Modelling the spatial population structure and distribution of the queen conch, Aliger gigas, on the Pedro Bank, Jamaica

The estimation of reliable indices of abundance for sedentary stocks requires the incorporation of the underlying spatial population structure, including issues arising from the sampling design and zero inflation. We applied seven spatial interpolation techniques [ordinary kriging (OK), kriging wit...

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Main Authors: Ricardo A. Morris, Alvaro Hernández-Flores, Alfonso Cuevas-Jimenez
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas 2022-09-01
Series:Scientia Marina
Subjects:
Online Access:https://scientiamarina.revistas.csic.es/index.php/scientiamarina/article/view/1929
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author Ricardo A. Morris
Alvaro Hernández-Flores
Alfonso Cuevas-Jimenez
author_facet Ricardo A. Morris
Alvaro Hernández-Flores
Alfonso Cuevas-Jimenez
author_sort Ricardo A. Morris
collection DOAJ
description The estimation of reliable indices of abundance for sedentary stocks requires the incorporation of the underlying spatial population structure, including issues arising from the sampling design and zero inflation. We applied seven spatial interpolation techniques [ordinary kriging (OK), kriging with external drift (KED), a negative binomial generalized additive model (NBGAM), NBGAM plus OK (NBGAM+OK), a general additive mixed model (GAMM), GAMM plus OK (GAMM+OK) and a zero-inflated negative binomial model (ZINB) ] to three survey datasets to estimate biomass for the gastropod Aliger gigas on the Pedro Bank Jamaica. The models were evaluated using 10-fold cross-validation diagnostics criteria for choosing the best model. We also compared the best model estimations against two common design methods to assess the consequences of ignoring the spatial structure of the species distribution. GAMM and ZINB were overall the best models but were strongly affected by the sampling design, sample size, the coefficient of variation of the sample and the quality of the available covariates used to model the distribution (geographic location, depth and habitat). More reliable abundance indices can help to improve stock assessments and the development of spatial management using an ecosystem approach.
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spelling doaj.art-3571305b7ff846cdaa57c319de95ac952022-12-22T04:30:50ZengConsejo Superior de Investigaciones CientíficasScientia Marina0214-83581886-81342022-09-0186310.3989/scimar.05269.040Modelling the spatial population structure and distribution of the queen conch, Aliger gigas, on the Pedro Bank, JamaicaRicardo A. Morris0Alvaro Hernández-Flores1Alfonso Cuevas-Jimenez2Universidad Marista de MéridaUniversidad Marista de MéridaUniversidad Marista de Mérida The estimation of reliable indices of abundance for sedentary stocks requires the incorporation of the underlying spatial population structure, including issues arising from the sampling design and zero inflation. We applied seven spatial interpolation techniques [ordinary kriging (OK), kriging with external drift (KED), a negative binomial generalized additive model (NBGAM), NBGAM plus OK (NBGAM+OK), a general additive mixed model (GAMM), GAMM plus OK (GAMM+OK) and a zero-inflated negative binomial model (ZINB) ] to three survey datasets to estimate biomass for the gastropod Aliger gigas on the Pedro Bank Jamaica. The models were evaluated using 10-fold cross-validation diagnostics criteria for choosing the best model. We also compared the best model estimations against two common design methods to assess the consequences of ignoring the spatial structure of the species distribution. GAMM and ZINB were overall the best models but were strongly affected by the sampling design, sample size, the coefficient of variation of the sample and the quality of the available covariates used to model the distribution (geographic location, depth and habitat). More reliable abundance indices can help to improve stock assessments and the development of spatial management using an ecosystem approach. https://scientiamarina.revistas.csic.es/index.php/scientiamarina/article/view/1929spatial analysissedentary specieszero-inflationspecies distribution models
spellingShingle Ricardo A. Morris
Alvaro Hernández-Flores
Alfonso Cuevas-Jimenez
Modelling the spatial population structure and distribution of the queen conch, Aliger gigas, on the Pedro Bank, Jamaica
Scientia Marina
spatial analysis
sedentary species
zero-inflation
species distribution models
title Modelling the spatial population structure and distribution of the queen conch, Aliger gigas, on the Pedro Bank, Jamaica
title_full Modelling the spatial population structure and distribution of the queen conch, Aliger gigas, on the Pedro Bank, Jamaica
title_fullStr Modelling the spatial population structure and distribution of the queen conch, Aliger gigas, on the Pedro Bank, Jamaica
title_full_unstemmed Modelling the spatial population structure and distribution of the queen conch, Aliger gigas, on the Pedro Bank, Jamaica
title_short Modelling the spatial population structure and distribution of the queen conch, Aliger gigas, on the Pedro Bank, Jamaica
title_sort modelling the spatial population structure and distribution of the queen conch aliger gigas on the pedro bank jamaica
topic spatial analysis
sedentary species
zero-inflation
species distribution models
url https://scientiamarina.revistas.csic.es/index.php/scientiamarina/article/view/1929
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AT alvarohernandezflores modellingthespatialpopulationstructureanddistributionofthequeenconchaligergigasonthepedrobankjamaica
AT alfonsocuevasjimenez modellingthespatialpopulationstructureanddistributionofthequeenconchaligergigasonthepedrobankjamaica