Projected changes in mean temperature and total precipitation and climate suitability of cassava (Manihot esculenta) in major growing environments of India

Cassava (Manihot esculenta Crantz) is an important food crop of India cultivated in an area of 228 000 ha for food, feed and fuel, contributes to food security, equity, poverty alleviation and environmental protection. This study examined the projected climatic changes in the major cassava growing...

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Main Authors: SABITHA SOMAN, G BYJU, J SREEKUMAR
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Indian Council of Agricultural Research 2016-06-01
Series:The Indian Journal of Agricultural Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://epubs.icar.org.in/index.php/IJAgS/article/view/58350
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author SABITHA SOMAN
G BYJU
J SREEKUMAR
author_facet SABITHA SOMAN
G BYJU
J SREEKUMAR
author_sort SABITHA SOMAN
collection DOAJ
description Cassava (Manihot esculenta Crantz) is an important food crop of India cultivated in an area of 228 000 ha for food, feed and fuel, contributes to food security, equity, poverty alleviation and environmental protection. This study examined the projected climatic changes in the major cassava growing environments of India and also calibrated and evaluated the EcoCrop model to study the impact of 2030 climate on cassava climate suitability in the major growing environments of India. The current climate and future climate projections of 22 GCMs from the SRES-A1B emission scenario were used for the study. The projected change in annual mean temperature and total annual precipitation in the major growing areas ranged from 0.9 to 1.2ºC and from 6.8 to 112.4 mm, respectively. The calibrated data were used to drive the EcoCrop model to find out the suitability of current and future climatic conditions. The change in suitability for all the 22 GCMs used was calculated on pixel basis and the mean suitability change indicate that cassava is actually positively impacted in the current growing areas of India with -2.2 to 15% changes in climate suitability. This study concluded that cassava is potentially highly resilient to future climatic changes and it can become a future crop in India, where other crops would fail due to climate change.
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spelling doaj.art-3568469f765a4c738d320bec68b8878a2023-07-27T07:02:35ZengIndian Council of Agricultural ResearchThe Indian Journal of Agricultural Sciences0019-50222394-33192016-06-0186510.56093/ijas.v86i5.58350Projected changes in mean temperature and total precipitation and climate suitability of cassava (Manihot esculenta) in major growing environments of IndiaSABITHA SOMAN0G BYJU1J SREEKUMAR2ICAR-Central Tuber Crops Research Institute, Sreekariyam, Thiruvananthapuram, Kerala 695 017ICAR-Central Tuber Crops Research Institute, Sreekariyam, Thiruvananthapuram, Kerala 695 017ICAR-Central Tuber Crops Research Institute, Sreekariyam, Thiruvananthapuram, Kerala 695 017 Cassava (Manihot esculenta Crantz) is an important food crop of India cultivated in an area of 228 000 ha for food, feed and fuel, contributes to food security, equity, poverty alleviation and environmental protection. This study examined the projected climatic changes in the major cassava growing environments of India and also calibrated and evaluated the EcoCrop model to study the impact of 2030 climate on cassava climate suitability in the major growing environments of India. The current climate and future climate projections of 22 GCMs from the SRES-A1B emission scenario were used for the study. The projected change in annual mean temperature and total annual precipitation in the major growing areas ranged from 0.9 to 1.2ºC and from 6.8 to 112.4 mm, respectively. The calibrated data were used to drive the EcoCrop model to find out the suitability of current and future climatic conditions. The change in suitability for all the 22 GCMs used was calculated on pixel basis and the mean suitability change indicate that cassava is actually positively impacted in the current growing areas of India with -2.2 to 15% changes in climate suitability. This study concluded that cassava is potentially highly resilient to future climatic changes and it can become a future crop in India, where other crops would fail due to climate change. https://epubs.icar.org.in/index.php/IJAgS/article/view/58350CassavaCurrent climateDivaGISEcoCropFuture climateGlobal circulation models
spellingShingle SABITHA SOMAN
G BYJU
J SREEKUMAR
Projected changes in mean temperature and total precipitation and climate suitability of cassava (Manihot esculenta) in major growing environments of India
The Indian Journal of Agricultural Sciences
Cassava
Current climate
DivaGIS
EcoCrop
Future climate
Global circulation models
title Projected changes in mean temperature and total precipitation and climate suitability of cassava (Manihot esculenta) in major growing environments of India
title_full Projected changes in mean temperature and total precipitation and climate suitability of cassava (Manihot esculenta) in major growing environments of India
title_fullStr Projected changes in mean temperature and total precipitation and climate suitability of cassava (Manihot esculenta) in major growing environments of India
title_full_unstemmed Projected changes in mean temperature and total precipitation and climate suitability of cassava (Manihot esculenta) in major growing environments of India
title_short Projected changes in mean temperature and total precipitation and climate suitability of cassava (Manihot esculenta) in major growing environments of India
title_sort projected changes in mean temperature and total precipitation and climate suitability of cassava manihot esculenta in major growing environments of india
topic Cassava
Current climate
DivaGIS
EcoCrop
Future climate
Global circulation models
url https://epubs.icar.org.in/index.php/IJAgS/article/view/58350
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