Recent household transmission of tuberculosis in England, 2010–2012: retrospective national cohort study combining epidemiological and molecular strain typing data

Abstract Background We estimate the proportion of tuberculosis (TB) in England due to recent household transmission, identify factors associated with being a household transmitter, and investigate the impact that identification of a case has on time to treatment of subsequent cases. Methods TB cases...

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Main Authors: Maeve K. Lalor, Laura F. Anderson, Esther L. Hamblion, Andy Burkitt, Jennifer A. Davidson, Helen Maguire, Ibrahim Abubakar, H. Lucy Thomas
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2017-06-01
Series:BMC Medicine
Subjects:
Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12916-017-0864-y
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author Maeve K. Lalor
Laura F. Anderson
Esther L. Hamblion
Andy Burkitt
Jennifer A. Davidson
Helen Maguire
Ibrahim Abubakar
H. Lucy Thomas
author_facet Maeve K. Lalor
Laura F. Anderson
Esther L. Hamblion
Andy Burkitt
Jennifer A. Davidson
Helen Maguire
Ibrahim Abubakar
H. Lucy Thomas
author_sort Maeve K. Lalor
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background We estimate the proportion of tuberculosis (TB) in England due to recent household transmission, identify factors associated with being a household transmitter, and investigate the impact that identification of a case has on time to treatment of subsequent cases. Methods TB cases notified between 2010 and 2012 in England in the same household as another case were identified; 24 locus MIRU-VNTR strain typing (ST) was used to identify household cases with likely recent transmission. Treatment delay in index and subsequent cases was compared. Risk factors for being a household transmitter were identified in univariable and multivariable analyses. Results Overall, 7.7% (1849/24,060) of TB cases lived in a household with another case. We estimate that 3.9% were due to recent household transmission. ST data was unavailable for 67% (1242) of household pairs. For those with ST data, 64% (386) had confirmed, 11% probable (66) and 25% (155) refuted household transmission. The median treatment delay was 65 days for index cases and 37 days for subsequent asymptomatic cases. Risk factors for being a household transmitter included being under 25 years old, UK-born with Black African, Indian or Pakistani ethnicity, or born in Somalia or Romania. Conclusions This study has a number of implications for household TB contact tracing in low incidence countries, including the potential to reduce the diagnostic delay for subsequent household cases and the benefit of using ST to identify when to conduct source contact tracing outside the household. As 25% of TB cases in households had discordant strains, households with multiple TB cases do not necessarily represent household transmission. The additional fact that 25% of index cases within households only had extra-pulmonary TB demonstrates that, if household contact tracing is limited to pulmonary TB cases (as recently recommended in UK guidelines), additional cases of active TB in households will be missed. Our finding that no lineage of TB was associated with recent household transmission and with no increased transmissibility in the Beijing lineage compared to others, suggests that the lineage need not impact contact tracing efforts. Improvements in contact tracing have the potential to reduce transmission of TB in low incidence countries.
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spelling doaj.art-35bb316950c440eb97adf4380a3dcfa72022-12-21T20:03:39ZengBMCBMC Medicine1741-70152017-06-0115111010.1186/s12916-017-0864-yRecent household transmission of tuberculosis in England, 2010–2012: retrospective national cohort study combining epidemiological and molecular strain typing dataMaeve K. Lalor0Laura F. Anderson1Esther L. Hamblion2Andy Burkitt3Jennifer A. Davidson4Helen Maguire5Ibrahim Abubakar6H. Lucy Thomas7TB Section, Centre for Infectious Disease Surveillance, National Infection Service, Public Health EnglandTB Section, Centre for Infectious Disease Surveillance, National Infection Service, Public Health EnglandField Epidemiology Services, National Infection Service, Public Health EnglandField Epidemiology Services, National Infection Service, Public Health EnglandTB Section, Centre for Infectious Disease Surveillance, National Infection Service, Public Health EnglandInstitute for Global Health, University College LondonTB Section, Centre for Infectious Disease Surveillance, National Infection Service, Public Health EnglandTB Section, Centre for Infectious Disease Surveillance, National Infection Service, Public Health EnglandAbstract Background We estimate the proportion of tuberculosis (TB) in England due to recent household transmission, identify factors associated with being a household transmitter, and investigate the impact that identification of a case has on time to treatment of subsequent cases. Methods TB cases notified between 2010 and 2012 in England in the same household as another case were identified; 24 locus MIRU-VNTR strain typing (ST) was used to identify household cases with likely recent transmission. Treatment delay in index and subsequent cases was compared. Risk factors for being a household transmitter were identified in univariable and multivariable analyses. Results Overall, 7.7% (1849/24,060) of TB cases lived in a household with another case. We estimate that 3.9% were due to recent household transmission. ST data was unavailable for 67% (1242) of household pairs. For those with ST data, 64% (386) had confirmed, 11% probable (66) and 25% (155) refuted household transmission. The median treatment delay was 65 days for index cases and 37 days for subsequent asymptomatic cases. Risk factors for being a household transmitter included being under 25 years old, UK-born with Black African, Indian or Pakistani ethnicity, or born in Somalia or Romania. Conclusions This study has a number of implications for household TB contact tracing in low incidence countries, including the potential to reduce the diagnostic delay for subsequent household cases and the benefit of using ST to identify when to conduct source contact tracing outside the household. As 25% of TB cases in households had discordant strains, households with multiple TB cases do not necessarily represent household transmission. The additional fact that 25% of index cases within households only had extra-pulmonary TB demonstrates that, if household contact tracing is limited to pulmonary TB cases (as recently recommended in UK guidelines), additional cases of active TB in households will be missed. Our finding that no lineage of TB was associated with recent household transmission and with no increased transmissibility in the Beijing lineage compared to others, suggests that the lineage need not impact contact tracing efforts. Improvements in contact tracing have the potential to reduce transmission of TB in low incidence countries.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12916-017-0864-yTuberculosisTransmissionMolecular epidemiologyHouseholdMIRU-VNTR strain typing
spellingShingle Maeve K. Lalor
Laura F. Anderson
Esther L. Hamblion
Andy Burkitt
Jennifer A. Davidson
Helen Maguire
Ibrahim Abubakar
H. Lucy Thomas
Recent household transmission of tuberculosis in England, 2010–2012: retrospective national cohort study combining epidemiological and molecular strain typing data
BMC Medicine
Tuberculosis
Transmission
Molecular epidemiology
Household
MIRU-VNTR strain typing
title Recent household transmission of tuberculosis in England, 2010–2012: retrospective national cohort study combining epidemiological and molecular strain typing data
title_full Recent household transmission of tuberculosis in England, 2010–2012: retrospective national cohort study combining epidemiological and molecular strain typing data
title_fullStr Recent household transmission of tuberculosis in England, 2010–2012: retrospective national cohort study combining epidemiological and molecular strain typing data
title_full_unstemmed Recent household transmission of tuberculosis in England, 2010–2012: retrospective national cohort study combining epidemiological and molecular strain typing data
title_short Recent household transmission of tuberculosis in England, 2010–2012: retrospective national cohort study combining epidemiological and molecular strain typing data
title_sort recent household transmission of tuberculosis in england 2010 2012 retrospective national cohort study combining epidemiological and molecular strain typing data
topic Tuberculosis
Transmission
Molecular epidemiology
Household
MIRU-VNTR strain typing
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12916-017-0864-y
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