShingle Muhammad Handry Imansyah
KEBIJAKAN INFLATION TARGETING: ANTISIPASI KRISIS NILAI TUKAR
Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan
inflation targeting
monetary policy
capital flow
title KEBIJAKAN INFLATION TARGETING: ANTISIPASI KRISIS NILAI TUKAR
title_full KEBIJAKAN INFLATION TARGETING: ANTISIPASI KRISIS NILAI TUKAR
title_fullStr KEBIJAKAN INFLATION TARGETING: ANTISIPASI KRISIS NILAI TUKAR
title_full_unstemmed KEBIJAKAN INFLATION TARGETING: ANTISIPASI KRISIS NILAI TUKAR
title_short KEBIJAKAN INFLATION TARGETING: ANTISIPASI KRISIS NILAI TUKAR
title_sort kebijakan inflation targeting antisipasi krisis nilai tukar
topic inflation targeting
monetary policy
capital flow
url https://journal.umy.ac.id/index.php/esp/article/view/1518
work_keys_str_mv AT muhammadhandryimansyah kebijakaninflationtargetingantisipasikrisisnilaitukar