Age and the Residual Risk of Cardiovascular Disease following Low Density Lipoprotein-Cholesterol Exposure

We believe that there is sufficient evidence from basic science, longitudinal cohort studies and randomised controlled trials which validates the low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) or lipid hypothesis. It is important that we can communicate details of the cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Carola S. König, Amar Mann, Rob McFarlane, John Marriott, Malcolm Price, Sudarshan Ramachandran
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-12-01
Series:Biomedicines
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9059/11/12/3208
_version_ 1797381856954417152
author Carola S. König
Amar Mann
Rob McFarlane
John Marriott
Malcolm Price
Sudarshan Ramachandran
author_facet Carola S. König
Amar Mann
Rob McFarlane
John Marriott
Malcolm Price
Sudarshan Ramachandran
author_sort Carola S. König
collection DOAJ
description We believe that there is sufficient evidence from basic science, longitudinal cohort studies and randomised controlled trials which validates the low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) or lipid hypothesis. It is important that we can communicate details of the cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk reduction that the average patient could expect depending on the scale of LDL-C decrease following lipid lowering therapy. It is also essential that residual risk (ResR) of CVD be highlighted. To achieve this aim by using existing trial evidence, we developed mathematical models initially for relative risk reduction (RRR) and absolute risk (AR) reduction and then showed that despite optimising LDL-C levels, a considerable degree of ResR remains that is dependent on AR. Age is significantly associated with AR (odds ratio: 1.02, 95% confidence intervals: 1.01–1.04) as was previously demonstrated by analysing the Whickham study cohort using a logistic regression model (age remaining significant even when all the other significant risk factors such as sex, smoking, systolic blood pressure, diabetes and family history were included in the regression model). A discussion of a paper by Ference et al. provided detailed evidence of the relationship between age and AR, based on lifetime LDL-C exposure. Finally, we discussed non-traditional CVD risk factors that may contribute to ResR based on randomised controlled trials investigating drugs improving inflammation, thrombosis, metabolic and endothelial status.
first_indexed 2024-03-08T20:58:29Z
format Article
id doaj.art-3550ae4f3e1b4616a5b01b91414b23fa
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2227-9059
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-08T20:58:29Z
publishDate 2023-12-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Biomedicines
spelling doaj.art-3550ae4f3e1b4616a5b01b91414b23fa2023-12-22T13:54:58ZengMDPI AGBiomedicines2227-90592023-12-011112320810.3390/biomedicines11123208Age and the Residual Risk of Cardiovascular Disease following Low Density Lipoprotein-Cholesterol ExposureCarola S. König0Amar Mann1Rob McFarlane2John Marriott3Malcolm Price4Sudarshan Ramachandran5Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Brunel University London, London UB8 3PH, UKInstitute of Clinical Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT, UKInstitute of Clinical Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT, UKInstitute of Clinical Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT, UKInstitute of Applied Health Research, University of Birmingham, Birmingham B15 2TT, UKDepartment of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering, Brunel University London, London UB8 3PH, UKWe believe that there is sufficient evidence from basic science, longitudinal cohort studies and randomised controlled trials which validates the low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) or lipid hypothesis. It is important that we can communicate details of the cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk reduction that the average patient could expect depending on the scale of LDL-C decrease following lipid lowering therapy. It is also essential that residual risk (ResR) of CVD be highlighted. To achieve this aim by using existing trial evidence, we developed mathematical models initially for relative risk reduction (RRR) and absolute risk (AR) reduction and then showed that despite optimising LDL-C levels, a considerable degree of ResR remains that is dependent on AR. Age is significantly associated with AR (odds ratio: 1.02, 95% confidence intervals: 1.01–1.04) as was previously demonstrated by analysing the Whickham study cohort using a logistic regression model (age remaining significant even when all the other significant risk factors such as sex, smoking, systolic blood pressure, diabetes and family history were included in the regression model). A discussion of a paper by Ference et al. provided detailed evidence of the relationship between age and AR, based on lifetime LDL-C exposure. Finally, we discussed non-traditional CVD risk factors that may contribute to ResR based on randomised controlled trials investigating drugs improving inflammation, thrombosis, metabolic and endothelial status.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9059/11/12/3208mathematical modellingresidual cardiovascular riskage and cardiovascular diseaselow density lipoprotein cholesterol exposurenon-LDL-C cardiovascular risk factors
spellingShingle Carola S. König
Amar Mann
Rob McFarlane
John Marriott
Malcolm Price
Sudarshan Ramachandran
Age and the Residual Risk of Cardiovascular Disease following Low Density Lipoprotein-Cholesterol Exposure
Biomedicines
mathematical modelling
residual cardiovascular risk
age and cardiovascular disease
low density lipoprotein cholesterol exposure
non-LDL-C cardiovascular risk factors
title Age and the Residual Risk of Cardiovascular Disease following Low Density Lipoprotein-Cholesterol Exposure
title_full Age and the Residual Risk of Cardiovascular Disease following Low Density Lipoprotein-Cholesterol Exposure
title_fullStr Age and the Residual Risk of Cardiovascular Disease following Low Density Lipoprotein-Cholesterol Exposure
title_full_unstemmed Age and the Residual Risk of Cardiovascular Disease following Low Density Lipoprotein-Cholesterol Exposure
title_short Age and the Residual Risk of Cardiovascular Disease following Low Density Lipoprotein-Cholesterol Exposure
title_sort age and the residual risk of cardiovascular disease following low density lipoprotein cholesterol exposure
topic mathematical modelling
residual cardiovascular risk
age and cardiovascular disease
low density lipoprotein cholesterol exposure
non-LDL-C cardiovascular risk factors
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-9059/11/12/3208
work_keys_str_mv AT carolaskonig ageandtheresidualriskofcardiovasculardiseasefollowinglowdensitylipoproteincholesterolexposure
AT amarmann ageandtheresidualriskofcardiovasculardiseasefollowinglowdensitylipoproteincholesterolexposure
AT robmcfarlane ageandtheresidualriskofcardiovasculardiseasefollowinglowdensitylipoproteincholesterolexposure
AT johnmarriott ageandtheresidualriskofcardiovasculardiseasefollowinglowdensitylipoproteincholesterolexposure
AT malcolmprice ageandtheresidualriskofcardiovasculardiseasefollowinglowdensitylipoproteincholesterolexposure
AT sudarshanramachandran ageandtheresidualriskofcardiovasculardiseasefollowinglowdensitylipoproteincholesterolexposure