Predictors of loss to follow-up among children on long-term antiretroviral therapy in Zambia (2003–2015)

Abstract Background Retention in care is critical for children living with HIV taking antiretroviral therapy (ART). Loss to follow-up (LTFU) is high in HIV treatment programs in resource limited settings. We estimated the cumulative incidence of LTFU and identified associated risk factors among chil...

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Main Authors: Jane N. Mutanga, Simon Mutembo, Amara E. Ezeamama, Xiao Song, Robert C. Fubisha, Kunda Mutesu-Kapembwa, Derrick Sialondwe, Brenda Simuchembu, Jelita Chinyonga, Philip E. Thuma, Christopher C. Whalen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2019-08-01
Series:BMC Public Health
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Online Access:http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12889-019-7374-0
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author Jane N. Mutanga
Simon Mutembo
Amara E. Ezeamama
Xiao Song
Robert C. Fubisha
Kunda Mutesu-Kapembwa
Derrick Sialondwe
Brenda Simuchembu
Jelita Chinyonga
Philip E. Thuma
Christopher C. Whalen
author_facet Jane N. Mutanga
Simon Mutembo
Amara E. Ezeamama
Xiao Song
Robert C. Fubisha
Kunda Mutesu-Kapembwa
Derrick Sialondwe
Brenda Simuchembu
Jelita Chinyonga
Philip E. Thuma
Christopher C. Whalen
author_sort Jane N. Mutanga
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Retention in care is critical for children living with HIV taking antiretroviral therapy (ART). Loss to follow-up (LTFU) is high in HIV treatment programs in resource limited settings. We estimated the cumulative incidence of LTFU and identified associated risk factors among children on ART at Livingstone Central Hospital (LCH), Zambia. Methods Using a retrospective cohort study design, we abstracted data from medical records of children who received ART between 2003 and 2015. Loss to follow-up was defined as no clinical and pharmacy contact for at least 90 days after the child missed their last scheduled clinical visit. Non-parametric competing risks models were used to estimate the cumulative incidence of death, LTFU and transfer. Cause-specific Cox regression was used to estimate the hazard ratios of the risk factors of LTFU. Results A total of 1039 children aged 0–15 years commenced ART at LCH between 2003 and 2015. Median duration of follow-up was 3.8 years (95% CI: 1.2–6.5), median age at ART initiation was 3.6 years (IQR: 1.3–8.6), 179 (17%) started treatment during their first year of life. At least 167 (16%) were LTFU and we traced 151 (90%). Of those we traced, 39 (26%) had died, 71 (47%) defaulted, 20 (13%) continued ART at other clinics and 21 (14%) continued treatment with gaps. The cumulative incidence of LTFU for the entire cohort was 2.7% (95% CI: 1.9–3.9) at 3 months, 4.1% (95% CI: 2.9–5.4) at 6 months and 14.1% (95% CI: 12.4–16.9) after 5 years on ART. Associated risk factors were: 1) non-disclosure of HIV status at baseline, aHR = 1.9 (1.2–2.9), 2) No phone ownership, aHR = 2.1 (1.6–2.9), 3) starting treatment between 2013 to 2015, aHR = 5.6 (2.2–14.1). Conclusion Among the children LTFU mortality and default were substantially high. Children who started treatment in recent years (2013–2015) had the highest hazard of LTFU. Lack of access to a phone and non-disclosure of HIV-status to the index child was associated with higher hazards of LTFU. We recommend re-enforcement of client counselling and focused follow-up strategies using modern technology such as mobile phones as adjunct to current approaches.
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spelling doaj.art-35f96928b40a42dc85b424ca3cb044332022-12-22T01:26:22ZengBMCBMC Public Health1471-24582019-08-0119111310.1186/s12889-019-7374-0Predictors of loss to follow-up among children on long-term antiretroviral therapy in Zambia (2003–2015)Jane N. Mutanga0Simon Mutembo1Amara E. Ezeamama2Xiao Song3Robert C. Fubisha4Kunda Mutesu-Kapembwa5Derrick Sialondwe6Brenda Simuchembu7Jelita Chinyonga8Philip E. Thuma9Christopher C. Whalen10Department of Pediatrics and Child Health, Livingstone Central HospitalDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, College of Public Health, University of GeorgiaDepartment of Psychiatry, College of Osteopathic Medicine, Michigan State UniversityDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, College of Public Health, University of GeorgiaDepartment of Pediatrics and Child Health, Livingstone Central HospitalDepartment of Pediatrics and Child Health, Livingstone Central HospitalDepartment of Pediatrics and Child Health, Livingstone Central HospitalDepartment of Pediatrics and Child Health, Livingstone Central HospitalSouthern Province Medical Office, Ministry of HealthMacha Research TrustDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, College of Public Health, University of GeorgiaAbstract Background Retention in care is critical for children living with HIV taking antiretroviral therapy (ART). Loss to follow-up (LTFU) is high in HIV treatment programs in resource limited settings. We estimated the cumulative incidence of LTFU and identified associated risk factors among children on ART at Livingstone Central Hospital (LCH), Zambia. Methods Using a retrospective cohort study design, we abstracted data from medical records of children who received ART between 2003 and 2015. Loss to follow-up was defined as no clinical and pharmacy contact for at least 90 days after the child missed their last scheduled clinical visit. Non-parametric competing risks models were used to estimate the cumulative incidence of death, LTFU and transfer. Cause-specific Cox regression was used to estimate the hazard ratios of the risk factors of LTFU. Results A total of 1039 children aged 0–15 years commenced ART at LCH between 2003 and 2015. Median duration of follow-up was 3.8 years (95% CI: 1.2–6.5), median age at ART initiation was 3.6 years (IQR: 1.3–8.6), 179 (17%) started treatment during their first year of life. At least 167 (16%) were LTFU and we traced 151 (90%). Of those we traced, 39 (26%) had died, 71 (47%) defaulted, 20 (13%) continued ART at other clinics and 21 (14%) continued treatment with gaps. The cumulative incidence of LTFU for the entire cohort was 2.7% (95% CI: 1.9–3.9) at 3 months, 4.1% (95% CI: 2.9–5.4) at 6 months and 14.1% (95% CI: 12.4–16.9) after 5 years on ART. Associated risk factors were: 1) non-disclosure of HIV status at baseline, aHR = 1.9 (1.2–2.9), 2) No phone ownership, aHR = 2.1 (1.6–2.9), 3) starting treatment between 2013 to 2015, aHR = 5.6 (2.2–14.1). Conclusion Among the children LTFU mortality and default were substantially high. Children who started treatment in recent years (2013–2015) had the highest hazard of LTFU. Lack of access to a phone and non-disclosure of HIV-status to the index child was associated with higher hazards of LTFU. We recommend re-enforcement of client counselling and focused follow-up strategies using modern technology such as mobile phones as adjunct to current approaches.http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12889-019-7374-0PediatricsHIVARTAdherenceLoss to follow-upRisk factors
spellingShingle Jane N. Mutanga
Simon Mutembo
Amara E. Ezeamama
Xiao Song
Robert C. Fubisha
Kunda Mutesu-Kapembwa
Derrick Sialondwe
Brenda Simuchembu
Jelita Chinyonga
Philip E. Thuma
Christopher C. Whalen
Predictors of loss to follow-up among children on long-term antiretroviral therapy in Zambia (2003–2015)
BMC Public Health
Pediatrics
HIV
ART
Adherence
Loss to follow-up
Risk factors
title Predictors of loss to follow-up among children on long-term antiretroviral therapy in Zambia (2003–2015)
title_full Predictors of loss to follow-up among children on long-term antiretroviral therapy in Zambia (2003–2015)
title_fullStr Predictors of loss to follow-up among children on long-term antiretroviral therapy in Zambia (2003–2015)
title_full_unstemmed Predictors of loss to follow-up among children on long-term antiretroviral therapy in Zambia (2003–2015)
title_short Predictors of loss to follow-up among children on long-term antiretroviral therapy in Zambia (2003–2015)
title_sort predictors of loss to follow up among children on long term antiretroviral therapy in zambia 2003 2015
topic Pediatrics
HIV
ART
Adherence
Loss to follow-up
Risk factors
url http://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12889-019-7374-0
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